New articles on Quantitative Biology


[1] 2607.14163

A vision foundation model for single-cell biology via spatial gene cartography

Most single-cell foundation models are adapted from language models, representing each cell as a sequence of gene tokens. This discards the relationships among genes and often the magnitude of their expression. We present scVision, a vision foundation model that instead renders each cell as a continuous image. Using optimal transport, it places genes at fixed positions on a single shared, pan-tissue layout so that co-expressed genes become spatial neighbours, turning a transcriptome into an image in which gene programs appear as local texture. We pretrain a vision transformer by masked image modelling on 72 million human cells and use the frozen encoder with no fine-tuning. In zero-shot evaluations on six independent, held-out studies, scVision is the most accurate cell-type annotator and recovers gene programs without supervision, ahead of existing foundation models and classical baselines; on multi-study integration it matches the strongest token-based model while conserving the most biological structure, without ever seeing a batch label. Permuting the gene layout with the network fixed sharply lowers accuracy, more than removing the vision transformer itself, showing that biologically meaningful position, not the network, carries the signal. By preserving expression magnitude and gene relationships, scVision reframes single-cell representation learning as a vision problem, connecting it to the mature methods of computer vision.


[2] 2607.14360

Infectious Disease Induces Emergent Oscillations, Extinction and Changes in Community Persistence in a Food Chain

Food webs have been extensively studied from both ecological and mathematical aspects. However, most of the models studied in this area do not capture the effects of infectious diseases simultaneously. Recently, the idea of including an infectious disease in a food web model has been investigated. We study and simulate a small food chain consisting of only prey, predators, and apex predators governed by the generalized Lotka-Volterra equations, and we implement the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model on only one of the species at a time in the food chain. To study the effects of an infectious disease on the food chain, we introduce a new parameter that increases the predation rate by a factor of $w$ and decreases the hunting rate by a factor of $1/w$ for infected species. When the infectious disease is present in predators, we observe that predators do not become extinct under any set of parameters; however, an oscillation in their population size occurs under some circumstances, which we do not observe in ordinary SIR or the generalized Lotka-Volterra equations alone. When an infectious disease is present in apex predators, oscillations in the population size do not happen; but if the set of parameters is in a specific range the apex predators may become extinct. Furthermore, the chance of survival of the community, known as community persistence, increases for the predators and decreases for the apex predators.


[3] 2607.14404

Analyzing Post-transcriptional Regulation in Stochastic Gene Expression Models Using Partitioned Poisson Arrivals

Gene expression is a stochastic process that allows for fluctuations in protein levels that can give rise to phenotypic heterogeneity within a population of genetically identical cells. Thus, there is great interest in quantifying how natural variation (noise) in gene expression is impacted by cellular control mechanisms, such as the various mechanisms pertaining to post-transcriptional regulation. Although previous research has developed a general analytical framework to compute the exact moments of mRNA distributions for any promoter-based regulatory motif, and the exact mRNA distribution itself in some cases, a similar framework for protein fluctuations is currently lacking. Here, we invoke the partitioning property of Poisson arrivals to map a general class of stochastic models of post-transcriptional regulation onto models that resemble promoter-based regulation. This approach leads to exact analytical results for the moments of protein distributions, and in certain cases the full distribution itself, using known exact results for mRNA distributions undergoing arbitrary promoter-based regulation. We further extend the framework to incorporate transcriptional bursting, leading to a versatile, unifying analytical framework for analyzing post-transcriptional regulation in stochastic gene expression.


[4] 2607.14457

A Validated Data-driven Subject and Vehicle Specific Nonlinear Biodynamic Model for Predicting Upper-Body Response in Vehicle Ride

