Exact Fourier dimensions of dyadic Mandelbrot cascades under minimal integrability


Abstract

We determine the Fourier dimension of the canonical dyadic Mandelbrot cascade on the unit interval under the minimal Kahane–Peyrière condition \[W\ge 0,\qquad \mathbb{E} W=1,\qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+W]<\infty,\qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]<1 .\] Almost surely on non-extinction, \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\},\] with the convention that the corresponding term is zero when \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\). The proof is carried out in a vector-valued cascade model allowing arbitrary dependence between sibling weights; the classical independent cascade is a special case. This settles the Mandelbrot–Kahane Fourier-dimension problem for canonical Mandelbrot cascades under the minimal integrability condition.

We also prove the endpoint theorem for the dyadic Mandelbrot cascade on the unit circle. Under the same assumption, almost surely on non-extinction, \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ) = \sup_{q>1} \max\left\{ 0,\, \frac{q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]}{q} \right\}.\] The interval and circle formulas have the same light-tail/heavy-tail dichotomy but different obstructions: energy dimension in the interval case, and minimum lower local dimension on the curved support in the circle case. The circle lower bound follows from a finite-moment annular Fourier theorem giving summable annular decay without bounded weights or moments of all orders.

1 Introduction and main results↩︎

The theory of Mandelbrot cascades originates in the study of intermittent turbulence. Motivated by refinements of Kolmogorov’s phenomenology due to Kolmogorov, Landau–Lifshitz, Obukhov, and Yaglom [1][4], Mandelbrot introduced multiplicative random models for the turbulent energy dissipation field [5][8]. In its canonical form, the construction produces a random cascade measure by iteratively redistributing mass according to independent copies of a nonnegative random weight. The weight encodes the intermittent transfer of mass from one scale to the next, and the resulting martingale structure yields a tractable model for random measures with highly nonuniform local scaling.

Kahane and Peyrière [9], and subsequently Kahane’s martingale framework [10], placed Mandelbrot’s construction on a rigorous probabilistic foundation. The resulting measures form a basic class of random multifractals and a central model in multiplicative chaos [11], [12]. They have also served as a testing ground for branching random walks [13], [14], random measures, and multifractal analysis. We refer to [12], [15][22] for classical developments and related perspectives.

The harmonic-analytic side of the theory has proved more elusive. Exact Fourier-dimension formulas are rare for multifractal measures. When available, they connect random geometry with restriction phenomena, Salem-type behavior, and fine regularity properties of measures; see also [23], [24]. In this context, the canonical Mandelbrot cascade is a fundamental test case for the principle that random multifractal structure can force Fourier decay. The problem of determining its Fourier dimension was raised by Mandelbrot in the turbulence setting [8], and was later placed by Kahane within a broader program on Fourier decay for natural random measures [20].

For a long time, the exact Fourier behavior of Mandelbrot cascades remained largely open. Before the recent breakthroughs [25][27], the only complete result of this type in a genuinely multiplicative setting was the fractal percolation theorem of Shmerkin and Suomala, proved through the theory of spatially independent martingales [28]. Parallel progress was made for related models from Gaussian multiplicative chaos: Falconer and Jin obtained lower bounds for the Fourier dimension of planar Gaussian multiplicative chaos [29], while Garban and Vargas proved Rajchman and polynomial decay phenomena for Gaussian multiplicative chaos on the circle [30]. Taken together, these developments placed the Mandelbrot–Kahane problem among the basic open problems in the Fourier analysis of random multiplicative measures.

Recent work has changed this picture substantially. Four developments are especially relevant. First, Chen, Li, and Suomala determined the Fourier dimension of the Mandelbrot cascade on the line under a subexponential tail assumption [26]. Second, in the same work they obtained a Fourier-dimension lower bound for the corresponding cascade on the unit circle, giving an early result of this type for a curved support with nonvanishing curvature. Third, Chen, Han, Qiu, and Wang developed a different approach and computed the Fourier dimension under the all-positive-moment assumption \[\mathbb{E}(W^p)<\infty \qquad\text{for every }0<p<\infty,\] together with a nonlattice hypothesis [25], [31]. Shortly afterwards, Lin, Qiu, and Tan presented a unified Fourier-dimension theory for classical multiplicative chaos [32]; in particular, their framework is announced to reduce the all-moment hypothesis to the second-moment condition \[\mathbb{E}(W^2)<\infty .\] Fourth, Ryou and Suomala obtained Fourier-dimension results for cascades supported on curves with nonvanishing curvature, under all-moment assumptions [27].

A common feature of these results is that they rely on tail or moment assumptions strong enough to support concentration estimates for the relevant random increments. In particular, the existing methods do not reach the infinite-variance regime \[\mathbb{E}(W^2)=\infty,\] which is still allowed by the minimal Kahane–Peyrière condition.

The present paper removes this obstruction and provides a complete picture on both the line and the circle. The main contributions may be summarized as follows.

  1. We identify the light-tail regime through the equivalence \[\label{E:light-tail}\mathbb{E}(W^{1+\varepsilon})<\infty\;\text{ for some } \varepsilon>0\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad\exists q>1:\;\kappa(q)<1,\tag{1}\] where \(\kappa(q):=2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}(W^q).\) The Fourier lower bound is then obtained from a random smoothing argument governed by the contraction ratio \(\kappa(q)\). This yields the exact Fourier-dimension formula throughout the light-tail regime.

  2. In the complementary heavy-tail regime, \[\label{E:heavy-tail} \mathbb{E}(W^{1+\varepsilon})=\infty \quad\text{for every } \varepsilon>0,\tag{2}\] the concentration methods used in the earlier works are no longer available. We instead pass through the energy dimension. We prove a sharp dichotomy for the energy dimension and show that the heavy-tail regime is precisely the case in which this dimension vanishes. The deterministic inequality \(\dim_{\mathrm F}\leq \dim_{\mathrm E}\) then forces zero Fourier dimension and completes the interval case.

  3. On the circle, the same light-tail/heavy-tail dichotomy persists, but through a different mechanism. The energy dimension is no longer the correct benchmark. The curvature of the support creates new analytic obstacles, and the random smoothing argument does not carry over. The main replacement is a finite-\(r\) annular theorem, Theorem 40, which provides Fourier control on curved annuli and supplies the principal analytic input for the circle lower bound.

  4. The interval theorem is proved in a vector-valued form: sibling weights may have arbitrary dependence. More precisely, we prove the same Fourier-dimension formula for a vector-valued cascade in which the two sibling weights are not assumed independent; see Theorem 1. Thus the canonical independent Mandelbrot cascade is a special case of a more robust vector-weight theory.

1.1 The interval vector theorem↩︎

We begin with the dyadic vector-weight cascade on \([0,1]\). Let \(X=(X_0,X_1)\) be a random vector in \([0,\infty)^2\). At each vertex \(u\) of the rooted binary tree attach an independent copy \[X(u)=(X_0(u),X_1(u))\] of \(X\). The coordinates \(X_0(u)\) and \(X_1(u)\) may be dependent; independence is assumed only between different vertices.

If \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n\), write \(u|k=(u_1,\ldots,u_k)\), with \(u|0=\varnothing\). For \(1\le k\le n\), \[X_{u_k}(u|k-1)\] denotes the \(u_k\)-th coordinate of the random vector attached to the parent \(u|k-1\). The path weight is \[\label{eq:vector-path-weight-definition-1} L_u = \prod_{k=1}^n X_{u_k}(u|k-1), \qquad L_{\varnothing}=1.\tag{3}\] Let \(I_u\subset[0,1]\) be the dyadic interval corresponding to \(u\). The level-\(n\) cascade measure is \[\label{eq:intro-vector-level-measure} d\mu_n(x)=\sum_{\lvert u\rvert=n}2^nL_u\mathbf{1}_{I_u}(x)\,dx.\tag{4}\] Its total mass is \(M_n=\mu_n([0,1])=\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}L_u\). The mean-one condition \[\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\] makes \((M_n)_{n\ge0}\) a nonnegative martingale. The stronger balanced condition \(\mathbb{E}X_0=\mathbb{E}X_1=1/2\) is the geometric centering condition: it implies \(\mathbb{E}\mu_n=\mathcal{L}\) for every \(n\), and is used in the Fourier lower bound.

The following is the vectorial version of the minimal Kahane–Peyrière integrability condition.

Definition 1. The dyadic vector-weight law is called energy-admissible if \[\label{eq:energy-admissible-balance} \mathbb{E}X_0=\mathbb{E}X_1=\frac{1}{2},\tag{5}\] \[\label{eq:energy-admissible-positive-entropy} \mathbb{E}\bigl[X_0\log_2^+X_0+X_1\log_2^+X_1\bigr]<\infty,\tag{6}\] and \[\label{eq:energy-admissible-negative-drift} \mathbb{E}\bigl[X_0\log_2 X_0+X_1\log_2 X_1\bigr]<0,\tag{7}\] where \(0\log_2 0=0\).

By Theorem 6, under the mean-one condition \(\mu_n\) converges weakly almost surely to a finite random Borel measure \(\mu\), with \(\mu([0,1])=M:=\lim_{n\to\infty}M_n\). By Corollary 1, energy-admissibility leads to \(\mathbb{P}(M>0)>0\). All interval-cascade dimension statements are made on \(\{M>0\}\).

The parameter in the interval theorem is defined from the vector \(q\)-mass profile.

Definition 2. For \(q>0\), define the vector moment profile by \[\label{eq:vector-rho-definition} \rho(q)=\mathbb{E}[X_0^q+X_1^q]\in[0,\infty].\tag{8}\] The associated energy parameter is \[\label{eq:vector-DE-definition} D_E(X) = \sup\left\{ s\in(0,1): \inf_{0<q<2}2^{qs/2}\rho(q)<1 \right\},\tag{9}\] with the convention that the supremum of the empty set is \(0\).

Equivalently, as proved in Section 3, \[\label{eq:intro-DE-variational} D_E(X) = \sup_{\substack{1<q<2\\ \rho(q)<1}} \left(-\frac{2}{q}\log_2\rho(q)\right),\tag{10}\] again with the empty supremum interpreted as \(0\). This is the vector analogue of the usual scalar dyadic exponent.

The first main result implies the exact dimension formula on the interval.

Theorem 1. Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Let \(\mu\) be the limiting dyadic vector-weight cascade measure on \([0,1]\), and set \(M=\mu([0,1])\). Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:main-vector-exact-formula} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X).\tag{11}\] In particular, if \(D_E(X)>0\), then for every \(0<\sigma<D_E(X)\) there is a finite random constant \(C_\sigma\) such that \[\label{eq:main-vector-decay} \lvert\widehat{\mu}(\xi)\rvert \le C_\sigma \lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}\tag{12}\] for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\).

The proof of Theorem 1 has two main parts. The energy part proves that, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X).\] It uses dyadic square sums, a subcritical fractional-moment estimate, a no-plateau lemma for the moment profile, a smoothing-transform obstruction in the supercritical regime, and an alive-tree amplification argument. The Fourier part proves that, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X).\] It uses the balanced centering \(\mathbb{E}\mu_n=\mathcal{L}\), a vector-valued \(\ell^r\) contraction, a mesoscopic Fourier decomposition, and a ladder iteration on dense frequency grids. The deterministic inequality \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu)\] for finite Borel measures then yields the reverse Fourier inequality.

The scalar dyadic Mandelbrot cascade is recovered by taking independent copies \(W_0,W_1\) of a scalar weight \(W\), with \(\mathbb{E}W=1\), and setting \(X_i=W_i/2\), \(i=0,1\). Then \(\rho(q)=2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}[W^q]\). In this situation, the corresponding scalar energy-admissibility assumption coincides with the minimal Kahane–Peyrière condition. The vector theorem yields the following result, almost surely on the non-extinction event \(\{M>0\}\), \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\},\] where the contribution of a given \(q\) to the supremum is taken to be \(0\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\).

The \(b\)-adic and higher-dimensional canonical versions are treated separately in the companion paper [33]. For cascades on \([0,1]^d\subset\mathbb{R}^d\), the formula takes the form \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\min\{2,\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)\}\] almost surely on non-extinction. The reduction from the dyadic interval case is largely formal, except for the additional ambient upper bound \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\leq 2\), which is proved in [33] through a minimal-integrability version of the Chen–Li–Suomala upper-bound argument. We work here with the dyadic interval model in order to keep the main probabilistic and Fourier-recursive mechanisms in their simplest form.

1.2 The circle endpoint theorem↩︎

The second model is a scalar dyadic cascade on \[\mathbb{S}^1=\{x\in\mathbb{R}^2:\lvert x \rvert=1\}.\] Let \(f:[0,1)\to\mathbb{S}^1\) be given by \(f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t)\), and use \(f\) only to impose the dyadic filtration on the circle. Let \(W\ge0\), \(\mathbb{E}W=1\), and attach independent copies \(W_v\) of \(W\) to non-empty binary words \(v\). If \(Q_v=\prod_{j=1}^{\lvert v \rvert}W_{v|j}\), then the level-\(n\) circle cascade is \[d\mu_{\circ,n}(x)=\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}Q_v\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{I}_v}(x)\,d\sigma(x),\] where \(\sigma\) is normalized arclength and \(\mathcal{I}_v=f(J_v)\) is the dyadic arc associated to \(v\). The limiting circle cascade is denoted by \(\mu_\circ\).

Definition 3 (Minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime). We say that \(W\) is in the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime if \[\label{eq:minimal-KP-circle} W\ge0, \qquad \mathbb{E}W=1, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+ W]<\infty, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]<1.\tag{13}\]

Under this condition the circle cascade is nondegenerate in the Kahane–Peyrière sense: \(\mathbb{P}(\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0)>0\). The event \(\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}\) is the non-extinction event.

The endpoint exponent is a local-mass exponent, not an interval energy exponent.

Definition 4 (Endpoint local exponent). Define \[\label{eq:circle-Aloc-definition} A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) = \sup_{q>1} \max\left\{ 0,\, \frac{q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]}{q} \right\},\tag{14}\] where the term corresponding to \(q\) is interpreted as \(0\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\).

Remark 2. In the scalar interval specialization, the corresponding interval exponent is \[D^+(W) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\}.\] Define \[A_{<2}(W) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, \frac{q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]}{q} \right\},\] with the convention in both displays that the corresponding term is \(0\) when \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\). Then \[D^+(W)=2A_{<2}(W) \qquad \text{and} \qquad A_{<2}(W)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W),\] since \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) optimizes over all \(q>1\). Thus the same scalar moment expression appears in the interval and circle formulas, but with different normalizations and different geometric obstructions. The factor \(2\) in the interval formula reflects the Fourier-dimension convention relative to the one-dimensional energy exponent, whereas the circle formula is governed by the minimum lower local dimension on a curved support.

The second main result establishes the endpoint Fourier-dimension formula on the circle, the prototypical curved-support case with nonzero curvature.

Theorem 3. Assume that \(W\) is in the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Let \(\mu_{\circ}\) be the dyadic Mandelbrot cascade measure on \(\mathbb{S}^{1}\) generated by \(W\). Then, almost surely on \(\{\mu_{\circ}(\mathbb{S}^{1})>0\}\), \[\label{eq:main-circle-endpoint-formula} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_{\circ})=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W).\tag{15}\] In particular, if \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)>0\), then for every \(0<\sigma<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) there is a finite random constant \(C_{\sigma}\) such that \[\label{eq:main-circle-decay} \lvert\widehat{\mu_{\circ}}(\xi)\rvert \leq C_{\sigma}\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}\tag{16}\] for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\), with \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}^{2}\).

We emphasize that the circle theorem is proved only for the canonical Mandelbrot cascade. At present our method does not extend to the vector-valued cascade setting of Theorem 1. The extension from the circle to fixed \(C^2\) planar Jordan curves with nonvanishing curvature is carried out in the companion paper [34]. We keep the present paper focused on the circle, where the curvature mechanism appears in its simplest form.

The upper bound in Theorem 3 is an endpoint obstruction. For a finite Borel measure \(\nu\) on \(\mathbb{S}^1\), define the minimum lower local dimension \[\alpha_{\min}(\nu) = \inf_{x\in\operatorname{spt}\nu} \liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\nu(B(x,r))}{\log_2 r}.\] The local-dimension theorem establishes \[\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\] on non-extinction, while the deterministic curved-support estimate yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\) for every nonzero finite measure supported on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). Hence \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\).

The lower bound is the main Fourier-analytic part of the circle theorem. It follows from the finite-\(r\) annular theorem stated below. If \(s<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), then some \(r>1\) witnesses \(s\), in the sense that \(2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[W^r]\le 2^{-r(s+\delta)}\) for some \(\delta>0\). The annular theorem then yields almost sure Fourier decay at exponent \(s\). Letting \(s\uparrow A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) through a countable sequence yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\ge A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\).

1.3 The finite-moment annular theorem↩︎

The finite-moment annular theorem, proved in Section 8, is the main input for the circle lower bound. It is formulated for an auxiliary scalar weight \(U\), since in the endpoint argument \(U\) will be chosen as a finite-moment witness for a strict subendpoint exponent \(s<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\). This separates the annular Fourier estimate from the endpoint optimization and makes the role of the finite moment transparent.

Definition 5. Let \(0<s<1\). A nonnegative random variable \(U\) with \(\mathbb{E}U=1\) satisfies the finite-\(r\) witnessed hypothesis at exponent \(s\) if there exist \(r>1\) and \(\delta>0\) such that \[\label{eq:finite-r-witnessed-gap} \mathbb{E}[U^r]<\infty, \qquad 2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r]\le 2^{-r(s+\delta)}.\tag{17}\]

The strict gap \(\delta>0\) is used only inside the annular estimate; it provides the surplus needed for the local-mass bounds, predictable capping, and compensator estimates. The endpoint theorem is recovered afterwards by applying the result to a countable sequence of exponents \(s\uparrow A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\).

Let \(\widetilde{\nu}\) be the dyadic scalar cascade on \([0,1)\) generated by \(U\), and let \(\nu_\circ=f_\#\widetilde{\nu}\) be its pushforward to the circle.

Theorem 4 (Finite-\(r\) annular theorem). Let \(0<s<1\), \(r>1\), and \(\delta>0\). Let \(U\ge0\) satisfy \(\mathbb{E}U=1\) and 17 . Then there exist constants \(C,c,\eta>0\), depending only on \(s,r,\delta\) and the law of \(U\), such that, for every \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:finite-r-annular-estimate} \mathbb{P}\left( \sup_{2^n\le \lvert\xi\rvert\le 2^{n+1}} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert>C2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})+C2^{-cn}.\tag{18}\] Consequently, \[\label{eq:finite-r-annular-as-decay} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert=O(\lvert\xi\rvert^{-s/2}) \qquad (\lvert\xi\rvert\to\infty)\tag{19}\] almost surely.

The two terms in 18 come from different parts of the argument. For the almost sure consequence, only the summability of the right-hand side is used.

We emphasize two features of the theorem. First, \(U\) is not assumed bounded. The proof uses predictable capping before applying martingale concentration, and the cost of the cap is paid by an \(r\)-tail compensator. Second, the conclusion is annular and summable in \(n\). This is stronger than a pointwise-in-frequency estimate and is exactly what is needed for almost sure Fourier decay.

The proof decomposes the phase \(t\mapsto \xi\cdot f(t)\) into a stationary tube and dyadic derivative bands. The stationary tube and very small derivative bands are controlled by local mass estimates. On the remaining bands the Fourier integral is written as a sum of exact dyadic martingale arrays. The pre-bin part gains from oscillation before the natural phase-bin scale, while the post-bin part is controlled by the local-mass decay after that scale. Predictable capping makes Freedman’s inequality applicable without boundedness assumptions. The resulting martingale estimates have stretched-exponential tails, and the \(r\)-tail compensator is summably small uniformly over the annulus.

For the extension from the circle to general curves with nonvanishing curvature, the main additional issue is deterministic. The explicit circular phase must be replaced by a fixed-curve phase-geometry package: stationary tubes, derivative bands, and phase-bin coefficient estimates uniform over frequency annuli. Once these inputs are available, the probabilistic part of the annular argument is largely unchanged. This extension is carried out in [34].

Figure 1: Proof roadmap for the circle endpoint theorem.

Organization. Section 2 fixes common notations for binary trees, dyadic intervals, circle arcs, Fourier dimension, energy dimension, and descendant cascades.

Section 3 constructs the balanced vector cascade on \([0,1]\), records the Kahane–Peyrière nondegeneracy input, and develops the moment profile \(\rho(q)\) and the parameter \(D_E(X)\).

Section 4 proves the vector square-sum and energy theorem. The subcritical side is obtained from fractional-moment decay of the normalized dyadic square sums. The supercritical side uses a no-plateau lemma, a finite-block weighted-growth argument, and alive-tree amplification. It proves that, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), one has \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X).\)

Section 5 proves the vector Fourier lower bound. The centered profile is compared on dense grids; a vector-valued \(\ell^r\) contraction yields the basic recursive estimate; a ladder iteration yields \(q\)-level annular decay; and optimization over \(q\) yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X)\).