A six-degree-of-freedom (6-DOF) nonlinear lumped-parameter biodynamic model of the seated human upper body is formulated to predict human response under different unknown loading conditions. The model consists of six anatomically partitioned cascade body segments: pelvis, lower torso, central torso, upper torso, neck, and head. The joints are connected through nonlinear viscoelastic joints incorporating strain-stiffening restoring forces consistent with the nonlinear constitutive behavior of biological soft tissue. Fifteen subject-specific mechanical parameters are considered as design variables. The design variables are six joint natural frequencies, six viscous damping ratios, one Rayleigh coefficient, one nonlinear stiffening scale, and one mass scale. The subject-specific design variables are identified from three distinct vehicular loading cases using a hybrid two-phase optimization strategy. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) globally searches on a frequency-domain surrogate and seeds a bounded Nelder-Mead refinement for the full nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) response. A rigorous parameter idealization methodology, based on error-weighted geometric mean in log space, was implemented to fuse the multi-case optima into a single subject-representative consensus parameter set. The idealized model retains physical interpretability across loading scenarios and is subsequently used in forward dynamics to predict and validate the subject's experimental response. The framework constitutes a complete subject-specific biodynamic pipeline, from experimental data through optimization, idealization, and forward prediction, suitable for occupational health assessment and protective equipment design across diverse loading scenarios.


[5] 2607.14653

Revisiting a random model of lateral gene transfer in phylogenetics

Processes such as incomplete lineage sorting (ILS) and reticulate evolution (arising, for example, from hybridization and lateral gene transfer (LGT)) are known to cause discordance between gene trees and species trees, complicating phylogenetic inference. While the multispecies coalescent model has led to a rich theoretical understanding of ILS, probabilistic models for LGT have received comparatively less attention. Here, we revisit a basic LGT model in which random LGT events occur according to a Poisson process with a constant transfer rate. Focusing on the simplest cases of two and three species, we derive gene tree and site pattern probabilities and discuss their implications for model identifiability. We also address the question of whether LGT and ILS can be distinguished from one another under these probabilistic models. We discuss empirical applications and outline directions for future work.


[6] 2607.14833

Thoughtseeds as Latent Causes: A Dual-Process Computational Phenomenology of Focused-Attention Meditation

Meditative expertise involves sustained attention, rapid recovery from distraction, and coordinated dynamics of large-scale brain networks. We present a computational phenomenology of focused-attention meditation traversing four attractor states: breath focus, mind-wandering, meta-awareness, and redirect attention. Within a dual-process active inference formulation, the model implements a three-layer nested Markov-blanket architecture: (L1) a high-dimensional physiological neuronal substrate modeled as a stochastic multivariate Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process over attentional Yeo networks; (L2) a low-dimensional generative model (System 1) that encodes latent mental content as thoughtseeds and evaluates autonomic action tendencies; and (L3) an agentic metacognitive monitor (System 2) that implements a Global Neuronal Workspace (GNW) capacity bottleneck to selectively gate these tendencies. In L3, meta-awareness functions as the GNW ignition signal, derived from policy-prior divergence and dynamically gated by direct competition between orchestrator and distractor thoughtseeds. Policy selection actively minimizes expected free energy, and L2 actions furnish descending predictions over network activity to close the enactive perception--action cycle. Training uses variational Expectation-Maximization (EM) across expert and novice phenotypes. Simulations reproduce behavior consistent with empirical observations and findings in contemplative neuroscience, providing a tractable link between first-person phenomenology and objective neurophysiological measures.


[7] 2607.14950

Emergence of polymorphism in stochastic evolutionary games

Deterministic evolutionary game theory makes no distinction between a monomorphic population of individuals all of whom share a mixed evolutionarily stable strategy and a polymorphic population of players of pure strategies present in a ratio that reproduces the mixed strategy on average. The so-called trembling hand hypothesis posits that in finite populations demographic noise selects for monomorphism, however, simulation studies have found contradictory results in some situations. Here we resolve this discrepancy by conducting a theoretical analysis of the paradigmatic Hawk-Dove game using timescale separation. We characterise the emergence of polymorphism driven by stochastic effects, finding long-lasting polymorphic states in certain conditions.


[8] 2607.15022

Topology-Informed Survival Analysis of Breast Cancer Patients Using the Mapper Algorithm

This study applied a mathematical tool from Topological Data Analysis (TDA), called the Mapper algorithm, to gene expression data from more than 1,000 TCGA-BRCA patients to identify hidden molecular patterns associated with survival. Patients located near high-risk regions of the network showed significantly poorer survival, and highly proliferative gene expression patterns were associated with worse outcomes overall, although treatment narrowed this survival gap across proliferation groups. The analysis further uncovered patients whose survival outcomes were inconsistent with their expected clinical behavior, including a subgroup of Basal-like patients with unexpectedly favorable outcomes linked to a distinct, more treatment-responsive gene signature, revealing molecular programs missed by traditional classification methods. Validation through training and testing on unseen patients confirmed that topology-derived risk groups remained significantly associated with survival after adjusting for age, tumor stage, and treatment, demonstrating that the geometric structure of gene expression data contains clinically meaningful prognostic information beyond traditional breast cancer classification methods.


[9] 2607.15104

A model with exposure in the epidemiological sense. Part 1 -- Base model

We explore a model of infectious disease spread that incorporates exposure to the pathogen in the classic epidemiological acceptation of the term, i.e., a contact with an infectious individual has taken place but the infection has not necessarily been acquired. The model also includes a (discrete) age of infection structure, allowing to implicitly describe the viral load of infected individuals and in turn, to describe the probability of developing an infection as a function of the viral load of the infectious contacts.


[10] 2607.14410

LATTICE: Graph Self-Supervised Learning for Multimodal Spatial Omics Integration

Spatially resolved omics studies increasingly combine transcriptomic and epigenomic assays, yet downstream analysis is often still performed using single-modality pipelines. We present LATTICE (Latent Alignment of Tissue-level and Transcriptomic Information for Cross-modal Embedding), a graph-based self-supervised framework that learns spot-level representations from harmonized multimodal features. LATTICE integrates five aligned modality blocks per Visium spot: Visium RNA, scMultiome RNA, scMultiome ATAC, spatial ATAC, and spatial CUT\&Tag. These modalities capture spatial transcriptomic measurements, single-cell inferred regulatory activity, and in situ chromatin and histone states within a unified lattice representation. LATTICE constructs a spatial neighborhood graph and trains a TransformerConv encoder using masked reconstruction, cross-modal alignment, and spatial smoothness objectives. On a private 11-sample melanoma cohort from an anonymized clinical collaborator comprising 54{,}912 total spots, LATTICE demonstrated stable optimization behavior, reproducible embeddings across analysis seeds, and complete multimodal integration across all samples. Adding scMultiome RNA to Visium RNA alone substantially improved concordance with Space Ranger clusters across 11 runs (adjusted Rand index [ARI] +0.157, normalized mutual information [NMI] +0.143, and spatial contiguity +0.174). Additional modalities further improved spatial contiguity and multimodal utility score (MUS), although they sometimes reduced agreement with RNA-derived reference labels, likely because the learned embeddings captured chromatin and regulatory structure beyond transcriptomic similarity alone. These results position LATTICE as a practical and empirically grounded framework for multimodal spatial omics integration, while also highlighting the need for stronger supervision and broader external benchmarking.


[11] 2607.14451

Memory-Driven Self-Propulsion and Flocking of Chemically Active Droplets

Biomolecular condensates are continually remodeled by biochemical reactions that can exhibit non-Markovian, history-dependent dynamics. We develop a theory of active phase separation with non-Markovian reactions and show that delayed reaction feedback destabilizes stationary droplets: when the memory time becomes comparable to the reaction turnover time, condensates deform and spontaneously acquire a polar, self-propelled state. In multidroplet systems, persistent memory wakes mediate alignment, producing polar flocks and, at higher concentrations, traveling labyrinths. These results establish reaction memory as a control parameter of active phase separation, linking condensate remodeling, autonomous motility, and collective organization, and suggest a possible route to flocking-like behavior within cells.


[12] 2607.14914

Stochastic ultimatum game: Spite-driven resource feedback fosters fairness

Resource scarcity can fundamentally encourage antisocial behaviour, whereas resource abundance can promote fair behaviour. Experimental evidence indeed suggests that scarcity induces spiteful behaviour, while repeated interactions enhance fairness. However, existing studies of game--environment feedback systems are largely confined to the evolution of cooperation and they overlook the interplay between resources, spite, and fairness. To address this lacuna, we develop a stochastic ultimatum game framework in which an offerer and an accepter repeatedly interact to negotiate exploitation of a self-renewable resource under the ownership of the offerer. Successful agreements deplete the resource, whereas unsuccessful agreements inhibit exploitation and facilitate replenishment. The mutation--selection driven two-species stochastic evolutionary dynamics reveal that the emergence of spite and fairness strongly depends on the resource growth rate. Fairness predominantly prevails for resources with high growth rates. Intriguingly, low resource growth rates give rise to a resource feedback loop driven by spite: spiteful behaviour dominates in the depleted state, facilitating transition of the resource state to replete state which, in turn, promotes fairness through repeated interactions.