Section 6 combines the energy theorem, the Fourier lower bound, and the deterministic inequality \(\dim_{\mathrm F}\le\dim_{\mathrm E}\) to prove Theorem 1.

Section 7 constructs the circle cascade, proves the minimum lower local dimension theorem \(\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), and proves the curved-support upper bound \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\) for finite measures supported on \(\mathbb{S}^{1}\). This yields the upper bound \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) on non-extinction.

Section 8 proves Theorem 4. It contains the local-mass good events, the stationary-tube and phase-bin reduction, the predictable capping argument, the \(r\)-tail compensator, and the final annular grid assembly.

Section 9 uses the finite-\(r\) annular theorem to prove \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\ge A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), and then combines this with the endpoint obstruction to prove Theorem 3.

2 Preliminaries and notation↩︎

This section establishes notation used throughout the paper. We use a single rooted binary tree both for the interval cascade and for the dyadic parametrization of the circle. The interval model is defined on \([0,1]\). The circle model is defined on \[\mathbb{S}^{1}=\{x\in\mathbb{R}^{2}: \lvert x\rvert=1\},\] with its dyadic structure induced by the standard parametrization \[f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t), \qquad 0\leq t<1.\]

2.1 Binary tree, dyadic intervals, and circle arcs↩︎

For \(n\ge 0\), let \(\{0,1\}^n\) denote the set of binary words of length \(n\). The unique word of length \(0\) is denoted by \(\varnothing\). We write \[\mathcal{T}=\bigcup_{n=0}^{\infty}\{0,1\}^n\] for the rooted binary tree.

For \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), its length is denoted by \(\lvert u \rvert\). If \[u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n,\] then, for \(0\le k\le n\), we set \[u|k=(u_1,\ldots,u_k),\] with \(u|0=\varnothing\). If \(u\in\mathcal{T}\) and \(i\in\{0,1\}\), then \(ui\) denotes the word obtained by appending \(i\) to \(u\). If \(u\in\{0,1\}^m\) and \(v\in\{0,1\}^n\), their concatenation is denoted by \(uv\in\{0,1\}^{m+n}\).

We write \(u\preceq v\) if \(u\) is a prefix of \(v\). Equivalently, \(u\preceq v\) if and only if there exists \(w\in\mathcal{T}\) such that \(v=uw\). If \(u\preceq v\) and \(u\neq v\), we write \(u\prec v\).

For \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n\), define \[a_u=\sum_{j=1}^n u_j2^{-j}, \qquad a_{\varnothing}=0.\] The dyadic interval associated with \(u\) is denoted by \(I_u\). We use the standard half-open convention on \([0,1]\): namely, \[I_{\varnothing}=[0,1),\] and, for \(\lvert u \rvert=n\ge 1\), \[I_u = \begin{cases} \displaystyle [a_u,a_u+2^{-n}), & u\neq(1,\ldots,1),\\[4pt] \displaystyle [a_u,1], & u=(1,\ldots,1). \end{cases}\]

Let \[\mathcal{D}_n=\{I_u:\lvert u \rvert=n\}, \qquad \mathcal{D}=\bigcup_{n=0}^{\infty}\mathcal{D}_n.\] Then \(\mathcal{D}_n\) is a partition of \([0,1]\) into \(2^n\) intervals of length \(2^{-n}\), and \[I_u=I_{u0}\sqcup I_{u1}.\] The endpoint convention is immaterial for Lebesgue-density computations, but it ensures that every \(x\in[0,1]\) belongs to a unique level-\(n\) interval.

For the circle model, we use the same binary words, but reserve a separate notation for the corresponding dyadic intervals in the parameter space. Define \(J_{\varnothing}=[0,1)\), and, for \(u\in\{0,1\}^n\) with \(n\ge 1\), \[J_u=[a_u,a_u+2^{-n})\subset[0,1).\] Thus \(J_u\) is the parameter interval associated with \(u\). Although \(J_u\) is the same subset of \([0,1)\) as \(I_u\), the notation \(J_u\) will be used for the circle parametrization in order to distinguish it from the interval cascade.

The corresponding dyadic arc on the circle is \[\mathcal{I}_u=f(J_u)\subset\mathbb{S}^1,\] where \(f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t).\) Let \(\sigma\) denote normalized arclength measure on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). Then \(\sigma(\mathcal{I}_u)=2^{-\lvert u \rvert}.\) For \(n\ge 0\), set \[\mathcal{D}_{\circ,n}=\{\mathcal{I}_u:\lvert u \rvert=n\}.\] The family \(\mathcal{D}_{\circ,n}\) is a half-open dyadic partition of \(\mathbb{S}^1\).

For \(x\in\mathbb{S}^1\), let \(\mathcal{I}_n(x)\) denote the unique level-\(n\) dyadic arc containing \(x\), with respect to the above half-open convention. Similarly, for \(x\in[0,1]\), let \(I_n(x)\) denote the unique level-\(n\) dyadic interval containing \(x\).

2.2 Fourier dimension and energy dimension↩︎

We recall the notions of Fourier dimension and energy dimension for finite Borel measures, using standard terminology; see also [35]. If \(\nu\) is a finite Borel measure on \(\mathbb{R}^d\), its Fourier transform is defined by \[\widehat\nu(\xi)=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}e^{-2\pi i x\cdot\xi}\,d\nu(x), \qquad \xi\in\mathbb{R}^d.\] The Fourier dimension of a nonzero finite Borel measure \(\nu\) on \(\mathbb{R}^d\) is \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu) = \sup\left\{ 0\le s\le d: \lvert\widehat\nu(\xi)\rvert=O(\lvert\xi\rvert^{-s/2}) \text{ as }\lvert\xi\rvert\to\infty \right\}.\] Equivalently, \(s\) is admissible in the above supremum if there exist constants \(C<\infty\) and \(R<\infty\) such that \[\lvert\widehat\nu(\xi)\rvert\le C\lvert\xi\rvert^{-s/2} \qquad\text{whenever } \lvert\xi\rvert\ge R.\] For measures on the interval we take \(d=1\). For measures on the circle we use the ambient Fourier transform in \(\mathbb{R}^2\), so that the frequency variable is \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}^2\). Since the circle itself is one-dimensional, the endpoint theorem will identify a value in \([0,1]\), although the ambient definition permits \(s\le 2\).

For a nonzero finite Borel measure \(\nu\) on \([0,1]\) and \(0<s<1\), its \(s\)-energy is \[I_s(\nu) = \iint_{[0,1]^2}\lvert x-y \rvert^{-s}\,d\nu(x)d\nu(y).\] The energy dimension of \(\nu\) is \[\dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu) = \sup\{0<s<1:I_s(\nu)<\infty\}.\] We also define the dyadic correlation dimension by \[\dim_2(\nu) = \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2 \Sigma_n(\nu)}{-n},\] where \[\Sigma_n(\nu)=\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}\nu(I_u)^2.\] In the interval part of the paper we prove that, for the cascade measure \(\mu\), \[\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X)\] on the non-extinction event.

We shall use the following deterministic comparison; for a proof, see Mattila [36].

Proposition 5. Let \(\nu\) be a nonzero finite Borel measure on \([0,1]\). Then \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le \dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu).\]

For measures supported on \(\mathbb{S}^1\), we use a different deterministic upper bound, namely the curved-support estimate \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu),\] proved in Section 7. This estimate is the upper-bound mechanism in the circle endpoint theorem.

2.3 Probability conventions and descendant copies↩︎

All random variables are defined on a common probability space \((\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P}).\) Expectation is denoted by \(\mathbb{E}\), and conditional expectation with respect to a sub-\(\sigma\)-field \(\mathcal{G}\subset\mathcal{F}\) is denoted by \(\mathbb{E}[\cdot\mid\mathcal{G}].\)

For the dyadic vector cascade, to each vertex \(u\in\mathcal{T}\) we attach an independent copy \[X(u)=(X_0(u),X_1(u))\] of the vector \(X=(X_0,X_1)\). The vectors assigned to distinct vertices are independent. The two coordinates \(X_0(u)\) and \(X_1(u)\) at a fixed vertex are not assumed to be independent.

The natural filtration for the vector cascade is \[\mathcal{F}^X_n = \sigma\{X(u):\lvert u \rvert\le n-1\}, \qquad n\ge 0,\] with \(\mathcal{F}^X_0\) trivial. Thus \(\mathcal{F}^X_n\) contains precisely the weights needed to form all level-\(n\) path weights.

For \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), the descendant environment rooted at \(u\) is \[\mathcal{E}^{(u)} = \{X(uv):v\in\mathcal{T}\}.\] For \(v=(v_1,\ldots,v_m)\in\{0,1\}^m\), define the descendant path weight by \[L_v^{(u)} = \prod_{k=1}^m X_{v_k}(u(v|k-1)), \qquad L_{\varnothing}^{(u)}=1.\] Then \(L_{uv}=L_uL_v^{(u)}\). The descendant cascade rooted at \(u\) has the same law as the original cascade and is independent of \(\mathcal{F}^X_{\lvert u \rvert}\). Moreover, descendant cascades rooted at distinct vertices of the same generation are conditionally independent given \(\mathcal{F}^X_n\).

For the scalar circle cascade, independent copies \(W_v\) of the scalar weight \(W\) are attached to non-empty binary words \(v\). The natural filtration is \[\mathcal{F}^W_n = \sigma\{W_v:1\le \lvert v \rvert\le n\}, \qquad n\ge 0,\] with \(\mathcal{F}^W_0\) trivial. If \(v\in\mathcal{T}\), the descendant weights below \(v\) are \[\{W_{vu}:u\in\mathcal{T},\;u\neq\varnothing\}.\] They form an independent copy of the original scalar environment and are independent of \(\mathcal{F}^W_{\lvert v \rvert}\).

We use superscripts to denote descendant copies. Thus \(M^{(u)}\), \(\mu^{(u)}\), \(Y^{(v)}\), and \(\mu_\circ^{(v)}\) denote terminal masses and limiting measures constructed from the corresponding descendant environments. The precise constructions are given in the relevant sections. Throughout, a superscript \((u)\) or \((v)\) indicates that the object is constructed inside the subtree rooted at the corresponding word.

3 Dyadic vector cascades and the energy profile↩︎

This section settles the preliminary issues concerning the dyadic vector cascade used in Theorem 1. Vector-valued multiplicative cascades have been studied in more general settings; see, for example, [37]. In the dyadic setting considered here, let \[X=(X_0,X_1)\in[0,\infty)^2.\] The two coordinates of \(X\) are allowed to be dependent, while independent copies of the vector \(X\) are assigned to distinct vertices of the binary tree.

3.1 The balanced dyadic vector cascade↩︎

Let \[\{X(u)=(X_0(u),X_1(u)):u\in\mathcal{T}\}\] be an independent family of copies of \(X\). For \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n\), define \[\label{eq:vector-path-weight-definition} L_u=\prod_{k=1}^n X_{u_k}(u|k-1), \qquad L_{\varnothing}=1.\tag{20}\] Equivalently, \[L_{ui}=L_uX_i(u), \qquad u\in\mathcal{T},\;i\in\{0,1\}.\]

For \(n\ge0\), define the level-\(n\) random measure on \([0,1]\) by \[\label{eq:vector-level-measure-definition} d\mu_n(x)=\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}2^nL_u\mathbf{1}_{I_u}(x)\,dx.\tag{21}\] Thus \(\mu_n(I_u)=L_u \;(\lvert u \rvert=n),\) and the total mass at level \(n\) is \[\label{eq:vector-total-mass-definition} M_n=\mu_n([0,1])=\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}L_u.\tag{22}\]

Definition 6. The vector law is called mean-one if \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1.\) It is called balanced if \(\mathbb{E}X_0=\mathbb{E}X_1=\frac{1}{2}\).

We shall repeatedly use the following centering observation. It records that, under the balanced assumption, the expected level-\(n\) density is precisely the constant density \(1\) on \([0,1]\); thus the approximating measures are centered at Lebesgue measure.

Lemma 1. For \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n\), \[\mathbb{E}L_u=\prod_{k=1}^n \mathbb{E}X_{u_k}.\] In particular, if the law is balanced, then \[\mathbb{E}L_u=2^{-n} \qquad(\lvert u \rvert=n), \qquad \text{and} \qquad \mathbb{E}\mu_n=\mathcal{L} \qquad(n\ge0).\]

Lemma 2. If the vector law is mean-one, then \((M_n)_{n\ge0}\) is a nonnegative martingale with respect to \[\mathcal{F}^X_n=\sigma\{X(u):\lvert u \rvert\le n-1\},\] where \(\mathcal{F}^X_0\) is trivial. Consequently, there exists a finite nonnegative random variable \(M\) such that \(M_n\to M\) almost surely. Moreover, \(\mathbb{E}M\le1.\)

Proof. Using \(L_{ui}=L_uX_i(u)\), independence of the level-\(n\) descendants from \(\mathcal{F}_n^X\), and the mean-one condition \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\), we get \(\mathbb{E}[M_{n+1}\mid\mathcal{F}_n^X]=M_n\). ◻

We next record the weak convergence of the level measures. The proof is included not only for completeness, but also to fix the descendant notation used throughout the sequel.

For \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), set \[L_v^{(u)} = \prod_{k=1}^{\lvert v \rvert} X_{v_k}\bigl(u(v|k-1)\bigr), \qquad L_{\varnothing}^{(u)}=1, \qquad M_m^{(u)}=\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=m}L_v^{(u)}.\] Then \(L_{uv}=L_uL_v^{(u)}\). Under the assumption \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\), each process \((M_m^{(u)})_{m\ge0}\) is a copy of the total-mass martingale built in the subtree rooted at \(u\). These descendant martingales are independent of the environment above \(u\), and descendant martingales rooted at distinct vertices of the same generation are conditionally independent. Since \(\mathcal{T}\) is countable, we may work on an event of probability one on which \(M_m^{(u)}\to M^{(u)}\) for every \(u\in\mathcal{T}\).

Theorem 6 (Existence of the vector cascade measure). Assume the mean-one condition \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\). Then there exists a finite random Borel measure \(\mu\) on \([0,1]\) such that \[\mu_n\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\mu \qquad \text{almost surely}.\] Moreover, \(\mu([0,1])=M\) almost surely. In particular, the events \(\{\mu\neq0\}\) and \(\{M>0\}\) agree modulo null events.

Proof. Work on the full-probability event on which \(M_n\to M<\infty\) and \(M_m^{(u)}\to M^{(u)}\) for every \(u\in\mathcal{T}\). Then \[\mu_n(I_u)=L_uM_{n-|u|}^{(u)}\longrightarrow L_uM^{(u)}\] for every dyadic cylinder \(I_u\). Thus the integrals of dyadic step functions against \(\mu_n\) have limits. Since \(\sup_n\mu_n([0,1])<\infty\), uniform approximation of continuous functions by dyadic step functions extends these limits to all \(g\in C([0,1])\). The resulting linear functional is positive and bounded by \(\|g\|_\infty\sup_n\mu_n([0,1])\). By the Riesz representation theorem, this positive bounded functional is integration against a finite Borel measure \(\mu\). Hence \(\mu_n\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\mu\), and evaluating the convergence at the constant function \(g\equiv1\) gives \(\mu([0,1])=M\). ◻

Remark 7. The quantities \(C_u=L_uM^{(u)}\) are the limiting tree-cylinder masses. They are the limits of the finite-level masses \(\mu_n(I_u)\), and they are adapted to the exact branching recursion. If the limiting measure charges dyadic endpoints, then \(C_u\) should not be identified with the Euclidean half-open interval mass \(\mu(I_u)\) without accounting for endpoint contributions. The energy theorem below is formulated in terms of the tree-cylinder square sums precisely to avoid this endpoint bookkeeping.

3.2 Nondegeneracy and the Kahane–Peyrière input↩︎

We now record the nondegeneracy criterion in the notation of the vector cascade. This is the dyadic vector version of the Kahane–Peyrière theorem, interpreted through the associated smoothing-transform fixed point; see also [38].

For a nonnegative vector weight \(X=(X_0,X_1)\), define \[H^+(X) = \mathbb{E}\bigl[X_0\log_2^+X_0+X_1\log_2^+X_1\bigr],\] and \[\gamma(X) = \mathbb{E}\bigl[X_0\log_2 X_0+X_1\log_2 X_1\bigr],\] with \(0\log_2 0=0\). Since \(x\log_2 x\) has bounded negative part on \([0,\infty)\), the quantity \(\gamma(X)\) is a finite real number whenever \(H^+(X)<\infty\).

Let \[\kappa_X=\mathbb{P}\bigl((X_0,X_1)\in\{0,1\}^2\bigr).\]

Theorem 8. Assume that \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\), and let \(M=\lim_n M_n\).

  1. If \(\kappa_X<1\), then the following are equivalent:

    1. \(\mathbb{P}(M>0)>0\);

    2. \(\mathbb{E}M=1\);

    3. \(H^+(X)<\infty\) and \(\gamma(X)<0\).

  2. If \(\kappa_X=1\), then the following boundary dichotomy holds. If \[X_0+X_1=1 \qquad\text{almost surely},\] then \[M_n=1\quad(n\ge0), \qquad M=1 \quad\text{almost surely}.\] If instead \[\mathbb{P}(X_0+X_1=1)<1,\] then \[M=0 \qquad \text{almost surely}.\]

Remark 9. This is the binary specialization of Alsmeyer–Kuhlbusch [39], with \(T=(X_0,X_1,0,\ldots)\) and \(Z_1=X_0+X_1\). Since only two weights are nonzero and \(\mathbb{E}Z_1=1\), their \(L\log_2L\) condition is equivalent to \(H^+(X)<\infty\).

Corollary 1. If the vector law is energy-admissible in the sense of Definition 1, then \[\mathbb{E}M=1 \qquad \text{and} \qquad \mathbb{P}(M>0)>0.\] In particular, the limiting measure \(\mu\) satisfies \(\mathbb{P}(\mu\neq0)>0\).

The following example shows that the balanced condition alone does not imply nontriviality.

Example 1. Let \[(X_0,X_1)= \begin{cases} (1,1),& \text{with probability }1/2,\\ (0,0),& \text{with probability }1/2. \end{cases}\] Then \(\mathbb{E}X_0=\mathbb{E}X_1=1/2\), but \[\mathbb{E}[X_0\log_2X_0+X_1\log_2X_1]=0,\] so the strict entropy condition fails. The surviving vertices form a critical Galton–Watson tree with offspring distribution \[\mathbb{P}(N=2)=\mathbb{P}(N=0)=1/2,\] and hence become extinct almost surely. Thus the limiting cascade is trivial.

3.3 The vector moment profile↩︎

We next record the moment profile associated with the dyadic vector cascade. Moment profiles of this type are closely related to martingale and growth-rate methods in branching random walks; see, for example, [40].

Lemma 3. For every \(q>0\) and every \(n\ge0\), \[\label{eq:q-mass-identity-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}L_u^q\right]=\rho(q)^n,\tag{23}\] where the identity is understood in the extended sense, and where \(\rho(q)^0=1\).

Remark 10. The finite case follows by induction on \(n\) from the branching independence; the extended-valued case follows by truncating \(X_i\) and applying monotone convergence.

We next record the elementary convexity facts needed to interpret \(D_E(X)\).

Lemma 4. Assume the vector law is energy-admissible. Then the following hold.

  1. For \(0<q\le1\), one has \(\rho(q)<\infty\).

  2. The function \(q\mapsto \log_2\rho(q)\) is convex on every interval on which \(\rho(q)<\infty\).

  3. One has \[\rho(1)=1, \qquad \left.\frac{d}{dq}\right|_{q=1-}\log_2\rho(q)=\gamma(X)<0.\]

  4. For every \(0<q<1\), one has \(\rho(q)>1.\)

  5. The set \[I_X=\{q\in(1,2):\rho(q)<1\}\] is either empty or an initial interval of \((1,2)\), namely one of \[(1,q_*),\qquad (1,q_*],\qquad (1,2),\] where \(q_*\in(1,2)\) in the first two cases.

Proof. For \(0<q\le1\), \(x^q\le1+x\), and hence \(\rho(q)<\infty\). Writing \[\rho(q)=\int x^q\,d\nu_X(x),\qquad \nu_X=\mathbb{E}(\delta_{X_0}+\delta_{X_1}),\] Hölder’s inequality implies the log-convexity of \(\rho\) on its finiteness intervals.

The balanced assumption implies \(\rho(1)=1\). Since \(H^+(X)<\infty\), the family \(x^q\log_2 x\), \(q\uparrow1\), is dominated by \(x\log_2^+x+C\mathbf{1}_{\{0<x\le1\}}\), and hence \[\left.\frac{d}{dq}\right|_{q=1-}\log_2\rho(q) =\mathbb{E}[X_0\log_2X_0+X_1\log_2X_1] =\gamma(X)<0 .\] Convexity then implies \[\log_2\rho(q)\ge \gamma(X)(q-1)>0,\] so \(\rho(q)>1\).

If \(q_0\in I_X\), convexity between \(1\) and \(q_0\) implies \(\rho(q)<1\) for all \(1<q\le q_0\). Hence \(I_X\) is an initial interval of \((1,2)\), with the stated endpoint alternatives. ◻

Proposition 11. Assume the vector law is energy-admissible. Then \[\label{eq:vector-DE-variational-formula-paper} D_E(X) = \sup_{\substack{1<q<2\\ \rho(q)<1}} \left(-\frac{2}{q}\log_2\rho(q)\right),\qquad{(1)}\] with the empty supremum interpreted as \(0\). In particular, \(D_E(X)>0\) if and only if \(\rho(q)<1\) for some \(q\in(1,2)\).

Equivalently, \(D_E(X)>0\) if and only if \(\rho(q)<\infty\) for some \(q>1\).

Proof. Let \(0<s<1\). By Lemma 4, \(2^{qs/2}\rho(q)>1\) for \(0<q\le1\). Hence only \(q\in(1,2)\) can satisfy \(2^{qs/2}\rho(q)<1\). For such \(q\), this inequality is equivalent to \(\rho(q)<1\) and \(s<-\frac{2}{q}\log_2\rho(q)\). Taking the supremum over \(s\) and \(q\) implies the formula and the equivalence \[D_E(X)>0\iff \rho(q)<1 \quad\text{for some}\quad q\in(1,2).\]

If \(\rho(q)<1\), then \(\rho(q)<\infty\). Conversely, if \(\rho(q_0)<\infty\) for some \(q_0>1\), choose \(r\in(1,2)\) with \(r\le q_0\). The right derivative of \(\log_2\rho\) at \(1\) along \([1,r]\) equals \(\gamma(X)<0\), so \(\rho(q)<1\) for all \(q>1\) sufficiently close to \(1\). ◻

Corollary 2. Let \(W\ge0\) satisfy \(\mathbb{E}W=1\), let \(W_0,W_1\) be independent copies of \(W\), and set \(X_i=\frac{W_i}{2}\), \(i=0,1.\) Then the vector law is balanced and, for every \(q>0\), we have \[\rho(q)=2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}[W^q],\] with the identity understood in the extended sense.

If, in addition, the resulting vector law is energy-admissible, then \[D_E(X) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\},\] where the corresponding term is interpreted as \(0\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\). In particular, this applies under the scalar assumptions 13 .

Remark 12. The profile \(\rho(q)=\mathbb{E}[X_0^q+X_1^q]\) contains all sibling dependence relevant to the energy and Fourier lower-bound arguments. The coordinates \(X_0\) and \(X_1\) may be dependent. What is used repeatedly is independence between the descendant environments rooted at distinct vertices, together with the identity 23 .

4 Square sums and the vector energy theorem↩︎

This section proves the vector energy theorem, Theorem 19, which constitutes the first substantial step toward the proof of Theorem 1. Throughout this section, the dyadic vector-weight law is assumed to be energy-admissible. Thus the limiting measure \(\mu\) exists, \(\mathbb{P}(M>0)>0\), and the moment profile \(\rho(q)=\mathbb{E}[X_0^q+X_1^q]\) has the properties established in Section 3.

The proof of the energy theorem is divided into two regimes: a subcritical regime, based on fractional moments of tree-cylinder square sums, and a supercritical regime, based on a no-plateau lemma and an alive-tree amplification argument.

4.1 Deterministic square sums and energy↩︎

We begin by recalling the deterministic relation between one-dimensional Riesz energy and dyadic square sums, a standard fact in the theory of correlation dimensions; see, for example, [41].

Proposition 13. Let \(\nu\) be a nonzero finite Borel measure on \([0,1]\). Then \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu)=\dim_2(\nu)\). Equivalently, \[\dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu) = \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2 \Sigma_n(\nu)}{-n}.\]

Remark 14. If \(\nu\) has an atom of mass \(a>0\), then \(\Sigma_n(\nu)\ge a^2\) for every \(n\), and hence \(\dim_2(\nu)=0\). The diagonal contribution of this atom forces \(I_t(\nu)=\infty\) for every \(0<t<1\), so that \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\nu)=0\). This is consistent with Proposition 13.

The square sums that satisfy an exact branching recursion are the tree-cylinder square sums, rather than the Euclidean dyadic sums.

On the event of simultaneous descendant convergence, set \[C_u=L_uM^{(u)} \qquad(u\in\mathcal{T}).\] Then \[C_{\varnothing}=M\quad \text{and}\quad C_u=C_{u0}+C_{u1}\quad (u\in\mathcal{T}).\]

Definition 7 (Tree-cylinder square sums). For \(n\ge0\), define \[\Sigma_n = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}C_u^2.\]

More generally, for a vertex \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), define the descendant tree-cylinder square sum by \[\Sigma^{(u)}_n = \sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\left(C^{(u)}_v\right)^2, \qquad C^{(u)}_v=L_v^{(u)}M^{(uv)}.\]

Thus \[\Sigma_n=\Sigma^{(\varnothing)}_n \qquad\text{and}\qquad \Sigma_0=M^2.\]

Lemma 5. For every \(m,n\ge0\), \[\label{eq:tree-square-sum-branching-identity-paper} \Sigma_{m+n} = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^2\Sigma^{(u)}_n.\tag{24}\] In particular, \[\Sigma_{n+1} = X_0(\varnothing)^2\Sigma^{(0)}_n + X_1(\varnothing)^2\Sigma^{(1)}_n.\]

The descendant square sums \(\Sigma^{(u)}_n\), \(\lvert u \rvert=m\), are conditionally independent given \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\), have the same law as \(\Sigma_n\), and are independent of \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\).

Proof. Equation 24 follows immediately from the identity \(C_{uv}=L_uC_v^{(u)}\). The asserted independence and equality in law follow from the independence of the descendant environments below distinct level-\(m\) vertices. ◻

Lemma 6. Almost surely, on the event \(\{M>0\}\), one has \[\label{eq:elementary-tree-square-sum-bounds-paper} 2^{-n}M^2\le \Sigma_n\le M^2 \qquad(n\ge0).\tag{25}\] Consequently, \[0\le \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \le1 \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\]

Proof. We work on the event where all \(C_u\) are defined and consistent. Iterating \(C_u=C_{u0}+C_{u1}\) implies \(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}C_u=M\). Cauchy’s inequality implies 25 . On \(\{M>0\}\), taking logarithms and passing to the liminf yields the asserted bound. ◻

We now relate the tree-cylinder masses to the Euclidean limiting measure. Let \[\partial\mathcal{T}=\{0,1\}^{\mathbb{N}}, \qquad [u]_\partial=\{\omega\in\partial\mathcal{T}:\omega|_{\lvert u \rvert}=u\}.\] The consistent masses \(C_u\) define a finite Borel measure \(\mu_\partial\) on \(\partial\mathcal{T}\) by \[\mu_\partial([u]_\partial)=C_u.\] Let \[\pi:\partial\mathcal{T}\to[0,1], \qquad \pi(\omega)=\sum_{j=1}^{\infty}\omega_j2^{-j}\] be the binary coding map.

Lemma 7. Almost surely, \[\label{eq:boundary-representation-paper} \mu=\pi_\#\mu_\partial.\tag{26}\]

Proof. For every dyadic cylinder \([u]_\partial\), the measures \(\mu_n\) assign asymptotic mass \(C_u\) to \(I_u\), while \(\mu_\partial([u]_\partial)=C_u\). Thus \(\mu_n\) and \(\pi_\#\mu_\partial\) have the same limits on dyadic step functions. Uniform approximation of \(C([0,1])\) by dyadic step functions, together with \(\sup_n\mu_n([0,1])<\infty\), implies \(\mu=\pi_\#\mu_\partial\). ◻

Lemma 8. Almost surely, on the event \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:endpoint-transfer-square-sums-paper} \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} = \dim_2(\mu) = \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n(\mu)}{-n}.\tag{27}\]

Proof. The second equality is the definition of \(\dim_2(\mu)\). It remains to compare the tree and Euclidean square sums.

If \(\mu\) has an atom of mass \(a>0\), then by Lemma 7, \(\mu_\partial(\pi^{-1}\{x\})=a\) for some \(x\). Since \(\pi^{-1}\{x\}\) has at most two points, there exists a boundary path \(\omega\) such that \(\mu_\partial(\{\omega\})\ge a/2\). Thus \[C_{\omega|n}\ge a/2 \qquad(n\ge0),\] and hence \(\Sigma_n\ge a^2/4\). Together with \(\Sigma_n\le M^2\), this yields \[\liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n}=0.\] By Remark 14, \(\dim_2(\mu)=0\).

If \(\mu\) is non-atomic, then so is \(\mu_\partial\); since \(\pi^{-1}(I_u)\) and \([u]_\partial\) differ only by finitely many endpoint codings, \(\mu(I_u)=C_u\) for every \(u\). Hence \(\Sigma_n(\mu)=\Sigma_n\) for all \(n\). ◻

4.2 Subcritical square-sum decay↩︎

For \(0<s<1\) and \(0<q<2\), set \[\label{eq:energy-contraction-profile-paper} m_s(q)=2^{qs/2}\rho(q).\tag{28}\] The subcritical regime is characterized by the condition \(m_s(q)<1\) for some \(q\in(1,2)\). We first record the required terminal-mass moment estimate.

Lemma 9. Let \(q>1\). Assume \(\mathbb{E}(X_0+X_1)=1\). If \(\rho(q)=\mathbb{E}[X_0^q+X_1^q]<1,\) then \[\sup_{n\ge0}\mathbb{E}[M_n^q]<\infty, \qquad \mathbb{E}[M^q]<\infty.\]

Proof. Set \(S=X_0+X_1\). We first treat \(1<q\le2\). Since \(S^q\le 2^{q-1}(X_0^q+X_1^q)\), it follows that \(\mathbb{E}|S-1|^q<\infty\). Let \(D_{n+1}=M_{n+1}-M_n\). Writing \(S(u)=X_0(u)+X_1(u)\), \[D_{n+1} = \sum_{|u|=n}L_u\bigl(S(u)-1\bigr).\] Conditionally on \(\mathcal{F}_n^X\), the variables \(L_u(S(u)-1)\) \((|u|=n)\), are independent and centered. Hence the conditional von Bahr–Esseen inequality yields \[\mathbb{E}\bigl[|D_{n+1}|^q\mid\mathcal{F}_n^X\bigr] \le 2\mathbb{E}|S-1|^q\sum_{|u|=n}L_u^q .\] Taking expectations and using Lemma 3, we obtain \[\mathbb{E}|D_{n+1}|^q \le 2\mathbb{E}|S-1|^q\,\rho(q)^n, \qquad \|D_{n+1}\|_q \le \bigl(2\mathbb{E}|S-1|^q\bigr)^{1/q}\rho(q)^{n/q}.\] Since \(M_n=1+\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}D_{k+1}\), Minkowski’s inequality implies \[\sup_{n\ge0}\|M_n\|_q \le 1+ \frac{\bigl(2\mathbb{E}|S-1|^q\bigr)^{1/q}}{1-\rho(q)^{1/q}}.\] Thus \(\sup_{n\ge0}\mathbb{E}[M_n^q]<\infty\). Since \(M_n\to M\) a.s., Fatou’s lemma implies \(\mathbb{E}[M^q]<\infty\).

It remains to consider \(q>2\). We first note that \(\rho(q)<1\) implies \(\rho(p)<1\) for every \(1<p\le q\). Indeed, if \(p=(1-\theta)+\theta q\), \(0<\theta\le1\), then Hölder’s inequality yields \[\rho(p) = \mathbb{E}[X_0^p+X_1^p] \le \bigl(\mathbb{E}[X_0+X_1]\bigr)^{1-\theta} \bigl(\mathbb{E}[X_0^q+X_1^q]\bigr)^\theta = \rho(q)^\theta <1.\]

We argue by induction over \((m,m+1]\), \(m\ge2\). Assume the assertion holds at exponent \(q-1\). Let \(M_n^{(0)}\) and \(M_n^{(1)}\) be independent copies of \(M_n\), independent of \(X=(X_0,X_1)\). By the branching construction, \[M_{n+1} \stackrel{d}= X_0M_n^{(0)}+X_1M_n^{(1)}.\] Using \[(x+y)^q \le x^q+y^q+C_q\bigl(x^{q-1}y+xy^{q-1}\bigr), \qquad x,y\ge0,\] together with independence and \(\mathbb{E}M_n=1\), we obtain \[\mathbb{E}[M_{n+1}^q] \le \rho(q)\mathbb{E}[M_n^q] + C_q\mathbb{E}\!\left[X_0^{q-1}X_1+X_0X_1^{q-1}\right]\mathbb{E}[M_n^{q-1}].\] Young’s inequality implies \[\mathbb{E}\!\left[X_0^{q-1}X_1+X_0X_1^{q-1}\right] \le \rho(q)<\infty .\] Since \(\rho(q-1)<1\), the induction hypothesis yields \[\sup_{n\ge0}\mathbb{E}[M_n^{q-1}]<\infty .\] Consequently, for some finite \(C_q'\), \[\mathbb{E}[M_{n+1}^q] \le \rho(q)\mathbb{E}[M_n^q]+C_q', \qquad n\ge0 .\] Since \(\rho(q)<1\), iteration yields \[\sup_{n\ge0}\mathbb{E}[M_n^q]<\infty .\] Finally, Fatou’s lemma and \(M_n\to M\) a.s. imply \[\mathbb{E}[M^q] \le \liminf_{n\to\infty}\mathbb{E}[M_n^q] <\infty.\] ◻

Lemma 10. Let \(q>1\), and suppose that \(\rho(q)<1\). Then \(\mathbb{E}[M^q]<\infty\). Moreover, for every \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), the descendant terminal mass \(M^{(u)}\) has the same law as \(M\). In particular, \[\mathbb{E}[(M^{(u)})^q]<\infty.\]

Proof. Apply Lemma 9 to the binary vector \((X_0,X_1)\); descendant cascades have the same law as the original one. ◻

By Lemma 10, whenever \(0<s<1\), \(1<q<2\), and \(m_s(q)<1\), we have \(\mathbb{E}[M^q]<\infty\).

Theorem 15 (Subcritical tree-cylinder square-sum decay). Let \(0<s<1\), \(1<q<2\), and set \(p=\frac{q}{2}\in(0,1)\). Assume \[m_s(q)=2^{qs/2}\rho(q)<1.\] Then, for every \(n\ge0\), \[\mathbb{E}\left[(2^{sn}\Sigma_n)^p\right] \le \mathbb{E}[M^q]\,m_s(q)^n .\]

In particular, \(2^{sn}\Sigma_n\to0\) almost surely.

Proof. By the preceding observation, \(\mathbb{E}[M^q]<\infty\). Using \(C_u=L_uM^{(u)}\), independence, \(M^{(u)}\stackrel d=M\), and subadditivity of \(x^p\) for \(p=q/2<1\), we get \(\mathbb{E}\Sigma_n^p\le \mathbb{E}[M^q]\rho(q)^n\). Multiplying by \(2^{snp}=2^{snq/2}\), we obtain \[\mathbb{E}\left[(2^{sn}\Sigma_n)^p\right] \le \mathbb{E}[M^q]\bigl(2^{sq/2}\rho(q)\bigr)^n = \mathbb{E}[M^q]m_s(q)^n.\]

Since \(m_s(q)<1\), Markov’s inequality implies, for every \(\varepsilon>0\), \[\sum_{n=0}^\infty \mathbb{P}(2^{sn}\Sigma_n>\varepsilon) \le \varepsilon^{-p}\mathbb{E}[M^q]\sum_{n=0}^\infty m_s(q)^n <\infty.\] By Borel–Cantelli, applied with \(\varepsilon=1/k\), it follows that \(2^{sn}\Sigma_n\to0\) almost surely. ◻

Corollary 3. If \(0<s<D_E(X)\), then \[\label{eq:subcritical-tree-exponent-lower-bound-paper} \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \ge s \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\tag{29}\] Consequently, \[\label{eq:tree-exponent-lower-DE-paper} \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \ge D_E(X) \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\tag{30}\]

Proof. If \(D_E(X)=0\), the final bound follows from Lemma 6. Assume that \(D_E(X)>0\), and let \(0<s<D_E(X)\). By Proposition 11, there exists \(q\in(1,2)\) such that \(m_s(q)<1\). Hence Theorem 15 implies \(2^{sn}\Sigma_n\to0\) almost surely. Thus, almost surely, \(\Sigma_n\le 2^{-sn}\) for all sufficiently large \(n\). On \(\{M>0\}\), Lemma 6 ensures that \(\Sigma_n>0\), and therefore \[\liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \ge s.\] Letting \(s\uparrow D_E(X)\) along a countable sequence yields 30 . ◻

Corollary 4. Almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\dim_2(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)\ge D_E(X).\]

Proof. By Lemma 8 and Corollary 3, \[\dim_2(\mu) = \liminf_{n\to\infty}\frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \ge D_E(X)\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\). Since \(\mu\) is then a nonzero finite Borel measure, Proposition 13 applies and implies \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)\). ◻

4.3 The no-plateau lemma and the supercritical obstruction↩︎

Let \[N_X=\mathbf{1}_{\{X_0>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{X_1>0\}}\] denote the number of positive children of a single vertex.

We now prove the supercritical half of the square-sum estimate. The first step is a no-plateau statement for \[m_s(q)=2^{qs/2}\rho(q),\] showing that, above \(D_E(X)\), this profile is uniformly separated from \(1\).

Lemma 11. Under energy-admissibility, \(\mathbb{E}N_X>1\).

Proof. Let \(\mathcal{T}_+=\{u:L_u>0\}\). Its offspring law is \(N_X\). Since energy-admissibility implies \(\mathbb{P}(M>0)>0\), the alive tree survives with positive probability.

If \(\mathbb{E}N_X<1\), then, for the alive population \(Z_n\), \[\mathbb{P}(Z_n>0)\le \mathbb{E}Z_n=(\mathbb{E}N_X)^n\to0,\] so the survival probability is zero. If \(\mathbb{E}N_X=1\), positive survival probability forces the critical Galton–Watson law to be degenerate, namely \(N_X=1\) almost surely. Thus exactly one coordinate of \(X\) is positive almost surely. With \(S=X_0+X_1\), balance implies \(\mathbb{E}S=1\), and \[X_0\log_2X_0+X_1\log_2X_1=S\log_2S.\] By Jensen’s inequality, \[\mathbb{E}[S\log_2S]\ge \mathbb{E}S\log_2\mathbb{E}S=0,\] contradicting the strict entropy condition in energy-admissibility. Hence \(\mathbb{E}N_X>1\). ◻

Lemma 12. For every compact interval \(K\subset(0,1)\), there exist \(q_0>0\) and \(\eta>0\) such that \[m_s(q)\ge 1+\eta \qquad s\in K \quad\text{and}\quad 0<q\le q_0.\]

Proof. For \(0<q\le1\), one has \(X_0^q+X_1^q\le 2+X_0+X_1,\) which is integrable. Since \(X_i^q\to\mathbf{1}_{\{X_i>0\}}\) as \(q\downarrow0\), dominated convergence and Lemma 11 imply \[\rho(q)\to \mathbb{E}N_X>1.\] Moreover, \(2^{qs/2}\to1\) uniformly for \(s\in K\). Hence \(m_s(q)=2^{qs/2}\rho(q)\to\mathbb{E}N_X>1\) uniformly on \(K\), establishing the claimed gap. ◻

Lemma 13 (No plateau above the energy threshold). If \(D_E(X)<s<1\), then \[\inf_{0<q<2}m_s(q)>1.\]

Proof. Suppose that \(D_E(X)<s<1\) and \(\inf_{0<q<2}m_s(q)=1\). Set \[s_0=\frac{D_E(X)+s}{2}.\] Then \(D_E(X)<s_0<s\), and by the definition of \(D_E(X)\), \(\inf_{0<q<2}m_{s_0}(q)\ge1\). By Lemma 12, there exist \(q_0>0\) and \(\eta>0\) such that \[m_s(q)\ge1+\eta \qquad(0<q\le q_0).\] Thus there exists a sequence \(q_j\in[q_0,2)\) such that \(m_s(q_j)\to1\). Since \(m_{s_0}(q)=2^{-q(s-s_0)/2}m_s(q)\), we obtain \[\inf_{0<q<2}m_{s_0}(q) \le \liminf_j m_{s_0}(q_j) \le 2^{-q_0(s-s_0)/2}<1,\] contradicting the preceding lower bound. Hence \(\inf_{0<q<2}m_s(q)>1\). ◻

For \(s\in(0,1)\), set \[A_i^{(s)}=2^sX_i^2, \quad i=0,1, \qquad \text{and}\qquad Z_n^{(s)}=2^{sn}\Sigma_n.\] The one-step branching identity yields \[\label{eq:normalized-square-sum-recursion-paper} Z_{n+1}^{(s)} = A_0^{(s)} Z_n^{(0,s)} + A_1^{(s)} Z_n^{(1,s)},\tag{31}\] where \(Z_n^{(0,s)}\) and \(Z_n^{(1,s)}\) are independent copies of \(Z_n^{(s)}\), independent of \(X\).