[13] 2607.14995

Multimodal Semantic-Aware Contrastive Learning For False Negative Mitigation in 3D Medical Imaging

Multimodal Contrastive Learning (CL) has shown significant performance in aligning representations across various data modalities and improving downstream tasks, especially in healthcare. It works by minimizing the distance between matched (positive) data modalities, while maximizing the distance between mismatched (negative) samples. Traditional CL frameworks typically assume instance-based correspondence within data batches, treating all non-paired samples as negatives. However, this assumption often fails in medical settings, where samples may share high-level semantic attributes, leading to false negatives that degrade representation quality. In this paper, we propose Multimodal Semantic-Aware Contrastive Learning (MseaCL), a CL framework trained on a pediatric cohort of 3D brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans and radiology reports. The goal of this framework is to mitigate the impact of semantically similar false negative samples by incorporating semantic similarity between radiology reports, as a guiding signal during the learning process. Our results indicate that applying this framework as a pretraining stage can achieve notable improvements in downstream tasks, e.g., at least a 22.6\% increase in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of pediatric brain tumor molecular classification, demonstrating its potential for more robust and semantically aligned multimodal representations in clinical applications.


[14] 2507.03209

A Machine Learning Benchmarking Framework for Lipid Nanoparticle Transfection Efficiency Prediction

The discovery of new ionizable lipids for efficient lipid nanoparticle (LNP)-mediated RNA delivery remains a major bottleneck in RNA therapeutics development. Recent advances demonstrate the potential of machine learning (ML) models to predict transfection efficiency directly from lipid structure, enabling high-throughput virtual screening and accelerating lead identification. However, as new models for LNP transfection prediction continue to emerge, the lack of rigorous and standardized benchmarking poses a significant risk and may undermine confidence in their reliability for discovery. Here, we present a robust ML benchmarking framework for evaluating transfection prediction models based on ionizable lipid structures. This framework systematically benchmarks diverse molecular representations paired with a broad range of ML architectures spanning traditional models, feedforward neural networks, and state-of-the-art graph-based methods. In addition, the presented framework supports assessment of model generalization and evaluates prediction reliability beyond standard regression metrics. Using a curated dataset of 1,100 unique ionizable lipid structures derived from the HeLa transfection dataset originally reported by Xu et al., we show that within this framework, models leveraging explicit molecular substructure encoding consistently achieve the highest predictive accuracy and should serve as essential baselines for the development of new, more sophisticated models. In contrast, some current graph-based models, including AGILE, Chemprop, and KPGT, tend to show comparatively lower accuracy. The presented framework provides a standardized, transparent, and comprehensive benchmarking resource that enables meaningful comparison of emerging architectures and establishes strong baselines for future development of predictive models in lipid-based RNA delivery.


[15] 2511.04458

TRAECR: A Tool for Preprocessing Positron Emission Tomography Imaging for Statistical Modeling

Positron emission tomography (PET) imaging is widely used in a number of clinical applications, including cancer and Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis, monitoring of disease development, and treatment effect evaluation. Statistical modeling of PET imaging is essential to address continually emerging scientific questions in these research fields, including hypotheses related to evaluation of effects of disease modifying treatments on amyloid reduction in AD and associations between amyloid reduction and cognitive function, among many others. In this paper, we provide background information and tools for statisticians interested in developing statistical models for PET imaging to pre-process and prepare data for analysis. We introduce our novel pre-processing and visualization tool TRAECR (Template registration, MRI-PET co-Registration, Anatomical brain Extraction and COMBAT/RAVEL harmonization) to facilitate data preparation for statistical analysis.