Lemma 14. Let \(D_E(X)<s<1\). For \(0\le\theta\le1\), define \[\kappa_s(\theta) = \begin{cases} \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[\mathbf{1}_{\{A_0^{(s)}>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{A_1^{(s)}>0\}}\right], & \theta=0,\\[8pt] \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[(A_0^{(s)})^\theta+(A_1^{(s)})^\theta\right], & 0<\theta\le1. \end{cases}\] Then \[\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa_s(\theta)>1.\]

Moreover, there exists \(\lambda\in(0,1)\) such that, if \[\kappa_{s,\lambda}(\theta) = \begin{cases} \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[\mathbf{1}_{\{A_0^{(s)}>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{A_1^{(s)}>0\}}\right], & \theta=0,\\[8pt] \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[(\lambda A_0^{(s)})^\theta+(\lambda A_1^{(s)})^\theta\right], & 0<\theta\le1, \end{cases}\] then \[\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa_{s,\lambda}(\theta)>1.\]

Proof. For \(0<\theta<1\), setting \(q=2\theta\) yields \(\kappa_s(\theta)=m_s(q)\), so the interior bound follows from Lemma 13. The endpoint \(\theta=0\) follows from Lemma 11, and the endpoint \(\theta=1\) follows by taking \(q\uparrow2\). Hence \[c:=\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa_s(\theta)>1.\]

Choose \(\lambda\in(0,1)\) sufficiently close to \(1\) so that \(\lambda c>1\). For \(0<\theta\le1\), \[\kappa_{s,\lambda}(\theta) = \lambda^\theta\kappa_s(\theta) \ge \lambda c>1,\] while \[\kappa_{s,\lambda}(0)=\kappa_s(0)\ge c.\] This proves the discounted condition. ◻

Lemma 15. Let \(D_E(X)<s<1\), and let \(\lambda\in(0,1)\) be chosen as in Lemma 14. Define \[Y_s=\limsup_{n\to\infty}Z_n^{(s)}.\] If \(Y_s<\infty\) almost surely, then \[Z_{s,\lambda}:=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\lambda^nZ_n^{(s)}\] is finite almost surely. Its Laplace transform \(\phi_{s,\lambda}(t)=\mathbb{E}[e^{-tZ_{s,\lambda}}]\), \(t\ge0\), satisfies \[\label{eq:discounted-smoothing-subsolution-paper} \phi_{s,\lambda}(t) \le \mathbb{E}\left[ \phi_{s,\lambda}(\lambda A_0^{(s)}t) \phi_{s,\lambda}(\lambda A_1^{(s)}t) \right]\tag{32}\] for every \(t\ge0\).

Proof. If \(Y_s<\infty\) almost surely, then \(Z_n^{(s)}\) is eventually bounded almost surely; since \(\lambda<1\), the discounted series is finite almost surely.

Let \(Z_{s,\lambda}^{(0)}\) and \(Z_{s,\lambda}^{(1)}\) be the corresponding discounted series in the two descendant subtrees. They are independent copies of \(Z_{s,\lambda}\), independent of \(X\). Using 31 , \[Z_{s,\lambda} = Z_0^{(s)} + \lambda A_0^{(s)}Z_{s,\lambda}^{(0)} + \lambda A_1^{(s)}Z_{s,\lambda}^{(1)}.\] Since \(Z_0^{(s)}=M^2\ge0\), \[Z_{s,\lambda} \ge \lambda A_0^{(s)}Z_{s,\lambda}^{(0)} + \lambda A_1^{(s)}Z_{s,\lambda}^{(1)}.\] Taking \(e^{-t(\cdot)}\), using monotonicity, and conditioning on \(A_0^{(s)},A_1^{(s)}\), we obtain 32 . ◻

Lemma 16. Let \((A_0,A_1)\) be a pair of almost surely finite nonnegative random variables, and define the possibly extended-valued function \(\kappa:[0,1]\to[0,\infty]\) by \[\kappa(\theta) = \begin{cases} \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[\mathbf{1}_{\{A_0>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{A_1>0\}}\right], & \theta=0,\\[8pt] \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[A_0^\theta+A_1^\theta\right], & 0<\theta\le1. \end{cases}\] Assume that \[\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa(\theta)>1.\]

Let \(\mathcal{T}=\bigcup_{n\ge0}\{0,1\}^n\) be the full binary tree, with root \(\varnothing\). Let \[\bigl\{(A_0(v),A_1(v)):v\in\mathcal{T}\bigr\}\] be an i.i.d. family of copies of \((A_0,A_1)\). For \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_n)\in\{0,1\}^n\), write \(u|_{j-1}=(u_1,\ldots,u_{j-1})\), with \(u|_0=\varnothing\), and define \[A_u = \prod_{j=1}^{n}A_{u_j}(u|_{j-1}), \qquad A_\varnothing=1.\] Then there exist \(N\ge1\), \(\tau>0\), and \(\beta>1\) such that \[\beta\tau>1 \quad \text{and} \quad \mathbb{E}\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^N:A_u\ge\tau\}>\beta.\]

Proof. Let \[\alpha_0=\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa(\theta)>1.\] Choose \(\delta_0>0\) such that \[1+2\delta_0<\alpha_0 .\]

For \(m\ge2\), set \[A_i^{[m]} = A_i\mathbf{1}_{\{m^{-1}\le A_i\le m\}}, \qquad i=0,1,\] and define \[\kappa_m(\theta) = \begin{cases} \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbf{1}_{\{A_0^{[m]}>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{A_1^{[m]}>0\}} \right], & \theta=0,\\[8pt] \displaystyle \mathbb{E}\left[ \bigl(A_0^{[m]}\bigr)^\theta+ \bigl(A_1^{[m]}\bigr)^\theta \right], & 0<\theta\le1. \end{cases}\] For each fixed \(\theta\in[0,1]\), monotone convergence yields \(\kappa_m(\theta)\uparrow\kappa(\theta)\), with the case \(\theta=0\) understood through the indicators of \(\{A_i>0\}\). Since \(\inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa(\theta)>1+2\delta_0\), continuity of the truncated functions \(\kappa_m\) and compactness of \([0,1]\) allow us to choose a single \(m_0\) such that \[\inf_{0\le\vartheta\le1}\kappa_{m_0}(\vartheta)>1+\delta_0.\]

We claim that it is enough to prove the lemma for the truncated pair \((A_0^{[m_0]},A_1^{[m_0]}).\) Indeed, for each vertex \(v\in\mathcal{T}\), set \[A_i^{[m_0]}(v) = A_i(v)\mathbf{1}_{\{m_0^{-1}\le A_i(v)\le m_0\}}, \qquad i=0,1.\] Then \(\{(A_0^{[m_0]}(v),A_1^{[m_0]}(v)):v\in\mathcal{T}\}\) is an i.i.d. family of copies of \((A_0^{[m_0]},A_1^{[m_0]})\). If \[A_u^{[m_0]} = \prod_{j=1}^{\lvert u \rvert}A_{u_j}^{[m_0]}(u|_{j-1}),\] then \[0\le A_u^{[m_0]}\le A_u\] for every \(u\in\mathcal{T}\). Consequently, for every \(\tau>0\), \[\{u:A_u^{[m_0]}\ge\tau\} \subseteq \{u:A_u\ge\tau\}.\] Thus any lower bound for the expected number of truncated products exceeding \(\tau\) is also a lower bound for the corresponding original products.

Therefore, from now on, replace \((A_0,A_1)\) by the truncated pair \((A_0^{[m_0]},A_1^{[m_0]})\), and write it again as \((A_0,A_1)\). We also write \(\kappa\) for the corresponding function associated with this new pair. Then \[A_i\in\{0\}\cup[m_0^{-1},m_0], \qquad i=0,1,\] and, by the preceding display, \[\label{eq:truncated-uniform-supercritical-paper} \inf_{0\le\theta\le1}\kappa(\theta)>1.\tag{33}\]

Define a finite measure \(\nu\) on \(\mathbb{R}\) by \[\nu(B) = \mathbb{E}\sum_{i=0}^1 \mathbf{1}_{\{A_i>0,\;\ln A_i\in B\}}, \qquad B\in\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}).\] Since \(A_i\in\{0\}\cup[m_0^{-1},m_0]\), the measure \(\nu\) is supported on \([-\ln m_0,\ln m_0]\). For \(\theta\in\mathbb{R}\), define \[\Lambda(\theta) = \ln\int e^{\theta x}\,\nu(dx).\] This is well-defined because \(\nu\) has compact support and positive total mass. Moreover, for \(0\le\theta\le1\), \[\int e^{\theta x}\,\nu(dx) = \mathbb{E}\sum_{i=0}^1 \mathbf{1}_{\{A_i>0\}}e^{\theta\ln A_i}.\] For \(0<\theta\le1\), this equals \(\mathbb{E}\left[A_0^\theta+A_1^\theta\right]\), while for \(\theta=0\) it equals \(\mathbb{E}\left[\mathbf{1}_{\{A_0>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{A_1>0\}}\right]\).

By 33 , \[\Lambda(\theta)=\ln\kappa(\theta)>0, \qquad 0\le\theta\le1.\]

Since \(\nu\) has compact support and positive total mass, \(\Lambda\) is finite, convex, and \(C^\infty\) on \(\mathbb{R}\).

We next use a simple geometric consequence of convexity. Since \(\Lambda>0\) on \([0,1]\), one can choose \(\theta_0\in(0,1)\) such that the tangent line to \(\Lambda\) at \(\theta_0\) is positive at both endpoints \(0\) and \(1\). Indeed, this is immediate by taking a minimizer of \(\Lambda\) on \([0,1]\): if the minimizer lies in the interior, the tangent is horizontal, while if it lies at an endpoint, one moves slightly into the interval.

Set \[r=\Lambda'(\theta_0), \qquad \gamma=\Lambda(\theta_0)-\theta_0\Lambda'(\theta_0).\] The values of the tangent line \[t\mapsto \Lambda(\theta_0)+(t-\theta_0)\Lambda'(\theta_0)\] at \(t=0\) and \(t=1\) are respectively \(\gamma\) and \(\gamma+r\). Thus \(\gamma>0\), \(\gamma+r>0\). Define a probability measure \(Q\) on \(\mathbb{R}\) by \[Q(dx) = e^{\theta_0x-\Lambda(\theta_0)}\,\nu(dx).\] Indeed, \[Q(\mathbb{R}) = e^{-\Lambda(\theta_0)} \int e^{\theta_0x}\,\nu(dx) = 1.\] Let \(Y_1,Y_2,\ldots\) be i.i.d. random variables with law \(Q\), and write \(S_N=Y_1+\cdots+Y_N\). Since \(Q\) has compact support, \(Y_1\) is integrable, and by the strong law of large numbers, \[\frac{S_N}{N}\longrightarrow \mathbb{E}_QY_1 \qquad Q\text{-a.s.}\] Moreover, \[\mathbb{E}_QY_1 = \int x\,Q(dx) = e^{-\Lambda(\theta_0)}\int xe^{\theta_0x}\,\nu(dx) = \Lambda'(\theta_0) = r.\] Therefore \[\frac{S_N}{N}\longrightarrow r \qquad Q\text{-a.s.}\]

Choose \(\eta>0\) sufficiently small that \[\gamma-\theta_0\eta>0, \qquad \gamma+r-\eta-\theta_0\eta>0.\]

Then choose \(\delta>0\) sufficiently small that \[\label{eq:delta-choice-finite-block-paper} \gamma-\theta_0\eta-2\delta>0, \qquad \gamma+r-\eta-\theta_0\eta-2\delta>0.\tag{34}\]

For \(N\ge1\), define \[Z_N = \#\left\{ u\in\{0,1\}^N: A_u\ge e^{N(r-\eta)} \right\}.\] Equivalently, \[Z_N = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=N} \mathbf{1}_{\{A_u>0\}} \mathbf{1}_{[N(r-\eta),\infty)}(\ln A_u).\]

We shall use the following many-to-one identity: for every nonnegative Borel function \(f:\mathbb{R}\to[0,\infty]\) and every \(N\ge1\), \[\label{eq:many-to-one-nu-convolution-paper} \mathbb{E}\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=N} \mathbf{1}_{\{A_u>0\}}f(\ln A_u) = \int f(x)\,\nu^{*N}(dx).\tag{35}\] Indeed, the case \(N=1\) is precisely the definition of \(\nu\), and the general case follows by induction on \(N\), using the independence of the weights on different vertices and the definition of convolution.

Taking \[f(x)=\mathbf{1}_{[N(r-\eta),\infty)}(x)\] in 35 , we obtain \[\mathbb{E}Z_N = \nu^{*N}\bigl([N(r-\eta),\infty)\bigr).\]

Let \(I_N=[N(r-\eta),N(r+\eta)]\). Then \[\mathbb{E}Z_N \ge \nu^{*N}(I_N).\] We next estimate \(\nu^{*N}(I_N)\). Since \(Q(dx)=e^{\theta_0x-\Lambda(\theta_0)}\,\nu(dx)\), we have \[\nu(dx)=e^{\Lambda(\theta_0)-\theta_0x}\,Q(dx).\] Hence, by the definition of convolution and by the fact that \((Y_1,\ldots,Y_N)\) has law \(Q^{\otimes N}\), \[\begin{align} \nu^{*N}(I_N) &= e^{N\Lambda(\theta_0)} \mathbb{E}_Q\left[ e^{-\theta_0S_N}\mathbf{1}_{\{S_N\in I_N\}} \right] \\ &\ge e^{N\Lambda(\theta_0)} e^{-\theta_0N(r+\eta)} Q(S_N\in I_N). \end{align}\] By the strong law, \[Q(S_N\in I_N)\longrightarrow1.\] Consequently, for all sufficiently large \(N\), \(Q(S_N\in I_N)\ge e^{-N\delta}\). For such \(N\), \[\mathbb{E}Z_N \ge \exp\left(N(\Lambda(\theta_0)-\theta_0r-\theta_0\eta-\delta)\right).\] Since \(\gamma=\Lambda(\theta_0)-\theta_0r\), this becomes \[\mathbb{E}Z_N \ge \exp\left(N(\gamma-\theta_0\eta-\delta)\right).\]

Choose such an \(N\), and set \[\tau=e^{N(r-\eta)}, \qquad \beta=\exp\left(N(\gamma-\theta_0\eta-2\delta)\right).\] By 34 , \(\beta>1\). Moreover, \(\mathbb{E}Z_N>\beta\). Since \[Z_N=\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^N:A_u\ge\tau\},\] we have \[\mathbb{E}\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^N:A_u\ge\tau\}>\beta.\] Finally, \[\beta\tau = \exp\left( N(\gamma+r-\eta-\theta_0\eta-2\delta) \right)>1\] by 34 . This proves the lemma for the truncated pair, and hence for the original pair. ◻

Lemma 17. Let \((Z_k)_{k\ge0}\) be a Galton–Watson process with \(Z_0=1\), offspring distribution \(\xi\), and mean \(m=\mathbb{E}\xi>1\). Assume that \(\xi\) is bounded. Then, for every \(1<\beta<m\), \(Z_k\ge \beta^k\) for all sufficiently large \(k\), almost surely on the survival event \[S=\{Z_k>0\text{ for all }k\ge0\}.\]

Proof. Since \(\xi\) is bounded, \(\mathbb{E}[\xi\log^+\xi]<\infty\). By the Kesten–Stigum theorem for supercritical Galton–Watson processes, \[\frac{Z_k}{m^k}\longrightarrow Y_\infty\] almost surely, where \(Y_\infty>0\) almost surely on the survival event \(S\); see [42], or the original theorem of Kesten and Stigum [43]. Hence, on \(S\), \[\frac{Z_k}{\beta^k} = \frac{Z_k}{m^k}\left(\frac{m}{\beta}\right)^k \longrightarrow \infty.\] Therefore \(Z_k\ge \beta^k\) for all sufficiently large \(k\), almost surely on \(S\). ◻

Proposition 16 (Positive-probability supercritical divergence). Let \(D_E(X)<s<1\). Then \[\label{eq:positive-probability-supercritical-divergence-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n=\infty \right)>0.\qquad{(2)}\]

Proof. Recall that \(A_i^{(s)}=2^sX_i^2\), \(i=0,1\), and, for \(u\in\mathcal{T}\), \[A_u^{(s)} = \prod_{j=1}^{\lvert u \rvert} A_{u_j}^{(s)}(u|_{j-1}).\] Thus \(A_u^{(s)}=2^{s\lvert u \rvert}L_u^2\), and \[\label{eq:scaled-square-sum-as-A-sum-paper} 2^{sn}\Sigma_n = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n} A_u^{(s)}\bigl(M^{(u)}\bigr)^2.\tag{36}\]

By Lemma 14, \[\inf_{0\le\theta\le1} \mathbb{E}\left[ \bigl(A_0^{(s)}\bigr)^\theta+ \bigl(A_1^{(s)}\bigr)^\theta \right] >1,\] with \(a^0=\mathbf{1}_{\{a>0\}}\). Applying Lemma 16 to \(\bigl(A_0^{(s)},A_1^{(s)}\bigr)\), we obtain \(N\ge1\), \(\tau>0\), and \(\beta>1\) such that \[\beta\tau>1, \qquad m:= \mathbb{E}\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^N:A_u^{(s)}\ge\tau\}>\beta.\]

Define an embedded \(N\)-block Galton–Watson process. The root is good; if \(u\) is good, then \(uv\), \(v\in\{0,1\}^N\), is good if and only if \[\frac{A_{uv}^{(s)}}{A_u^{(s)}}\ge\tau.\] Let \(\mathcal{G}_k\) be the set of good vertices in generation \(k\). The offspring distribution has mean \(m>\beta>1\) and is bounded by \(2^N\); hence the process survives with positive probability. Denote its survival event by \(S_{\mathrm{good}}\). By Lemma 17, on \(S_{\mathrm{good}}\), \[\label{eq:good-tree-growth-eventual-paper} \#\mathcal{G}_k\ge\beta^k\tag{37}\] for all sufficiently large \(k\), almost surely. Moreover, every \(u\in\mathcal{G}_k\) satisfies \[\lvert u \rvert=kN, \qquad A_u^{(s)}\ge\tau^k.\]

Since \(\mathbb{P}(M>0)>0\), choose \(a>0\) with \[p_a:=\mathbb{P}(M^2\ge a)>0.\] For each \(k\), conditionally on \(\mathcal{F}^X_{kN}\), the variables \[\mathbf{1}_{\{(M^{(u)})^2\ge a\}}, \qquad u\in\mathcal{G}_k,\] are independent Bernoulli variables with parameter \(p_a\). Hence, by the binomial Chernoff bound, there exists \(c_a>0\) such that \[\mathbb{P}(B_k\mid\mathcal{F}^X_{kN}) \le \exp(-c_a\#\mathcal{G}_k),\] where \[B_k = \left\{ \#\left\{ u\in\mathcal{G}_k: (M^{(u)})^2\ge a \right\} < \frac{p_a}{2}\#\mathcal{G}_k \right\}.\]

For \(L\ge1\), set \[C_L = \left\{ \#\mathcal{G}_k\ge\beta^k \text{ for every } k\ge L \right\}.\] For \(k\ge L\), \[\mathbb{P}(B_k\cap C_L) \le \mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbf{1}_{\{\#\mathcal{G}_k\ge\beta^k\}} \mathbb{P}(B_k\mid\mathcal{F}^X_{kN}) \right] \le \exp(-c_a\beta^k).\] Thus \(\sum_{k=L}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}(B_k\cap C_L)<\infty\), and Borel–Cantelli implies \[\mathbb{P}(B_k\;\text{i.o.}\;\cap C_L)=0.\] Since, by 37 , \[S_{\mathrm{good}} \subseteq \bigcup_{L=1}^{\infty}C_L\] up to a null event, we have \[\mathbb{P}(B_k\;\text{i.o.}\;\cap S_{\mathrm{good}})=0.\] Consequently, on \(S_{\mathrm{good}}\), almost surely, for all sufficiently large \(k\), \[\#\left\{ u\in\mathcal{G}_k: (M^{(u)})^2\ge a \right\} \ge \frac{p_a}{2}\#\mathcal{G}_k \ge \frac{p_a}{2}\beta^k.\]

Along \(n=kN\), from 36 , we obtain \[\begin{align} 2^{skN}\Sigma_{kN} &= \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=kN} A_u^{(s)}\bigl(M^{(u)}\bigr)^2 \\ &\ge a\tau^k \#\left\{ u\in\mathcal{G}_k: (M^{(u)})^2\ge a \right\} \ge \frac{a p_a}{2}(\beta\tau)^k . \end{align}\] Since \(\beta\tau>1\), the right-hand side tends to \(+\infty\). Therefore \[\limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n=\infty\] on \(S_{\mathrm{good}}\), up to a null event. Since \(\mathbb{P}(S_{\mathrm{good}})>0\), ?? follows. ◻

4.4 Alive-tree amplification↩︎

The previous proposition establishes divergence with positive probability. We now amplify this to an almost sure statement on the non-extinction event \(\{M>0\}\).

Let \[\mathcal{T}_+=\{u\in\mathcal{T}:L_u>0\}\] be the alive tree. Its generation-\(n\) population size is \[Z_n^+=\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^n:L_u>0\}.\]

Lemma 18 (Alive-tree growth). The alive tree is a supercritical Galton–Watson tree. On its survival event, \(Z_n^+\to\infty\) almost surely. Moreover, \[\{M>0\}\subseteq\{\mathcal{T}_+\text{ survives}\}\] up to null events.

Proof. Each alive vertex has offspring law \[N_X=\mathbf{1}_{\{X_0>0\}}+\mathbf{1}_{\{X_1>0\}},\] and offspring numbers at distinct vertices are independent. Hence \(\mathcal{T}_+\) is a Galton–Watson tree. By Lemma 11, \(\mathbb{E}N_X>1\); thus it is supercritical, and its population tends to infinity almost surely on its survival event.

If the alive tree becomes extinct, then \(L_u=0\) for all sufficiently deep vertices \(u\). Hence \(M_n=0\) eventually, and therefore \(M=0\). Thus \[\{M>0\}\subseteq\{\mathcal{T}_+\text{ survives}\}\] up to null events. ◻

For a vertex \(u\), define the descendant normalized square-sum limsup by \[Y_s^{(u)} = \limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n^{(u)}.\] For each fixed \(m\), conditionally on \(\mathcal{F}_m^X\), the family \[\{Y_s^{(u)}:\lvert u \rvert=m\}\] is independent, and each member has the same law as \[Y_s=\limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n.\]

Proposition 17 (Subtree amplification for supercritical divergence). Let

\(D_E(X)<s<1\). Then \[\limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n=\infty\qquad \text{almost surely on } \{M>0\}.\]

Proof. Set \[Y_s=\limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n .\] By Proposition 16, \[p_s:=\mathbb{P}(Y_s=\infty)>0, \qquad q_s:=\mathbb{P}(Y_s<\infty)<1.\]

Fix \(m\ge0\). The branching identity yields \[2^{s(m+n)}\Sigma_{m+n} = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}2^{sm}L_u^2 \left(2^{sn}\Sigma_n^{(u)}\right).\] Hence, if \(L_u>0\) and \(Y_s^{(u)}=\infty\), then \(Y_s=\infty\). Therefore \[\{Y_s<\infty\} \subseteq \bigcap_{\substack{\lvert u \rvert=m\\ L_u>0}} \{Y_s^{(u)}<\infty\}.\] Conditionally on \(\mathcal{F}_m^X\), the variables \(\{Y_s^{(u)}:\lvert u \rvert=m\}\) are independent copies of \(Y_s\), and hence \[\mathbb{P}(Y_s<\infty\mid\mathcal{F}_m^X) \le q_s^{Z_m^+}.\]

Let \(A=\{Y_s<\infty\}\) and \(B=\{M>0\}\). For \(k\ge1\), \[\mathbb{P}(A\cap B) \le \mathbb{P}(A\cap\{Z_m^+\ge k\}) + \mathbb{P}(B\cap\{Z_m^+<k\}) \le q_s^k+\mathbb{P}(B\cap\{Z_m^+<k\}).\] By Lemma 18, \(Z_m^+\to\infty\) almost surely on \(B\). Letting \(m\to\infty\), we obtain \[\mathbb{P}(A\cap B)\le q_s^k.\] Finally, let \(k\to\infty\). Since \(q_s<1\), \[\mathbb{P}(Y_s<\infty,\;M>0)=0.\] Thus \(Y_s=\infty\) almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\). ◻

Corollary 5. Almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \le D_E(X).\]

Proof. If \(D_E(X)=1\), the claim follows from Lemma 6. Assume that \(D_E(X)<1\), and let \(s\in(D_E(X),1)\). By Proposition 17, \[\limsup_{n\to\infty}2^{sn}\Sigma_n=\infty \qquad\text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\] Hence, on this event, infinitely many \(n\) satisfy \(\Sigma_n\ge2^{-sn}\), and therefore \(\liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} \le s\). Letting \(s\downarrow D_E(X)\) along a countable sequence proves the claim. ◻

4.5 The vector energy theorem↩︎

We now combine the subcritical and supercritical estimates.

Theorem 18 (Tree-cylinder square-sum theorem). Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:tree-cylinder-square-sum-theorem-paper} \liminf_{n\to\infty} \frac{\log_2\Sigma_n}{-n} = D_E(X).\tag{38}\]

Proof. The result follows by combining the lower and upper bounds on the intersection of their full-probability events. ◻

Theorem 19 (Vector energy theorem). Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:vector-energy-theorem-paper} \dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X).\tag{39}\]

Proof. Endpoint transfer and Theorem 18 give \(\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X)\); since \(\mu\) is nonzero and finite, Proposition 13 yields \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)\). ◻

Corollary 6. Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), the following assertions hold: \[I_t(\mu)<\infty \qquad \text{for every }0<t<D_E(X),\] and \[I_t(\mu)=\infty \qquad \text{for every }D_E(X)<t<1.\] If \(D_E(X)=0\), the first assertion is vacuous. If \(D_E(X)=1\), the second assertion is vacuous.

Proof. This follows immediately from \(\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=D_E(X)\), the definition of energy dimension, and the monotonicity of \(I_t(\mu)\) in \(t\). ◻

5 Dense-grid Fourier lower bound for vector cascades↩︎

This section establishes the Fourier lower bound for the interval vector cascade. The main input is the \(q\)-level annular decay theorem, Theorem 26. We prove that, for every \(q\in(1,2)\) satisfying \(\rho(q)<1\), and every \[0<\beta<-\frac{1}{q}\log_2\rho(q),\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), there exists a finite random constant \(C_\beta\) such that \(\lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert\le C_\beta\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\beta}\) for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\). Optimizing in \(q\) yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X)\).

The proof is based on dense frequency grids in annuli, centered Fourier profiles, and a vector-valued \(\ell^r\)-contraction estimate. We first introduce these tools. The mesoscopic recursion and the ladder estimate are then proved in the subsequent subsections.

5.1 Centered profiles and dense grids↩︎

Write \(\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(\xi)=\int_0^1e^{-2\pi i\xi x}\,dx\). For \(n\ge0\) and \(\eta\in[1,2]\), define the centered Fourier profile \[H_n(\eta) = \widehat\mu(2^n\eta)-\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta).\]

The balance condition identifies Lebesgue measure as the deterministic centering.

For a vertex \(u\), let \(\mu^{(u)}\) denote the descendant limiting cascade rooted at \(u\), and set \[H_n^{(u)}(\eta) = \widehat{\mu^{(u)}}(2^n\eta)-\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta).\] Then \(H_n^{(u)}\) has the same distribution as \(H_n\), and descendant profiles rooted at distinct vertices in the same generation are conditionally independent given the environment up to that generation.

For \(u=(u_1,\ldots,u_m)\), let \[S_u(x)=a_u+2^{-m}x,\qquad x\in[0,1],\] be the affine branch corresponding to the dyadic word \(u\).

Remark 20. The only coding ambiguity in the Euclidean realization occurs at dyadic endpoints, \(\mathcal{E}_{\mathrm{dyad}}=\{k2^{-n}: n\ge0,\;0\le k\le 2^n\}\), and these points carry no limiting cascade mass. For fixed \(\omega\in\partial\mathcal{T}\), \[\mu_\partial(\{\omega\})\le C_{\omega|n} =L_{\omega|n}M^{(\omega|n)},\qquad \mathbb{E}C_{\omega|n}=\mathbb{E}L_{\omega|n}\,\mathbb{E}M\le2^{-n}.\] Hence, for every \(\varepsilon>0\), \[\mathbb{P}\{\mu_\partial(\{\omega\})>\varepsilon\} \le \varepsilon^{-1}\mathbb{E}C_{\omega|n} \le \varepsilon^{-1}2^{-n}\to0,\] so \(\mu_\partial(\{\omega\})=0\) almost surely. Since each dyadic endpoint has at most two binary codings and \(\mathcal{E}_{\mathrm{dyad}}\) is countable, \(\mu(\mathcal{E}_{\mathrm{dyad}})=0\) almost surely.

Henceforth we work on the full-probability event on which \(\mu(\mathcal{E}_{\mathrm{dyad}})=0\) and the simultaneous descendant construction holds; on this event, dyadic endpoint ambiguities are ignored in Euclidean interval notation.

Lemma 19 (Star equation in Fourier form). For every \(m\ge0\) and every \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}\), \[\label{eq:fourier-star-equation-paper} \widehat\mu(\xi) = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} L_u e^{-2\pi i a_u\xi} \widehat{\mu^{(u)}}(2^{-m}\xi)\tag{40}\] almost surely on the simultaneous descendant construction event. Moreover, \[\label{eq:fourier-lebesgue-star-equation-paper} \widehat{\mathcal{L}}(\xi) = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} 2^{-m}e^{-2\pi i a_u\xi} \widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^{-m}\xi).\tag{41}\] Consequently, for \(n\ge m\) and \(\eta\in[1,2]\), \[\label{eq:centered-profile-mesoscopic-identity-paper} H_n(\eta) = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} L_u e^{-2\pi i a_u2^n\eta} H_{n-m}^{(u)}(\eta) + \widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^{n-m}\eta) \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} \bigl(L_u-2^{-m}\bigr)e^{-2\pi i a_u2^n\eta}.\tag{42}\]

Proof. For a continuous function \(e^{-2\pi i\xi x}\), the descendant decomposition of the limiting measure implies \[\int e^{-2\pi i\xi x}\,d\mu(x) = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} L_u\int e^{-2\pi i\xi(a_u+2^{-m}y)}\,d\mu^{(u)}(y),\] which is precisely 40 .

The identity 41 follows from the same computation applied to Lebesgue measure, using the deterministic decomposition \[\mathcal{L}=\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}2^{-m}(S_u)_\#\mathcal{L}.\] Subtracting 41 from 40 with \(\xi=2^n\eta\), we arrive at 42 . ◻

Lemma 20. There exists an absolute constant \(C<\infty\) such that, for every \(n\ge0\) and every \(\eta,\eta'\in[1,2]\), \[\lvert\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta)\rvert\le C2^{-n}\qquad\text{and}\qquad \lvert\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta)-\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta')\rvert\le C\lvert\eta-\eta'\rvert.\]

Lemma 21. There exists an absolute constant \(C<\infty\) such that, almost surely, for every \(n\ge0\) and every \(\eta,\eta'\in[1,2]\), \[\label{eq:centered-profile-lipschitz-paper} \lvert H_n(\eta)-H_n(\eta')\rvert \le C(M+1)2^n\lvert\eta-\eta'\rvert.\tag{43}\]

We now fix the dense grids used in the annular argument.

Definition 8 (Dense grids). Let \(\alpha>1\). For \(n\ge1\), let \(\Gamma_n(\alpha)\subset[1,2]\) be a finite set with mesh at most \(2^{-\alpha n}\): \[\sup_{\eta\in[1,2]}\operatorname{dist}(\eta,\Gamma_n(\alpha)) \le 2^{-\alpha n},\] and with cardinality \[\#\Gamma_n(\alpha)\le C2^{\alpha n}\] for an absolute constant \(C\). For a function \(f:\Gamma_n(\alpha)\to\mathbb{C}\) and \(1\le r<\infty\), write \[\lVert f\rVert_{\ell^r(\Gamma_n(\alpha))} = \left(\sum_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(\alpha)}\lvert f(\eta)\rvert^r\right)^{1/r}.\]

Lemma 22. Let \(0<\beta<1\) and \(\varepsilon>0\). Assume that, almost surely, there is a finite random constant \(A_\beta\) such that \[\label{eq:grid-centered-bound-assumption-paper} \max_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(1+\beta+\varepsilon)}\lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert \le A_\beta2^{-\beta n}\tag{44}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\). Then, almost surely, there is a finite random constant \(C_\beta\) such that \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}}\lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\beta2^{-\beta n}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\).

Proof. Work on an event where \(M<\infty\), where 43 holds for all \(n,\eta,\eta'\), and where 44 holds eventually. Let \(2^n\le \xi\le 2^{n+1}\), write \(\xi=2^n\eta\) with \(\eta\in[1,2]\), and choose \(\eta_n\in\Gamma_n(1+\beta+\varepsilon)\) with \[\lvert\eta-\eta_n\rvert\le 2^{-(1+\beta+\varepsilon)n}.\] By Lemma 21, \[\lvert H_n(\eta)-H_n(\eta_n)\rvert \le C(M+1)2^n2^{-(1+\beta+\varepsilon)n} = C(M+1)2^{-(\beta+\varepsilon)n}.\] Hence, eventually, \[\lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert \le A_\beta2^{-\beta n} + C(M+1)2^{-(\beta+\varepsilon)n} \le C_\beta2^{-\beta n}.\] Moreover, \[\lvert\widehat\mu(2^n\eta)\rvert \le \lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert+\lvert\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta)\rvert \le C_\beta2^{-\beta n}+C2^{-n} \le C_\beta2^{-\beta n},\] where the last inequality uses \(\beta<1\). This proves the bound for positive frequencies, while negative frequencies follow from \(\widehat\mu(-\xi)=\overline{\widehat\mu(\xi)}\). ◻

5.2 Vector-valued contraction↩︎

We use the following vector-valued \(q\)-moment contraction estimate, with cost \(r^{q/2}\) in the finite \(\ell^r\)-grid norm. The analytic input is the standard Rademacher type estimate for \(\ell^r\); see, for instance, [44].

Lemma 23. Let \(q\in(1,2)\), let \(r\ge2\), and let \(G\) and \(J\) be finite sets. There exists a constant \(C_q<\infty\), depending only on \(q\), such that for every finite deterministic family \((z_j)_{j\in J}\subset\mathbb{C}^G\), \[\label{eq:rademacher-type-ellr-paper} \mathbb{E}_\varepsilon \left\lVert \sum_{j\in J}\varepsilon_jz_j \right\rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le C_q r^{q/2} \sum_{j\in J}\lVert z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q,\tag{45}\] where \((\varepsilon_j)_{j\in J}\) are independent Rademacher signs.

Proof. For \(p\ge2\), the scalar Khintchine inequality implies \[\mathbb{E}_\varepsilon \left| \sum_{j\in J}\varepsilon_j c_j \right|^p \le (C\sqrt p)^p \left(\sum_{j\in J}\lvert c_j\rvert^2\right)^{p/2}\] for every finite complex family \((c_j)\). Applying this with \(p=r\), summing over \(g\in G\), and using Minkowski’s inequality in \(\ell^{r/2}(G)\), we obtain \[\mathbb{E}_\varepsilon \left\| \sum_{j\in J}\varepsilon_jz_j \right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^r \le (C\sqrt r)^r \left(\sum_{j\in J}\lVert z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^2\right)^{r/2}.\] Since \(q\le r\), monotonicity of \(L^p\)-norms and the assumption \(q<2\) yield \[\mathbb{E}_\varepsilon \left\| \sum_{j\in J}\varepsilon_jz_j \right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le C_q r^{q/2} \left(\sum_{j\in J}\lVert z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^2\right)^{q/2} \le C_q r^{q/2} \sum_{j\in J}\lVert z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q.\] This proves 45 . ◻

Proposition 21. Let \(q\in(1,2)\), let \(r\ge2\), let \(G\) be a finite set, and let \(J\) be a finite index set. Let \((Z_j)_{j\in J}\) be independent mean-zero random vectors in \(\mathbb{C}^G\) such that \[\mathbb{E}\lVert Z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q<\infty \qquad(j\in J).\] Let \(\mathcal{A}\) be a \(\sigma\)-field independent of \(\sigma(Z_j:j\in J)\), and let \((a_j)_{j\in J}\) be complex-valued \(\mathcal{A}\)-measurable random variables. Then \[\label{eq:vector-valued-contraction-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \left\| \sum_{j\in J}a_jZ_j \right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \middle|\mathcal{A} \right] \le C_q r^{q/2} \sum_{j\in J}\lvert a_j\rvert^q \mathbb{E}\lVert Z_j \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q\qquad{(3)}\] almost surely.

Proof. Condition on \(\mathcal{A}\). The coefficients \(a_j\) are then deterministic, and the conditional law of the independent mean-zero vectors \(Z_j\) is their original law. The standard symmetrization argument yields \[\mathbb{E}\left\|\sum_j a_jZ_j\right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le \mathbb{E}\mathbb{E}_\varepsilon \left\|\sum_j\varepsilon_j a_j(Z_j-Z_j')\right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q,\] where \((Z_j')\) is an independent copy of \((Z_j)\). Lemma 23 and \[\|a_j(Z_j-Z_j')\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le 2^{q-1}|a_j|^q \bigl(\|Z_j\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q+\|Z_j'\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q\bigr)\] then yield ?? . ◻

Corollary 7. Let \(q\in(1,2)\), \(r\ge2\), and let \(G\) be a finite set. Fix \(m\ge0\). Suppose that the family \[(Z_u)_{\lvert u \rvert=m}\] is independent of \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\), that the vectors \(Z_u\) are independent and coordinatewise mean zero, and that all \(Z_u\) have the same distribution as a random vector \(Z\) with \[\mathbb{E}\lVert Z \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q<\infty.\] Then \[\label{eq:contraction-with-cascade-coefficients-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \left\| \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u Z_u \right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \middle|\mathcal{F}^X_m \right] \le C_q r^{q/2} \left(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^q\right) \mathbb{E}\lVert Z \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q.\tag{46}\] Consequently, \[\label{eq:contraction-with-rho-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \left\| \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u Z_u \right\|_{\ell^r(G)}^q \right] \le C_q r^{q/2}\rho(q)^m \mathbb{E}\lVert Z \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q.\tag{47}\]

Proof. Apply Proposition 21 with \(a_u=L_u\) and \(\mathcal{A}=\mathcal{F}^X_m\) to obtain 46 . Taking expectations and using \(\mathbb{E}\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^q=\rho(q)^m\) from Lemma 3, we obtain 47 . ◻

Remark 22. The mesoscopic decomposition represents the centered profile on a dense grid as a sum of independent mean-zero descendant contributions after conditioning on \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\). Corollary 7 then produces the factor \(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^q\), whose expectation is \(\rho(q)^m\). This is the point at which the vector moment profile enters the Fourier argument.

5.3 Mesoscopic decomposition↩︎

We turn the star equation into a recursion for centered profiles: after exposing a mesoscopic generation, the descendant centered profiles are independent and mean zero, while the forcing term carries a lower-frequency Lebesgue factor.

Lemma 24. Assume the vector law is energy-admissible. Then, for every \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}\), \[\mathbb{E}[\widehat\mu(\xi)]=\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(\xi).\] Consequently, for every \(n\ge0\) and every \(\eta\in[1,2]\), \(\mathbb{E}[H_n(\eta)]=0\). The same statements hold for every descendant copy \(\mu^{(u)}\).

Proof. For each \(n\), by balance, \(\mathbb{E}\mu_n=\mathcal{L}\), hence \(\mathbb{E}[\widehat{\mu_n}(\xi)]=\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(\xi)\). By Theorem 6, \(\mu_n\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\mu\) almost surely, so \(\widehat{\mu_n}(\xi)\to\widehat\mu(\xi)\) almost surely. Energy-admissibility and Theorem 8 imply uniform integrability of the total mass martingale and \(\mathbb{E}M=1\). Since \(\lvert\widehat{\mu_n}(\xi)\rvert\le M_n\), the family \(\{\widehat{\mu_n}(\xi):n\ge0\}\) is uniformly integrable. Therefore convergence holds in \(L^1\), and \[\mathbb{E}[\widehat\mu(\xi)] = \lim_{n\to\infty}\mathbb{E}[\widehat{\mu_n}(\xi)] = \widehat{\mathcal{L}}(\xi).\] Thus \(\mathbb{E}[H_n(\eta)]=0\) by \(H_n(\eta)=\widehat\mu(2^n\eta)-\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^n\eta)\). The descendant statement follows because each descendant cascade has the same law as the original one. ◻

Let \(0<m\le k\). Applying Lemma 19 with \(n=k\), we obtain the exact decomposition \[H_k(\eta) = U_{k,m}(\eta)+R_{k,m}(\eta), \qquad \eta\in[1,2],\] where \[\label{eq:mesoscopic-random-term-paper} U_{k,m}(\eta) = \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} L_u e^{-2\pi i a_u2^k\eta} H_{k-m}^{(u)}(\eta),\tag{48}\] and \[\label{eq:mesoscopic-forcing-term-paper} R_{k,m}(\eta) = \widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^{k-m}\eta) \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} \bigl(L_u-2^{-m}\bigr) e^{-2\pi i a_u2^k\eta}.\tag{49}\] The term \(U_{k,m}\) is the random descendant contribution. The term \(R_{k,m}\) is deterministic in phase but random in its coarse coefficients; it is the price paid for centering by Lebesgue measure.