[16] 2603.16770

Training a force field for proteins and small molecules from scratch

Force fields for molecular dynamics are usually developed manually, limiting their transferability and making systematic exploration of functional forms challenging. We developed a graph neural network that assigns all force field parameters for diverse molecules using continuous atom typing. The freely-available model, called Garnet, was trained on quantum mechanical, condensed phase and protein nuclear magnetic resonance data without the use of existing parameters. The resulting force field shows comparable performance to current force fields on small molecules, folded proteins, protein complexes and disordered proteins. It shows similar results to popular approaches for relative binding free energy predictions across a range of targets. Assessing different functional forms shows that the double exponential potential is a flexible and accurate alternative to the Lennard-Jones potential. Garnet provides a platform for automated, reproducible force field discovery that brings the benefits of machine learning to classical force fields.


[17] 2607.13076

momenTUM: A schema-driven platform for designing, deploying, and exploring ecological momentary assessment studies

Ecological momentary assessment (EMA) is widely used to collect repeated self-report data in participants' everyday lives using mobile devices. EMA studies often involve multiple questionnaires, flexible schedules, and longitudinal data collection, requiring reliable systems for study setup, deployment, monitoring, and data management. Existing workflows are often fragmented across tools, making studies difficult to reproduce and maintain. We present momenTUM, an open-source platform for designing, deploying, and managing mobile EMA studies. Its central principle is that a structured study specification serves as the shared representation across the full workflow. The same specification supports authoring in the Study Designer, execution in the participant-facing mobile application, backend synchronization and storage, REDCap-linked data handling, and researcher monitoring. This makes protocols reusable, inspectable, and consistent across system components without requiring study-specific app implementations. momenTUM integrates with REDCap to automate project setup and synchronize responses. Its authenticated dashboard provides tabular and calendar-based views, filtering by study components, and visual summaries. The platform has been deployed in real-world studies, including AMBIENT-BD, which examines mood, sleep, and circadian rhythms in bipolar disorder, and the EcoSleep cohort study. We also describe an exploratory LLM-assisted extension that generates draft structured study specifications for researcher review. These deployments show that momenTUM can support complex ambulatory assessment protocols while reducing technical overhead and enabling reproducible, reusable, and extensible EMA workflows.


[18] 2512.15948

Subjective functions

Where do objective functions come from? How do we select what goals to pursue? Human intelligence is adept at synthesizing new objective functions on the fly. How does this work, and can we endow artificial systems with the same ability? This paper proposes an approach to answering these questions, starting with the concept of a subjective function, a higher-order objective function that is endogenous to the agent (i.e., defined with respect to the agent's features, rather than an external task). Expected prediction error is studied as a concrete example of a subjective function. This proposal has many connections to ideas in psychology, neuroscience, and machine learning.


[19] 2602.14616

Higher-Order Hit-&-Run Samplers for Linearly Constrained Densities

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of densities restricted to linearly constrained domains is an important task arising in Bayesian treatment of inverse problems in the natural sciences. While efficient algorithms for uniform polytope sampling exist, much less work has dealt with more complex constrained densities. In particular, gradient information as used in unconstrained MCMC is not necessarily helpful in the constrained case, where the gradient may push the proposal's density out of the polytope. In this work, we propose a novel constrained sampling algorithm, which combines strengths of higher-order information, like the target's log-density's gradients and curvature, with the Hit-&-Run proposal, a simple mechanism which guarantees the generation of feasible proposals, fulfilling the linear constraints. Our extensive experiments demonstrate improved sampling efficiency on complex constrained densities over various constrained and unconstrained samplers.


[20] 2603.06478

A functional law of large numbers for a spatial model of Muller's ratchet

The spatial Muller's ratchet is a model introduced by Foutel-Rodier and Etheridge to study the impact of cooperation and competition on the fitness of an expanding asexual population. The model is an interacting particle system consisting of particles performing symmetric random walks that reproduce and die with rates that depend on the local number of particles. For each particle, we keep track of the number of deleterious mutations that it carries, and after each birth event, with some positive probability, the offspring particle can acquire an additional mutation that gives it a lower reproduction rate than its parent. We show that, under an appropriate scaling, the process converges weakly to the solution of an infinite system of partial differential equations (PDEs), confirming non-rigorous computations of Foutel-Rodier and Etheridge. Combining the weak convergence with analytical results for the limiting PDE system, we derive quantitative lower and upper bounds on the proportion of particles with mutations that hold with high probability for the particle system. A key obstacle is the absence of uniform bounds on the number of particles per site, together with the presence of infinitely many types of particle and the nonlinear interactions. To address this, we establish a new tightness criterion for interacting particle systems in general Lp spaces based only on local properties of the dynamics.