For \(0<m\le k\), we refer to the identity \(H_k=U_{k,m}+R_{k,m}\), with \(U_{k,m}\) and \(R_{k,m}\) defined in 48 and 49 , as the mesoscopic decomposition of the centered profile at depth \(m\).

Lemma 25. Fix \(0<m\le k\), and let \(G\subset[1,2]\) be finite. For \(\lvert u \rvert=m\), set \[Z_u(\eta)=e^{-2\pi i a_u2^k\eta}H_{k-m}^{(u)}(\eta), \qquad \eta\in G.\] Conditional on \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\), the family \(\{Z_u:\lvert u \rvert=m\}\) is independent. Each \(Z_u\) is independent of \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\), has the law of \[\{H_{k-m}(\eta):\eta\in G\}\] up to deterministic unimodular phases, and satisfies \(\mathbb{E}[Z_u\mid \mathcal{F}^X_m]=0\) coordinatewise.

The forcing term is controlled by the mass martingale and the Lebesgue profile estimate.

Lemma 26. Let \(q\in(1,2)\) and assume \(\rho(q)<1\). Then there exists \(C_q<\infty\) such that, for all \(0<m\le k\), all \(r\ge2\), and every finite set \(G\subset[1,2]\), \[\label{eq:mesoscopic-forcing-estimate-paper} \mathbb{E}\lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le C_q\,2^{-q(k-m)}\,(\#G)^{q/r}.\tag{50}\]

Proof. By Lemma 20, \(\lvert\widehat{\mathcal{L}}(2^{k-m}\eta)\rvert\le C2^{-(k-m)}\) on \([1,2]\), and \[\left\lvert \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} \bigl(L_u-2^{-m}\bigr)e^{-2\pi i a_u2^k\eta} \right\rvert \le \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u+\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}2^{-m} = M_m+1.\] Thus \[\lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^r(G)} \le C2^{-(k-m)}(M_m+1)(\#G)^{1/r},\] and hence \[\mathbb{E}\lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^r(G)}^q \le C2^{-q(k-m)}(\#G)^{q/r}\mathbb{E}[(M_m+1)^q].\] By Lemma 9 and \(\rho(q)<1\), \(\sup_{m\ge0}\mathbb{E}[M_m^q]<\infty\), hence also \(\sup_{m\ge0}\mathbb{E}[(M_m+1)^q]<\infty\). This proves 50 . ◻

5.4 The grid-norm recursion↩︎

We formulate the recursion with a grid envelope, since the profile at scale \(k-m\) is still evaluated on a grid chosen for the ambient scale \(n\). Fix \(\alpha>1\), and set \(r_n=\max\{2,n\}\). Let \(\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)\) be the collection of all finite \(G\subset[1,2]\) with \[\label{eq:grid-envelope-cardinality-paper} \#G\le C_\alpha2^{\alpha n},\tag{51}\] where \(C_\alpha\) is chosen large enough so that \(\Gamma_n(\alpha)\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)\).

Fix \(q\in(1,2)\). For \(0\le k\le n\), set \[A_{k,n}^{(q,\alpha)} = \sup_{G\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)} \mathbb{E}\left[ \lVert H_k\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \right].\] When \(q\) and \(\alpha\) are fixed, write \(A_{k,n}=A_{k,n}^{(q,\alpha)}\).

Lemma 27. Let \(q\in(1,2)\) and assume \(\rho(q)<1\). For every \(\alpha>1\) there exists \(C_{q,\alpha}<\infty\) such that \(A_{k,n}\le C_{q,\alpha}\) for all \(0\le k\le n\).

Proof. Since \(\rho(q)<1\), the preceding moment estimate yields \[\mathbb{E}(M+1)^q=O_{\alpha,q}(1).\] Together with the pointwise bound \(|H_k(\eta)|\le M+1\) for \(\eta\in[1,2]\), this yields \[\mathbb{E}\|H_k\|_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le (\#G)^{q/r_n}\mathbb{E}(M+1)^q =O_{\alpha,q}(1).\] ◻

Proposition 23. Let \(q\in(1,2)\) and assume \(\rho(q)<1\). Fix \(\alpha>1\). Then there exists \(C_{q,\alpha}<\infty\) such that for all integers \(0<m\le k\le n\), one has \[\label{eq:grid-norm-recursion-paper} A_{k,n} \le C_{q,\alpha}\,r_n^{q/2}\rho(q)^m A_{k-m,n} + C_{q,\alpha}\,2^{-q(k-m)}.\qquad{(4)}\]

Proof. Fix \(G\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)\). By the mesoscopic decomposition, \[H_k=U_{k,m}+R_{k,m}\] on \(G\). Hence \[\lVert H_k\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le 2^{q-1} \lVert U_{k,m}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q + 2^{q-1} \lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q.\] We estimate the two terms separately.

For the random descendant term \(U_{k,m}\), define \[Z_u(\eta) = e^{-2\pi i a_u2^k\eta}H_{k-m}^{(u)}(\eta), \qquad \eta\in G.\] By Lemma 25, conditional on \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\), the family \((Z_u)_{\lvert u \rvert=m}\) is independent, mean zero, and independent of \(\mathcal{F}^X_m\). Moreover, \[\lVert Z_u\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)} = \lVert H_{k-m}^{(u)}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}.\] Applying Corollary 7, with coefficients \(L_u\), we obtain \[\mathbb{E}\left[ \lVert U_{k,m}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \middle| \mathcal{F}^X_m \right] \le C_q r_n^{q/2} \left(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^q\right) \mathbb{E}\lVert H_{k-m}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q.\] Since \(G\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)\), \[\mathbb{E}\lVert H_{k-m}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le A_{k-m,n}.\] Taking expectations and using Lemma 3, \[\mathbb{E}\lVert U_{k,m}\rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le C_q r_n^{q/2} A_{k-m,n} \mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m}L_u^q\right] = C_q r_n^{q/2}\rho(q)^m A_{k-m,n}.\]

For the forcing term, Lemma 26 yields \[\mathbb{E}\lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le C_q2^{-q(k-m)}(\#G)^{q/r_n}.\] By 51 and \(r_n\ge n\) up to finitely many small \(n\)’s, \[(\#G)^{q/r_n}\le C_{q,\alpha}.\] Thus \[\mathbb{E}\lVert R_{k,m} \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q \le C_{q,\alpha}2^{-q(k-m)}.\]

Combining the estimates for \(U_{k,m}\) and \(R_{k,m}\), and then taking the supremum over \(G\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha)\), proves \[A_{k,n} \le C_{q,\alpha}r_n^{q/2}\rho(q)^mA_{k-m,n} + C_{q,\alpha}2^{-q(k-m)}.\] This is ?? . ◻

Remark 24. The grid \(G\) used to control the annulus at scale \(n\) has cardinality of order \(2^{\alpha n}\). After one mesoscopic step, the descendant profile has scale \(k-m\), but it is still evaluated on the same ambient grid \(G\). This is why the envelope \(A_{k,n}\) has two indices. The first index \(k\) is the Fourier scale of the profile; the second index \(n\) records the size of the grid on which the profile is measured.

5.5 The ladder iteration estimate↩︎

We iterate the grid-norm recursion from Proposition 23. Fix \(q\in(1,2)\) with \(\rho(q)<1\), and define \[\label{eq:beta-X-q-definition-paper} \beta_X(q) = -\frac{1}{q}\log_2\rho(q)>0.\tag{52}\] Thus \(\rho(q)=2^{-q\beta_X(q)}\).

Lemma 28. For every \(q\in(1,2)\) with \(\rho(q)<1\), \[0<\beta_X(q)<1.\] In fact, \(\beta_X(q)\le \frac{q-1}{q}<\frac{1}{2}\).

The ladder proof uses a decay exponent strictly smaller than \(\beta_X(q)\). To avoid conflict with the dense-grid parameter, we denote the Fourier decay exponent in this subsection by \(\beta\), and the grid parameter by \(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}\).

Proposition 25. Fix \(q\in(1,2)\) with \(\rho(q)<1\), let \(0<\beta<\beta_X(q)\), and fix \(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}>1\). Then there exist constants \(A<\infty\), \(\tau<\infty\), and \(n_0\ge1\), depending on \(q,\beta,\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}\) and on the law of the cascade, such that, for every \(n\ge n_0\) and every \(0\le k\le n\), \[\label{eq:ladder-estimate-paper} A_{k,n}^{(q,\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} \le A n^\tau 2^{-q\beta k}.\qquad{(5)}\] In particular, \[\label{eq:ladder-estimate-terminal-paper} A_{n,n}^{(q,\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} = \sup_{G\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} \mathbb{E}\bigl[\lVert H_n \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(G)}^q\bigr] \le A n^\tau 2^{-q\beta n} \qquad(n\ge n_0).\qquad{(6)}\]

Proof. Choose \(\gamma\in(\beta,1)\), and set \(k'=\lceil\gamma k\rceil\). Since \(\rho(q)=2^{-q\beta_X(q)}\), Proposition 23 yields a constant \(C_0<\infty\) such that, whenever \(k-k'\ge1\), \[\label{eq:ladder-recursion-proof-paper} A_{k,n} \le C_0 r_n^{q/2}2^{-q\beta_X(q)(k-k')}A_{k',n} + C_0 2^{-qk'}.\tag{53}\] Here \(A_{k,n}=A_{k,n}^{(q,\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})}\), and we use \(r_n^{q/2}\le Cn^{q/2}\), with \(C\) absorbed into \(C_0\).

Since \[k-k'=k-\lceil\gamma k\rceil\ge (1-\gamma)k-1,\] we have \(k-k'\ge c_\gamma k\) for all sufficiently large \(k\), where \(c_\gamma=(1-\gamma)/2\). Choose \(K>0\) such that \[\label{eq:K-choice-ladder-paper} q(\beta_X(q)-\beta)c_\gamma K>\frac{q}{2}+2.\tag{54}\] Then, for \(k\ge K\log_2 n\) and all sufficiently large \(n\), \(k-k'\ge c_\gamma K\log_2 n\).

We prove ?? by induction on \(k\), with \(n\) fixed and sufficiently large. If \(0\le k\le K\log_2 n\), then Lemma 27 implies \(A_{k,n}\le C_1\). Choosing \(\tau>q\beta K\), and then increasing \(A\) and \(n_0\), we obtain \[A_{k,n}\le A n^\tau2^{-q\beta k} \qquad (0\le k\le K\log_2 n,\;n\ge n_0).\]

Assume now that \(k>K\log_2 n\) and that the bound holds at all smaller scales. For \(n\) sufficiently large, \(k-k'\ge1\) and \(k'<k\). By 53 and the induction hypothesis at \(k'\), \[\begin{align} A_{k,n} &\le C_0A n^{\tau+q/2} 2^{-q\beta_X(q)(k-k')}2^{-q\beta k'} + C_0 2^{-qk'} \\ &= C_0A n^{\tau+q/2} 2^{-q\beta k}2^{-q(\beta_X(q)-\beta)(k-k')} + C_0 2^{-qk'} . \end{align}\] Moreover, by 54 , \[n^{q/2}2^{-q(\beta_X(q)-\beta)(k-k')} \le n^{q/2-q(\beta_X(q)-\beta)c_\gamma K} \le n^{-2}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\). Thus, after increasing \(n_0\), the recursive term is at most \[C_0A n^\tau2^{-q\beta k}n^{-2} \le \frac{1}{2} A n^\tau2^{-q\beta k}.\] Also, \[2^{-qk'}\le 2^{-q\gamma k}\le 2^{-q\beta k}, \qquad C_0 2^{-qk'} \le \frac{1}{2} A n^\tau2^{-q\beta k},\] provided \(A\) is chosen sufficiently large. Combining the two bounds closes the induction and proves ?? . The terminal estimate ?? is the special case \(k=n\). ◻

Corollary 8. Fix \(q\in(1,2)\) with \(\rho(q)<1\). Let \(0<\beta<\beta_X(q)\). Choose a grid parameter \[\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}>1.\] Let \(\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})\) be the dense grid from Definition 8. Then, almost surely, \[\label{eq:dense-grid-centered-decay-paper} \max_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} \lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert \le 2^{-\beta n}\tag{55}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\).

Proof. Choose \(\beta<\beta'<\beta_X(q)\). By Proposition 25 and the fact that \(\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})\in\mathcal{G}_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})\), \[\mathbb{E}\left[ \lVert H_n \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}))}^q \right] \le A n^\tau 2^{-q\beta' n}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\). If \(\max_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})}\lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert>2^{-\beta n}\), then \(\lVert H_n \rVert_{\ell^{r_n}(\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}))}^q>2^{-q\beta n}\). By Markov’s inequality, \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} \lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert>2^{-\beta n} \right) \le A n^\tau 2^{-q(\beta'-\beta)n},\] which is summable in \(n\). The Borel–Cantelli lemma proves 55 . ◻

5.6 Annular Fourier decay and optimization over q↩︎

We now pass from dense-grid bounds for the centered profile to annular Fourier decay for \(\mu\), and then optimize in \(q\).

Theorem 26. Fix \(q\in(1,2)\) with \(\rho(q)<1\), and let \[0<\beta<\beta_X(q)=-\frac{1}{q}\log_2\rho(q).\] Then, almost surely, there exists a finite random constant \(C_\beta(\omega)<\infty\) such that \[\label{eq:q-level-annular-decay-paper} \sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\beta(\omega)2^{-\beta n}\tag{56}\] for all sufficiently large \(n\).

Proof. By Lemma 28, \(\beta<1\). Choose \(\varepsilon>0\) and set \(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}}=1+\beta+\varepsilon\). By Corollary 8, almost surely, \[\max_{\eta\in\Gamma_n(\alpha_{\mathrm{gr}})} \lvert H_n(\eta) \rvert \le 2^{-\beta n}\] eventually. Lemma 22 upgrades this bound to 56 . ◻

Corollary 9. If \(q\in(1,2)\) and \(\rho(q)<1\), then \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge 2\beta_X(q) = -\frac{2}{q}\log_2\rho(q) \qquad\text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\]

Theorem 27. Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Then \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X) \qquad\text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\] Equivalently, on the same event, for every \(0<\sigma<D_E(X)\), there exists a finite random constant \(C_\sigma(\omega)<\infty\) such that \[\label{eq:vector-fourier-decay-sigma-paper} \lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\sigma(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}\tag{57}\] for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\).

Proof. If \(D_E(X)=0\), there is nothing to prove. Fix \(0<\sigma<D_E(X)\). By Proposition 11, there exists \(q\in(1,2)\) such that \[\rho(q)<1 \qquad \text{and} \qquad -\frac{2}{q}\log_2\rho(q)>\sigma,\] equivalently \(2\beta_X(q)>\sigma\). Choose \(\sigma/2<\beta<\beta_X(q)\). By Theorem 26, almost surely there is \(C_\beta(\omega)<\infty\) such that, for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\), \[\lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\beta(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\beta} \le C_\beta(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}.\] Thus 57 holds with \(C_\sigma(\omega)=C_\beta(\omega)\).

Intersecting the full-probability events over rational \(\sigma\in(0,D_E(X))\), we obtain \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X)\) on \(\{M>0\}\). ◻

Remark 28. The generalized Mandelbrot cascade theorem of Lin–Qiu–Tan [32] is formulated for cascades generated by a scalar nonnegative random field \(W(t)\), and therefore does not apply directly to the present vector-valued dyadic cascade. Encoding \(X=(X_0,X_1)\) as \[W_X(t)=2X_0\,\mathbf{1}_{[0,1/2)}(t)+2X_1\,\mathbf{1}_{[1/2,1)}(t),\] introduces jumps at dyadic midpoints unless \(X_0=X_1\) almost surely; hence the Hölder-type regularity required in [32] generally fails.

For the ordinary canonical scalar Mandelbrot cascade, this obstruction disappears, and the \(q\)-level bound proved here recovers, after optimization in \(q\), the Lin–Qiu–Tan lower bound \[\dim_F(\mu)\ge \min\{2,D_E(W)\}.\] Thus, in the scalar canonical case, the present argument provides an alternative proof of the Lin–Qiu–Tan lower bound, while the same argument also applies to the vector-valued dyadic cascades considered here.

6 The exact interval theorem↩︎

We now combine the energy theorem with the Fourier lower bound to establish the exact interval result.

Theorem 29. Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Let \(\mu\) be the limiting dyadic vector cascade measure on \([0,1]\), and set \(M=\mu([0,1])\). Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:exact-interval-vector-theorem-paper} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X).\tag{58}\] In particular, on the same event, if \(D_E(X)>0\), then for every \(0<\sigma<D_E(X)\) there is a finite random constant \(C_\sigma(\omega)<\infty\) such that \[\label{eq:exact-interval-vector-decay-paper} \lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\sigma(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}\tag{59}\] for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\). If \(D_E(X)=0\), the decay assertion is vacuous, and \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=0\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\).

Proof. On \(\{M>0\}\), Theorem 19 yields \[\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X),\] while Theorem 27 yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\ge D_E(X)\). Since \(\mu\) is then a nonzero finite Borel measure, Proposition 5 yields \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)\le\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)\). Hence \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X)\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\). ◻

Corollary 10. Let \(W\ge0\) satisfy \[\mathbb{E}W=1, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+ W]<\infty, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]<1.\] Let \(W_0,W_1\) be independent copies of \(W\), define \(X_i=W_i/2\) for \(i=0,1\), and let \(\mu\) be the corresponding scalar dyadic Mandelbrot cascade measure on \([0,1]\). Set \(M=\mu([0,1])\). Then, almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), \[\label{eq:scalar-dyadic-interval-formula-paper} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D^+(W),\tag{60}\] where \[\label{eq:scalar-Dplus-paper} D^+(W) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\},\tag{61}\] with the convention that the corresponding term is interpreted as \(0\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\). In particular, on the same event, if \(D^+(W)>0\), then for every \(0<\sigma<D^+(W)\) there are finite random constants \(C_\sigma(\omega),R_\sigma(\omega)<\infty\) such that \[\label{eq:scalar-dyadic-interval-decay-paper} \lvert\widehat\mu(\xi)\rvert \le C_\sigma(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2} \qquad \text{for all }\lvert\xi\rvert\ge R_\sigma(\omega).\tag{62}\] If \(D^+(W)=0\), the decay assertion is vacuous.

Proof. The vector law is balanced. Moreover, \[\mathbb{E}\bigl[X_0\log_2^+X_0+X_1\log_2^+X_1\bigr]<\infty\] is equivalent to \[\mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+W]<\infty,\] and \[\mathbb{E}[X_0\log_2 X_0+X_1\log_2 X_1] = \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]-1.\] Thus the scalar assumptions imply energy-admissibility of the vector law.

By Corollary 2, \[\rho(q)=2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}[W^q], \qquad D_E(X) = \sup_{1<q<2} \max\left\{ 0,\, 2-\frac{2}{q}\bigl(1+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr) \right\} = D^+(W).\] Theorem 29 then yields \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=D_E(X)=D^+(W)\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\), and its decay formulation implies the asserted decay estimate. ◻

Corollary 11. In the scalar setting of Corollary 10, assume further that \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\) for every \(q>1\). Then \(D^+(W)=0\), and hence \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=0\] almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\).

Proof. If \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\) for every \(q>1\), then every term in the definition 61 is interpreted as \(0\). Hence \(D^+(W)=0\), and the conclusion follows from Corollary 10. ◻

Corollary 12. Assume that the dyadic vector-weight law is energy-admissible. Then \(D_E(X)>0\) if and only if \(\rho(q)<1\) for some \(q\in(1,2)\). Equivalently, \(D_E(X)>0\) if and only if \(\rho(q)<\infty\) for some \(q>1\). When these equivalent conditions hold, \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)>0\) almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\).

Proof. The equivalences are contained in Proposition 11. If \(D_E(X)>0\), then Theorem 29 implies that \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=D_E(X)>0\) almost surely on \(\{M>0\}\). ◻

Remark 30. Theorem 29 proves Fourier decay for every strict subendpoint exponent \(0<\sigma<D_E(X)\), but it does not assert a uniform estimate at the endpoint \(\sigma=D_E(X)\). This is the usual distinction between a dimension identity and an endpoint regularity statement.

This completes the interval part. The remaining sections treat the circle cascade, where the relevant obstruction is the endpoint local exponent \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) rather than the interval energy dimension.

7 Circle cascades and the curved-support endpoint obstruction↩︎

We prove the upper-bound direction of Theorem 3, \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}.\] The argument has two components: \[\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\},\] together with the deterministic curved-support obstruction \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\) for every nonzero finite Borel measure \(\nu\) supported on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). On the circle, this obstruction arises from quadratic stationary phase in the normal direction: a ball of radius \(r\) carrying comparatively large mass forces a large one-dimensional Fourier average at frequency scale \(r^{-2}\).

7.1 The circle cascade↩︎

Let \(\mathbb{S}^1=\{x\in\mathbb{R}^2:\lvert x \rvert=1\},\) and let \(\sigma\) denote normalized arclength measure on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). We use the parametrization \[f:[0,1)\to\mathbb{S}^1, \qquad f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t),\] only to impose the dyadic filtration.

Let \(W\ge0\) satisfy \(\mathbb{E}W=1\). Attach independent copies \(W_v\) of \(W\) to all nonempty binary words \(v\). For \(v\in\{0,1\}^n\), set \[Q_v=\prod_{j=1}^n W_{v|j}, \qquad Q_\varnothing=1.\] Let \(J_v=[a_v,a_v+2^{-\lvert v \rvert})\subset[0,1),\) where \(a_v=\sum_{j=1}^{\lvert v \rvert}v_j2^{-j},\) and set \(\mathcal{I}_v=f(J_v)\). The level-\(n\) circle cascade measure is \[\label{eq:circle-level-measure-paper} d\mu_{\circ,n}(x) = \sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}Q_v\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{I}_v}(x)\,d\sigma(x).\tag{63}\] Equivalently, \(\mu_{\circ,n}(\mathcal{I}_v)=2^{-n}Q_v\) for \(\lvert v \rvert=n\). Its total mass is \[Y_n=\mu_{\circ,n}(\mathbb{S}^1) = 2^{-n}\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}Q_v.\] Let \(\mathcal{F}_0^W=\{\varnothing,\Omega\}\) and \(\mathcal{F}_n^W=\sigma(W_v:1\le \lvert v \rvert\le n)\) for \(n\ge1\).

Proposition 31. Assume that \(W\ge0\) and \(\mathbb{E}W=1\). Then \((Y_n)_{n\ge0}\) is a nonnegative martingale. Moreover, there exists a finite random Borel measure \(\mu_\circ\) on \(\mathbb{S}^1\) such that \[\mu_{\circ,n}\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\mu_\circ \qquad \text{almost surely}.\] Its total mass satisfies \[\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)=Y:=\lim_{n\to\infty}Y_n\] almost surely. In particular, \(\{\mu_\circ\neq0\}=\{Y>0\}\) up to null events.

The circle cascade is the pushforward, under \(f\), of the scalar dyadic cascade on the parameter interval; hence no separate compactness argument is required.

The nontriviality criterion is the classical Kahane–Peyrière condition. We adopt the convention \(0\log_2 0=0\), and all expectations involving \(W\log_2 W\) are understood in the extended sense.

Theorem 32 (Kahane–Peyrière nondegeneracy on the circle). Assume that \(W\ge0\) and \(\mathbb{E}W=1\). If \[\mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+W]<\infty \qquad\text{and}\qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]<1,\] then \((Y_n)\) is uniformly integrable, \(\mathbb{E}Y=1\), and \(\mathbb{P}(Y>0)>0\). If \(\mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]\ge1\), then \(Y=0\) almost surely.

Remark 33. This is the classical dyadic Kahane–Peyrière theorem for Mandelbrot martingales [9]; see also [18]. The proof depends only on the binary tree, the normalization \(\mathbb{E}W=1\), and the total-mass martingale, all of which are identical for the dyadic arc construction on \(\mathbb{S}^1\) and the dyadic interval construction on \([0,1)\).

Write \(\mathcal{S}_\circ=\{Y>0\}\). By Proposition 31, this agrees with \(\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}\) up to null events.

For \(v\in\mathcal{T}\), let \(\mu_\circ^{(v)}\) be the descendant circle cascade generated by \(\{W_{vu}:u\in\mathcal{T},\;u\neq\varnothing\}\). For \(m\ge0\), define \[Y_m^{(v)} = 2^{-m} \sum_{\lvert u \rvert=m} \prod_{j=1}^m W_{v(u|j)}.\] Then \((Y_m^{(v)})_{m\ge0}\) is a nonnegative martingale with the same law as \((Y_m)\); denote its limit by \(Y^{(v)}\). By Proposition 31, after intersecting countably many probability-one events, we may assume that \[\mu_\circ^{(v)}(\mathbb{S}^1)=Y^{(v)} \qquad(v\in\mathcal{T}).\] For each \(m\ge0\), the family \((\mu_\circ^{(v)})_{\lvert v \rvert=m}\) is independent, is independent of \(\mathcal{F}_m^W\), and consists of measures with the same law as \(\mu_\circ\); the same assertions hold for \((Y^{(v)})_{\lvert v \rvert=m}\). Since \(\mathcal{T}\) is countable, we may also assume that all descendant martingales converge. For every \(n\ge \lvert v \rvert\), \[\mu_{\circ,n}(\mathcal{I}_v) = 2^{-\lvert v \rvert}Q_vY_{n-\lvert v \rvert}^{(v)},\] and hence \[\lim_{n\to\infty}\mu_{\circ,n}(\mathcal{I}_v) = 2^{-\lvert v \rvert}Q_vY^{(v)} \qquad(v\in\mathcal{T}).\] By the standard dyadic endpoint estimate, we further restrict to the full-probability event on which \(\mu_\circ\) charges no dyadic endpoint. Then every half-open arc \(\mathcal{I}_v\) is a \(\mu_\circ\)-continuity set, and \[\label{eq:circle-cylinder-mass-decomposition-paper} \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v) = 2^{-\lvert v \rvert}Q_vY^{(v)} \qquad(v\in\mathcal{T})\tag{64}\] simultaneously for all \(v\in\mathcal{T}\).

7.2 The endpoint local exponent↩︎

Recall \[A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) = \sup_{q>1} \max\left\{ 0,\, \frac{q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]}{q} \right\},\] where the term is interpreted as \(0\) when \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\). Write \(\tau(q)=q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]<\infty\). Then \[A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) = \sup_{\substack{q>1\\ \mathbb{E}[W^q]<\infty}} \max\left\{0,\frac{\tau(q)}{q}\right\}.\] By Jensen’s inequality, \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]\ge(\mathbb{E}W)^q=1\) for \(q>1\), and therefore \(0\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\le1\).

For a nonzero finite Borel measure \(\nu\) on \(\mathbb{S}^1\), define \[\alpha_{\min}(\nu) = \inf_{x\in\operatorname{spt}\nu} \liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\nu(B(x,r))}{\log_2 r},\] where \(B(x,r)\) denotes the Euclidean ball in \(\mathbb{R}^2\). For the zero measure, set \(\alpha_{\min}(0)=0\).

Lemma 29. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. If \(0<\beta<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), then, almost surely, there exists a finite random constant \(C_\beta\) such that \[\label{eq:circle-uniform-cylinder-upper-bound-paper} \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)\le C_\beta 2^{-\beta \lvert v \rvert}\tag{65}\] for every finite binary word \(v\).

Proof. Choose \(q>1\) such that \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]<\infty\) and \(\tau(q)/q>\beta\). Then \(\tau(q)>0\), equivalently \(2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}[W^q]<1\), and the standard terminal-mass moment criterion implies \(\mathbb{E}[Y^q]<\infty\). By 64 , the independence of \(Q_v\) and \(Y^{(v)}\), and the identity \(Y^{(v)}\stackrel{d}=Y\), \[\mathbb{E}[\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)^q] = 2^{-q\lvert v \rvert}\mathbb{E}[Q_v^q]\mathbb{E}[Y^q] = 2^{-q\lvert v \rvert}\bigl(\mathbb{E}[W^q]\bigr)^{\lvert v \rvert}\mathbb{E}[Y^q].\] Thus \[\mathbb{E}\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)^q = \mathbb{E}[Y^q]\,2^{-n\tau(q)}.\] Therefore \[\mathbb{P}\left(\max_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)>2^{-\beta n}\right) \le 2^{\beta q n} \mathbb{E}\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)^q \le C2^{-n(\tau(q)-\beta q)}.\] Since \(\tau(q)-\beta q>0\), the right-hand side is summable. The Borel–Cantelli lemma implies \(\max_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)\le2^{-\beta n}\) for all sufficiently large \(n\), almost surely. Enlarging the random constant to cover the finitely many initial generations proves 65 . ◻

Lemma 30. Let \(\nu\) be a finite Borel measure on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). Suppose that, for some \(\beta\ge0\), there is a constant \(C<\infty\) such that \[\nu(\mathcal{I}_v)\le C2^{-\beta \lvert v \rvert} \qquad(v\in\mathcal{T}).\] Then \[\liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\nu(B(x,r))}{\log_2 r}\ge\beta \qquad (x\in\operatorname{spt}\nu).\]

Proof. If \(2^{-(n+1)}<r\le2^{-n}\), then \(B(x,r)\cap\mathbb{S}^1\) meets at most a bounded number of level-\(n\) dyadic arcs. Hence \[\nu(B(x,r))\le C'2^{-\beta n}\le C''r^\beta.\] For \(x\in\operatorname{spt}\nu\), divide \(\log_2\nu(B(x,r))\le \log_2 C''+\beta\log_2 r\) by \(\log_2 r<0\) and let \(r\downarrow0\) to obtain the claim. ◻

Lemma 31. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Then \(\mathbb{P}(W>0)>1/2\). Hence \[\mathcal{T}^{+}:=\{v\in\mathcal{T}:Q_v>0\}\] is a supercritical Galton–Watson tree with offspring law \(\operatorname{Binomial}(2,\mathbb{P}(W>0))\). Moreover, with \[A_n:=\#\{v\in\{0,1\}^{n}:Q_v>0\},\] one has \(A_n\to\infty\) almost surely on \(\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}\).

Remark 34. Lemma 31 is the specialization of Lemmas 11 and 18 to the normalized binary weights \(X_i=W_i/2\), \(i=0,1\). For \(v\in\{0,1\}^n\), the corresponding product is \(L_v=2^{-n}Q_v\), so the alive tree there is precisely \(\mathcal{T}^+=\{v\in\mathcal{T}:Q_v>0\}\).

Thus \[\mathbb{E}N_X=2\mathbb{P}(W>0)>1,\] hence \(\mathbb{P}(W>0)>1/2\), and Lemma 18 implies that \[A_n=\#\{v\in\{0,1\}^n:Q_v>0\}\to\infty\] almost surely on \(\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}\). Replacing dyadic intervals by dyadic arcs does not affect this tree-indexed positivity argument.

Lemma 32. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. For \(a\in\mathbb{R}\) and \(n\ge1\), set \[N_n(a)=\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^{n}:Q_u\ge 2^{an}\}.\] Then:

  1. For every \(a\in\mathbb{R}\), \[\Lambda(a):=\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{1}{n}\log_2\mathbb{E} N_n(a) = \inf_{q\ge0} \left\{ 1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-qa \right\},\] where \(W^0:=\mathbf{1}_{\{W>0\}}\), and for \(q>0\) the term is \(+\infty\) if \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)=+\infty\).

  2. If \(a<1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), then \(\Lambda(a)>0\).

  3. The function \(\Lambda\) is finite and continuous on \((-\infty,1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W))\).

Proof. Apply Biggins’ Chernoff theorem for branching random walks [13] to the displacement \(-\ln W\), with edges for which \(W=0\) treated as killed. The one-generation transform is \[m(0)=2\mathbb{P}(W>0),\qquad m(\theta)=2\mathbb{E}(W^\theta)\quad(\theta>0),\] with the value \(+\infty\) allowed. By Lemma 31, \(m(0)>1\), and \(m(1)=2\mathbb{E}W=2<\infty\). Since \(N_n(a)\) counts the particles with total displacement at most \(-an\ln2\), Biggins’ theorem yields \[\lim_{n\to\infty} \bigl(\mathbb{E} N_n(a)\bigr)^{1/n} = \inf_{\theta\ge0} e^{-a\theta\ln2}m(\theta).\] Taking \(\log_2\) yields \[\Lambda(a)= \inf_{q\ge0} \left\{ 1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-qa \right\},\] with \(W^0=\mathbf{1}_{\{W>0\}}\) and with the stated extended-value convention.

For \(q>0\), define \[\Psi(q)=\frac{1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)}{q},\] with value \(+\infty\) if \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)=+\infty\). We first show that \[\inf_{q>0}\Psi(q)=1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W).\] For \(0<q\le1\), put \(\varphi(q)=\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)\). Then \(\varphi\) is convex, \(\varphi(1)=0\), and \(\varphi'_-(1)=\mathbb{E}(W\log_2 W)\). Hence, for \(0<q<1\), \[\varphi(q)\ge(q-1)\mathbb{E}(W\log_2 W).\] Since the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime ensures \(\mathbb{E}(W\log_2 W)<1\), it follows that \(\Psi(q)>1\) for \(0<q<1\), while \(\Psi(1)=1\). Thus \[\inf_{0<q\le1}\Psi(q)=1.\] Together with the definition of \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), this implies \[1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) = \min\left\{1,\inf_{q>1}\Psi(q)\right\} = \inf_{q>0}\Psi(q).\]

Fix \(a<1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), and set \(\eta=1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)-a>0\). For \(q>0\), \[1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-qa = q(\Psi(q)-a) \ge q\eta\] in the extended sense. Also, \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)\to\mathbb{P}(W>0)\) as \(q\downarrow0\), and Lemma 31 ensures that \(1+\log_2\mathbb{P}(W>0)>0\). Hence there exist \(q_0,c_0>0\) such that \[1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-qa\ge c_0 \qquad(0\le q\le q_0),\] whereas for \(q\ge q_0\) the previous bound yields the lower bound \(q_0\eta\). Therefore \[\Lambda(a)\ge\min\{c_0,q_0\eta\}>0.\]

Finally, for each \(q\ge0\), the map \(a\mapsto 1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-qa\) is affine; hence \(\Lambda\) is concave. On \((-\infty,1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W))\), the positivity just proved and the \(q=0\) term imply \[0<\Lambda(a)\le1+\log_2\mathbb{P}(W>0)<\infty.\] Thus \(\Lambda\) is finite and concave on this open interval, and is therefore continuous there. ◻

Theorem 35. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Let \(\beta>A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), let \(\Lambda\) be the block-count exponent from Lemma 32, and let \(C\ge0\) be finite almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\). Define \[E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) := \left\{ x\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ: \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{n_k}(x)) \ge C(\omega)2^{-\beta n_k} \text{ for some }n_k\uparrow\infty \right\}.\] Then, almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) \ge \Lambda(1-\beta) > 0.\]

Proof. Fix \(0<\delta<\beta-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), and set \(a=1-\beta+\delta<1-A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\). By the descendant construction in Subsection 7.1, \(Y^{(v)}=\mu_\circ^{(v)}(\mathbb{S}^1)\stackrel{d}{=}\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)\), and \[Y^{(v)} = \frac{1}{2} W_{v0}Y^{(v0)} + \frac{1}{2} W_{v1}Y^{(v1)}, \qquad \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)=2^{-\lvert v \rvert}Q_vY^{(v)}\] by the first-step descendant decomposition and 64 .

By Theorem 32, \(\mathbb{P}(Y^{(u)}>0)>0\), and since \(W_u\) is independent of \(Y^{(u)}\) with \(\mathbb{P}(W_u>0)>0\), choose \(c>0\) such that \[p_c:=\mathbb{P}(W_uY^{(u)}\ge 2c)>0,\] independently of \(u\).

Let \(0<\varepsilon<\Lambda(a)/2\). Choose \(h\ge1\) such that \[\frac{1}{h}\log_2\mathbb{E} N_h(a)>\Lambda(a)-\varepsilon, \qquad \frac{1}{h}\log_2\left(\frac{p_c}{2}\right)>-\varepsilon.\] Then \[m_h:=\frac{p_c}{2}\mathbb{E} N_h(a) > 2^{h(\Lambda(a)-2\varepsilon)} > 1.\]

For \(v,u\in\mathcal{T}\), set \[Q_u^{(v)}=\prod_{j=1}^{\lvert u \rvert}W_{v(u|j)}, \qquad Q_{\varnothing}^{(v)}=1.\] If \(Q_v>0\), then \(Q_u^{(v)}=Q_{vu}/Q_v\). Define \[\mathcal{C}(v) = \left\{ v0u: u\in\{0,1\}^{h-1},\; W_{v1}Y^{(v1)}\ge 2c,\; Q_{0u}^{(v)}\ge 2^{ah} \right\}, \qquad \xi_v=\#\mathcal{C}(v).\] The side-witness event \(\{W_uY^{(u)}\ge 2c\}\) is independent of the \(v0\)-subtree and has probability \(p_c\). By symmetry, \[\mathbb{E}\xi_v = p_c\, \mathbb{E}\#\{u\in\{0,1\}^{h-1}:Q_{0u}^{(v)}\ge 2^{ah}\} = \frac{p_c}{2}\mathbb{E} N_h(a) = m_h>1.\]

Starting from \(v\), set \[Z_0^{(v)}=\{v\}, \qquad Z_{k+1}^{(v)}=\bigcup_{w\in Z_k^{(v)}}\mathcal{C}(w).\] Then \((\#Z_k^{(v)})_{k\ge0}\) is a Galton–Watson process with offspring law \(\xi_v\): different current particles use disjoint subtrees; if \(z\in\mathcal{C}(w)\), the event \(z\in\mathcal{C}(w)\) uses only the finite path from \(w\) to \(z\) and the side subtree \(w1\), and no weights strictly below \(z\); the laws are identical by the tree-indexed i.i.d. construction. Its mean is \(m_h>1\). Therefore \[\rho_h := \mathbb{P}\left( Z_k^{(\varnothing)}\neq\varnothing \text{ for every }k\ge0 \right) >0.\]

We next show that, on non-extinction, some alive vertex starts a surviving witnessed block process. Let \[\mathcal{F}_n=\sigma(W_w:1\le \lvert w \rvert\le n), \qquad H_v=\bigcap_{k=0}^{\infty}\{Z_k^{(v)}\neq\varnothing\}, \quad v\in\{0,1\}^{n}.\] Conditional on \(\mathcal{F}_n\), the events \(H_v\) are independent and \(\mathbb{P}(H_v\mid\mathcal{F}_n)=\rho_h\). Put \[B_n = \bigcap_{v\in\{0,1\}^{n}} \left( \{Q_v=0\}\cup H_v^c \right), \qquad G=\bigcap_{n=0}^{\infty}B_n.\] Then \[\mathbb{P}(B_n\mid\mathcal{F}_n)=(1-\rho_h)^{A_n}, \qquad \mathbb{E}(\mathbf{1}_G\mid\mathcal{F}_n) \le (1-\rho_h)^{A_n}.\] By Lemma 31, \(A_n\to\infty\) almost surely on \(\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}\), while \(\mathbb{E}(\mathbf{1}_G\mid\mathcal{F}_n)\to\mathbf{1}_G\) almost surely by martingale convergence. Hence \(G\) has probability zero on the non-extinction event. Thus, almost surely on the non-extinction event, there is an alive vertex \(v_0\) such that \(Q_{v_0}>0\) and \(Z_k^{(v_0)}\neq\varnothing\) for every \(k\ge0\).

Define \[\partial\mathcal{T}_{v_0}^{\mathrm{wit}} := \left\{ (w_k)_{k=0}^{\infty}: w_0=v_0,\; w_{k+1}\in\mathcal{C}(w_k)\;\text{for all }k\ge0 \right\},\] with \(h\)-block ultrametric \[d_{\mathrm{tree}}(\gamma,\gamma') = 2^{-h\lvert\gamma\wedge\gamma'\rvert_{\mathrm{GW}}},\] where \(\lvert\gamma\wedge\gamma'\rvert_{\mathrm{GW}}\) denotes the common initial block length. Let \(\Pi_{v_0}\) be the dyadic coding map \[\Pi_{v_0}(\gamma) \in \bigcap_{k=0}^{\infty}\overline{\mathcal{I}_{w_k}}.\] If \(D\) is the countable set of dyadic endpoints on \(\mathbb{S}^1\), set \[K_{v_0} := \Pi_{v_0}\bigl(\partial\mathcal{T}_{v_0}^{\mathrm{wit}}\bigr)\setminus D.\] By the Galton–Watson boundary dimension theorem and the metric-change remark [45], on survival, \[\dim_{\mathrm H}K_{v_0} = \frac{\log_2 m_h}{h} = \frac{1}{h}\log_2\mathbb{E} N_h(a) + \frac{1}{h}\log_2\left(\frac{p_c}{2}\right) > \Lambda(a)-2\varepsilon.\] Here deleting \(D\) does not change Hausdorff dimension, and the symbolic \(h\)-block metric and the Euclidean metric are dimensionally equivalent because each \(h\)-block cylinder projects to a dyadic arc of comparable length, while each arc at that scale intersects only \(O_h(1)\) such arcs.