[21] 2605.13504

Structural identifiability of partially-observed stochastic processes: from single-particle trajectories to total particle density data

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be uniquely recovered from idealised, noise-free data, a prerequisite to allow for parameter estimation in real-world scenarios. However, existing methods to assess structural identifiability are not generally applicable to stochastic processes. We develop a methodology to analyse structural identifiability for a class of stochastic processes. We investigate how structural identifiability depends on the type of available data, distinguishing between single-particle trajectories and total particle density measurements. For trajectory data, we use the particle-based model description that explicitly represents single-particle dynamics. For population-level data, we derive a partial differential equation model representation, that describes the evolution of total particle density, and apply a differential algebra approach, common to ordinary differential equation analysis. We further introduce a method to study information arising from the initial condition, based on using the characteristic equations to construct a Taylor expansion of the particle density evolution. We apply our methodology to an example model and show that it is structurally identifiable from single-particle trajectory data but not from total particle density data, demonstrating that parameter identifiability depends on the type of data available.


[22] 2607.12766

Entropy-Driven Initiation and Cellular Uptake Mediated by Viscoelastic Cytoskeleton: A Kinetic Phase Diagram from Onsager Variational Principle

A fundamental question in receptor-mediated endocytosis remains unanswered: what initial driving force brings ligands and receptors into close proximity? While previous models assume pre-existing contact and overlook this initiation problem, we propose that entropic forces from nanoscale biomolecules in crowded cellular environments provide the essential driving mechanism. We develop a unified continuum model rooted in the Onsager variational principle, where engulfment depth serves as the generalized coordinate and the driving force derives from a free energy landscape of entropic, binding, membrane, and cytoskeleton contributions. The framework naturally incorporates: (i) entropy-driven adhesion as initiation; (ii) ligand-receptor binding as the sustaining force; (iii) membrane deformation via the Helfrich-Canham Hamiltonian; and (iv) cytoskeleton viscoelasticity through the elastic-viscoelastic correspondence principle. The kinetic phase diagram predicts a critical biomolecule concentration for initiation, a lower bound of ligand density for complete engulfment, a finite size window for engulfable particles, and an optimal virus radius of 30--60 nm that decreases with increasing binding energy. The Onsager solubility condition naturally yields the phase boundaries. The model exhibits asymptotic consistency with the classic Asakura-Oosawa result in the large-particle flat-surface limit. Stiffer cells lead to longer engulfment times and narrower size windows. Strikingly, the optimal size matches HIV-1 dimensions under physiologically realistic parameters. This work provides a variational foundation for cellular uptake with implications for virology, nanotechnology, and drug delivery.


[23] 2607.12771

Learning Mechanistic Reasoning for Chemical Reactions with Large Language Models

Reaction mechanisms consist of the step-by-step sequences of elementary reactions that explain chemical transformations. Learning the mechanism logic is therefore essential for enhancing the fundamental chemical intelligence of large language models (LLMs). The stepwise deduction of reaction mechanism aligns naturally with the reasoning paradigms of reasoning LLMs. However, current chemical LLMs primarily emphasize coarse-grained name reactions for product prediction and retrosynthesis, often leading to physical inconsistencies and hallucinations. In contrast, specialized small-scale generative models for mechanism inference typically suffer from restricted generalization capacity across diverse chemical spaces. To overcome these limitations, we built a novel, large-scale reasoning dataset of reaction mechanisms. Furthermore, we established the FukuyamaBench, a difficult benchmark derived from Fukuyama's Advanced Organic Reaction Mechanism book, to rigorously evaluate model performance on hierarchical mechanism reasoning. Our fine-tuned Qwen3-30B-A3B achieves 8.3% exact pathway match on FukuyamaBench Set~A, surpassing the specialized FlowER model (5.1%), demonstrating that mechanism-aware training substantially enhances chemical reasoning in language models.