It remains to show that \(K_{v_0}\subseteq E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ)\). Let \(x\in K_{v_0}\). Then \(x\notin D\) corresponds to a chain \[v_0\prec v_1\prec v_2\prec\cdots, \qquad v_{k+1}\in\mathcal{C}(v_k), \qquad \lvert v_k \rvert=\lvert v_0 \rvert+kh,\] with \(\mathcal{I}_{\lvert v_k \rvert}(x)=\mathcal{I}_{v_k}\). The relative-product condition yields \[\frac{Q_{v_{k+1}}}{Q_{v_k}}\ge 2^{ah}, \qquad Q_{v_k}\ge Q_{v_0}2^{akh},\] and the side witness ensures \[Y^{(v_k)} = \frac{1}{2}W_{v_k0}Y^{(v_k0)} + \frac{1}{2}W_{v_k1}Y^{(v_k1)} \ge c.\] Therefore \[\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{v_k}) = 2^{-\lvert v_k \rvert}Q_{v_k}Y^{(v_k)} \ge c\,2^{-\lvert v_k \rvert}Q_{v_0}2^{akh}.\] Since \(\lvert v_k \rvert=\lvert v_0 \rvert+kh\) and \(a=1-\beta+\delta\), \[\frac{\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{v_k})}{2^{-\beta\lvert v_k \rvert}} \ge cQ_{v_0}2^{(\beta-1)\lvert v_0 \rvert}2^{\delta kh} \to+\infty.\] As \(C(\omega)<\infty\) on non-extinction, for all large \(k\), \[\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{\lvert v_k \rvert}(x)) = \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{v_k}) \ge C(\omega)2^{-\beta\lvert v_k \rvert}.\] The cylinders \(\mathcal{I}_{v_k}\) shrink to \(x\) and have positive \(\mu_\circ\)-mass for all large \(k\), so \(x\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ\). Thus \(K_{v_0}\subseteq E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ)\).

Consequently, \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) \ge \dim_{\mathrm H}K_{v_0} > \Lambda(1-\beta+\delta)-2\varepsilon.\] Letting \(\varepsilon\downarrow0\), then \(\delta\downarrow0\), and using the continuity from Lemma 32, we obtain \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) \ge \Lambda(1-\beta)>0.\] ◻

Theorem 36. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Let \(\beta>A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), let \(\Lambda\) be the block-count exponent in Lemma 32, and let \(C\) be a nonnegative random variable with \(0<C<\infty\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\). Then, almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ)=\Lambda(1-\beta).\] Equivalently, \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) = \inf_{q\ge0} \left\{ 1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-q(1-\beta) \right\},\] where \(W^0=\mathbf{1}_{\{W>0\}}\), and the value inside the infimum is interpreted as \(+\infty\) whenever \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)=+\infty\).

Proof. The lower bound follows from Theorem 35. We prove the reverse inequality.

Fix \(\gamma>A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), and set \[E_{\gamma}(\mu_\circ) := \left\{ x\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ: \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{n_k}(x)) \ge 2^{-\gamma n_k} \text{ for some }n_k\uparrow\infty \right\}.\] For \(n\ge1\), let \[H_n(\gamma) = \left\{ v\in\{0,1\}^{n}: \mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)\ge 2^{-\gamma n} \right\}.\] Then \[E_\gamma(\mu_\circ) \subseteq \limsup_{n\to\infty} \bigcup_{v\in H_n(\gamma)}\mathcal{I}_v.\]

Let \[\mathcal{A} = (0,1] \cup \left\{ q>1: \mathbb{E}(W^q)<\infty,\; 2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}(W^q)<1 \right\}.\] For \(q\in\mathcal{A}\), the \(L^q\)-boundedness theorem for Mandelbrot cascade martingales implies that \(\mathbb{E}(Y^q)<\infty\), where \(Y=\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)\). Put \[\Phi_\gamma(q)=1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-q(1-\gamma).\] Since \[\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)=2^{-n}Q_vY^{(v)},\] with \(Y^{(v)}\) an independent copy of \(Y\), independent of \(Q_v\), \[\mathbb{E}\sum_{\lvert v \rvert=n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)^q = \mathbb{E}(Y^q)\, 2^{n(1-q)} \bigl(\mathbb{E}(W^q)\bigr)^n.\] For \(s>0\), \[\mathbf{1}_{\{\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)\ge 2^{-\gamma n}\}} \le 2^{q\gamma n}\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_v)^q, \qquad \operatorname{diam}(\mathcal{I}_v)\le C_1 2^{-n},\] and therefore \[\mathbb{E} \sum_{v\in H_n(\gamma)} \operatorname{diam}(\mathcal{I}_v)^s \le C_1^s\mathbb{E}(Y^q)\, 2^{-n(s-\Phi_\gamma(q))}.\] If \(s>\Phi_\gamma(q)\), summing over \(n\) and applying Fubini yields \[\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \sum_{v\in H_n(\gamma)} \operatorname{diam}(\mathcal{I}_v)^s <\infty\] almost surely. The limsup cover then implies \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_\gamma(\mu_\circ)\le \Phi_\gamma(q), \qquad q\in\mathcal{A}.\]

It remains to remove the restriction \(q\in\mathcal{A}\). If \(q>1\), \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)<\infty\), and \(2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}(W^q)\ge1\), then \[\Phi_\gamma(q) = q\gamma+1-q+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q) \ge q\gamma>\gamma=\Phi_\gamma(1),\] so such \(q\) cannot decrease the infimum; if \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)=+\infty\), the value is \(+\infty\). Since \(q=1\in\mathcal{A}\) and \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)\to\mathbb{P}(W>0)\) as \(q\downarrow0\), the endpoint \(q=0\) may also be included. Hence \[\inf_{q\in\mathcal{A}}\Phi_\gamma(q) = \inf_{q\ge0} \left\{ 1+\log_2\mathbb{E}(W^q)-q(1-\gamma) \right\}.\] By Lemma 32, the last infimum is \(\Lambda(1-\gamma)\). Thus \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_\gamma(\mu_\circ)\le \Lambda(1-\gamma)\] almost surely.

Now let \(C\) be as in the statement. For each rational \(\eta>0\), on \(\{0<C(\omega)<\infty\}\), \[C(\omega)2^{-\beta n}\ge 2^{-(\beta+\eta)n}\] eventually, and hence \[E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ)\subseteq E_{\beta+\eta}(\mu_\circ).\] The deterministic upper bound with \(\gamma=\beta+\eta\) yields \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ) \le \Lambda(1-\beta-\eta)\] almost surely. Taking a countable intersection over rational \(\eta>0\), letting \(\eta\downarrow0\), and using the continuity of \(\Lambda\) from Lemma 32, we obtain \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta,C}(\mu_\circ)\le\Lambda(1-\beta).\] Together with the lower bound, this proves the equality. The variational formula follows from Lemma 32. ◻

Remark 37. The closest result among the references cited here is [18]. It proves a stronger multifractal level-set statement, but under stronger regularity assumptions: in addition to nondegeneracy, it assumes \(\mathbb{P}(W=0)=0\) and the existence of all real moments \(\mathbb{E}(W^q)<\infty\) for every \(q\in\mathbb{R}\).

Theorem 38. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Then, almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), \[\label{eq:minimum-local-dimension-paper} \alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W).\tag{66}\]

Proof. We first prove the lower bound. If \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)=0\), the claim is immediate, since, for every finite positive measure \(\nu\), \[\inf_{x\in\operatorname{spt}\nu} \liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\nu(B(x,r))}{\log_2 r} \ge0.\] Assume \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)>0\), and choose \(0<\beta_j<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) with \(\beta_j\uparrow A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\). For each \(j\), Lemma 29 and Lemma 30 imply, on a full-probability event, that \[\liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\mu_\circ(B(x,r))}{\log_2 r} \ge \beta_j \qquad \text{for every }x\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ.\] Intersecting these countably many full-probability events yields \(\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)\ge\beta_j\) for all \(j\), hence \(\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)\ge A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\).

For the upper bound, choose \(\beta_j>A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) with \(\beta_j\downarrow A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\). By Theorem 36, \[\dim_{\mathrm H}E_{\beta_j,1}(\mu_\circ)=\Lambda(1-\beta_j)>0\] almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\). Hence, after a countable intersection, for every \(j\) there exist \(x_j\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ\) and \(n_{j,k}\uparrow\infty\) such that \[\mu_\circ(\mathcal{I}_{n_{j,k}}(x_j)) \ge 2^{-\beta_j n_{j,k}}.\] For fixed \(j\), \(\mathcal{I}_{n_{j,k}}(x_j)\) is contained in a Euclidean ball \(B(x_j,C2^{-n_{j,k}})\) with deterministic \(C<\infty\). Set \(r_{j,k}=C2^{-n_{j,k}}\). Then \[\mu_\circ(B(x_j,r_{j,k})) \ge 2^{-\beta_j n_{j,k}} = C^{-\beta_j}r_{j,k}^{\beta_j},\] and hence \[\log_2\mu_\circ(B(x_j,r_{j,k})) \ge \beta_j\log_2 r_{j,k}-\beta_j\log_2 C.\] Since \(\log_2 r_{j,k}<0\), \[\frac{\log_2\mu_\circ(B(x_j,r_{j,k}))}{\log_2 r_{j,k}} \le \beta_j-\frac{\beta_j\log_2 C}{\log_2 r_{j,k}}.\] Letting \(k\to\infty\) yields \[\liminf_{r\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\mu_\circ(B(x_j,r))}{\log_2 r} \le \beta_j.\] Since \(x_j\in\operatorname{spt}\mu_\circ\), \(\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)\le\beta_j\). Letting \(j\to\infty\) yields \(\alpha_{\min}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\). Combining the two bounds proves 66 . ◻

7.3 The curved-support upper bound↩︎

We prove the deterministic upper bound \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\) for finite measures supported on the circle.

Lemma 33. Let \(\nu\) be a finite Borel measure on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). There exist constants \(c,C>0\) such that for every \(x_0\in\mathbb{S}^1\) and all sufficiently small \(r>0\), if \(\Lambda=r^{-2}\), then \[\label{eq:radial-L2-local-mass-paper} \int_{\mathbb{R}}\lvert\widehat\nu(Rx_0)\rvert^2e^{-\pi(R/\Lambda)^2}\,dR \ge c\Lambda\,\nu(B(x_0,cr))^2.\tag{67}\]

Proof. Let \(x_0=f(t_0)\), and pull \(\nu\) back to \([0,1)\); we denote the resulting measure again by \(\nu\). Set \[a(t)=f(t)\cdot x_0=\cos 2\pi(t-t_0).\] For \(t,u\) sufficiently close to \(t_0\), \[\lvert a(t)-a(t_0)\rvert\le C\lvert t-t_0\rvert^2, \qquad \lvert a(u)-a(t_0)\rvert\le C\lvert u-t_0\rvert^2.\] Let \(\psi(R)=e^{-\pi R^2}\). Its Fourier transform is again \(e^{-\pi\rho^2}\), which is positive and bounded below in a neighborhood of the origin. Expanding the square and applying Fubini, \[\begin{align} \int_{\mathbb{R}}\lvert\widehat\nu(Rx_0)\rvert^2\psi(R/\Lambda)\,dR &= \int_{\mathbb{R}}\iint e^{-2\pi iR(a(t)-a(u))}\,d\nu(t)d\nu(u)\,\psi(R/\Lambda)\,dR\\ &= \Lambda\iint e^{-\pi\Lambda^2(a(t)-a(u))^2}\,d\nu(t)d\nu(u). \end{align}\] If \(t,u\) both lie in a sufficiently small arc of length \(cr\) around \(t_0\), then \[\Lambda \lvert a(t)-a(u)\rvert\le C r^{-2}r^2\le1\] after choosing \(c\) sufficiently small. On this set the Gaussian factor is bounded below by a positive absolute constant. Restricting the double integral to the square of this arc, and using the comparability of chord distance and arclength at small scales, proves 67 . ◻

Proposition 39. Let \(\nu\) be a nonzero finite Borel measure supported on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). Then \[\label{eq:curved-support-upper-bound-paper} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le\alpha_{\min}(\nu).\qquad{(7)}\]

Proof. Let \(t\) be an admissible Fourier decay exponent for \(\nu\), and assume \(0<t<1\). Thus \[\lvert\widehat\nu(\xi)\rvert\le C_t(1+\lvert\xi\rvert)^{-t/2} \qquad(\xi\in\mathbb{R}^2).\] We prove that \(\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\ge t\). Fix \(0<s<t\) and \(x_0\in\operatorname{spt}\nu\). For small \(r>0\), set \(\Lambda=r^{-2}\). Since \(x_0\in\mathbb{S}^1\), \[\begin{align} \int_{\mathbb{R}}\lvert\widehat\nu(Rx_0)\rvert^2e^{-\pi(R/\Lambda)^2}\,dR &\le C_t^2\int_{\mathbb{R}}(1+\lvert R\rvert)^{-t}e^{-\pi(R/\Lambda)^2}\,dR\\ &\le C_s\Lambda^{1-s}. \end{align}\] On the other hand, Lemma 33 implies \[\int_{\mathbb{R}}\lvert\widehat\nu(Rx_0)\rvert^2e^{-\pi(R/\Lambda)^2}\,dR \ge c\Lambda\,\nu(B(x_0,cr))^2.\] Combining the two estimates, \[\nu(B(x_0,cr))^2\le C_s\Lambda^{-s}=C_sr^{2s},\] and hence \(\nu(B(x_0,cr))\le C_sr^s\). After changing constants, \(\nu(B(x_0,\rho))\le C_s\rho^s\) for all sufficiently small \(\rho>0\). Since \(\log_2\rho<0\), \[\liminf_{\rho\downarrow0} \frac{\log_2\nu(B(x_0,\rho))}{\log_2\rho} \ge s.\] As \(x_0\in\operatorname{spt}\nu\) was arbitrary, \(\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\ge s\). Letting \(s\uparrow t\) yields \(\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\ge t\). Thus every admissible Fourier decay exponent \(t<1\) is bounded above by \(\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\).

It remains to exclude admissible exponents larger than \(1\). Since \(\nu\) is supported on \(\mathbb{S}^1\), one has \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\nu)\le1\). Taking the supremum over admissible Fourier decay exponents and using the preceding conclusion for all \(t<1\), we obtain the desired claim. ◻

Corollary 13. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Then, almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), \[\label{eq:endpoint-upper-bound-paper} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W).\tag{68}\]

Proof. On \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), the measure \(\mu_\circ\) is a nonzero finite Borel measure on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). Proposition 39 and Theorem 38 imply the desired claim. ◻

8 A finite-\(r\) annular Fourier decay theorem↩︎

This section proves the annular Fourier estimate that is the main analytic input for the circle endpoint theorem. The estimate is formulated for an auxiliary scalar weight \(U\), which need not coincide with the endpoint weight \(W\), and requires only the existence of a moment \(r>1\) giving a strict gap beyond the target exponent \(s\).

Let \(0<s<1\), \(r>1\), \(\delta>0\), and let \(U\ge0\) satisfy \[\mathbb{E}U=1,\qquad \mathbb{E}[U^r]<\infty,\qquad 2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r]\le 2^{-r(s+\delta)}.\] Attach independent copies \(U_v\) of \(U\) to all nonempty binary words \(v\). For \(v\in\{0,1\}^n\), set \[Q_v=\prod_{j=1}^{n}U_{v|j}, \qquad Q_{\varnothing}=1,\] where \(v|j\) denotes the truncation of \(v\) to its first \(j\) symbols. Let \(\widetilde{\nu}_\ell\) be the level-\(\ell\) dyadic cascade measure on \([0,1)\), defined by \[d\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(t) = \sum_{\lvert v \rvert=\ell}Q_v\mathbf{1}_{J_v}(t)\,dt, \qquad \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J_v)=2^{-\ell}Q_v\quad(\lvert v \rvert=\ell).\] Let \(\widetilde{\nu}\) be the almost sure weak limit of \((\widetilde{\nu}_\ell)_{\ell\ge0}\), and define \[\nu_\circ=f_\#\widetilde{\nu}, \qquad f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t).\] Then, for \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}^2\), \[\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi) = \int_0^1 e^{-2\pi i \xi\cdot f(t)}\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t).\]

8.1 Statement and parameter choices↩︎

Theorem 40. Let \(0<s<1\), \(r>1\), and \(\delta>0\). Let \(U\ge0\) be a random variable with \(\mathbb{E}U=1\) and \[2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r]\le2^{-r(s+\delta)}.\] Let \(\nu_\circ=f_\#\widetilde{\nu}\) be the circle cascade generated by \(U\). Then there exist constants \(C<\infty\), \(c>0\), and \(\eta>0\), depending only on \(s,r,\delta\) and on the law of \(U\), such that, for every \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:finite-r-annular-theorem-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert > C2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})+C2^{-cn}.\tag{69}\] In particular, \[\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert=O(\lvert\xi\rvert^{-s/2}) \qquad (\lvert\xi\rvert\to\infty)\] almost surely.

The remainder of this section is devoted to the proof of Theorem 40. Choose \(0<\delta_1<\min\{\delta,1-s\}\), and set \(a=s+\delta_1.\) Then \(s<a<1\). The exponent \(a\) will serve as the local-mass exponent. The surplus \(a-s\) absorbs the losses arising from stationary tubes, phase bins, martingale estimates, compensator bounds, and the passage from a grid to the full annulus.

For \(k\ge0\) and \(n\ge1\), define the local-mass threshold \[\label{eq:local-mass-threshold-paper} T_{k,n}=2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak},\tag{70}\] where \(\varepsilon>0\) will be chosen below. We also set \[\label{eq:cap-growth-factor-paper} L_n=2^{\kappa n},\tag{71}\] where \(\kappa>0\) will be chosen below. For the \(r\)-tail compensator estimates, introduce \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}} = r(s+\delta)-(r-1)(s+\delta_1) = s+r\delta-(r-1)\delta_1\quad \text{and}\quad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}=\min\{\beta_{\mathrm{comp}},1\}.\]

Whenever \(r>1\), \(0<\delta_1<\delta\), and \(s<1\), one has \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}>s, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}>s.\]

Lemma 34. The parameters \(\delta_1,\varepsilon,\kappa>0\) can be chosen so that \[0<\delta_1<\min\{\delta,1-s\}, \qquad 20\varepsilon+\kappa<\frac{\delta_1}{2},\] and, with \(a=s+\delta_1\) and \[\vartheta=1-\frac{s}{2a}-\frac{8\varepsilon}{a},\] one has \(\vartheta>0\) and \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>\frac{s}{2}, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>\frac{s}{2}.\]

Proof. Choose \(0<\delta_1<\min\{\delta,1-s\}\), and set \(a=s+\delta_1\). Then \(s<a<1\), and since \(\delta_1<\delta\), \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}} = s+r\delta-(r-1)\delta_1>s, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}=\min\{\beta_{\mathrm{comp}},1\}>s.\] For \(\varepsilon=0\), \(\vartheta_0=1-s/(2a)>1/2\), so \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta_0>\frac{s}{2}, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta_0>\frac{s}{2}.\] By continuity, choose \(\varepsilon>0\) sufficiently small so that the same strict inequalities hold with \[\vartheta=1-\frac{s}{2a}-\frac{8\varepsilon}{a},\] while also ensuring that \(\vartheta>0\) and \(20\varepsilon<\delta_1/2\). Finally, choose \[0<\kappa<\frac{\delta_1}{2}-20\varepsilon.\] Then \(20\varepsilon+\kappa<\delta_1/2\), as required. ◻

Remark 41. The parameter \(\delta_1\) creates the local-mass surplus \(a-s\), \(\varepsilon\) is the annular slack in the local-mass thresholds and grid passage, and \(\kappa\) controls cap growth. The inequalities \[\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>\frac{s}{2}, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>\frac{s}{2}\] are used only in the compensator estimates, where they convert the generation gain from the \(r\)-tail bound into decay at the annular frequency scale.

8.2 Good events for local mass bounds↩︎

Let \(\mathcal{D}_k^\circ=\{J_v:\lvert v \rvert=k\}\) denote the collection of level-\(k\) half-open dyadic intervals in \([0,1)\).

Definition 9. For \(n\ge1\), let \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\) be the event that, for all \(k\ge0\), \(J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\), and \(\ell\ge k\), \[\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)\le T_{k,n}.\] Let \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n\) be the event that, for all \(k\ge0\) and \(J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\), \[\widetilde{\nu}(J)\le T_{k,n}.\] Finally, set \[\mathcal{G}_n=\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\cap\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n.\]

The prelimit event is stronger than the level-matched condition \(\widetilde{\nu}_k(J)\le T_{k,n}\), since the later martingale estimates require control of later prelimit masses on earlier dyadic intervals.

Let \(\widetilde{Y}_\ell=\widetilde{\nu}_\ell([0,1))\) and \(\widetilde{Y}=\widetilde{\nu}([0,1))\).

Lemma 35. Under the finite-\(r\) witnessed hypothesis, \[\sup_{\ell\ge0}\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}_\ell^r]<\infty \qquad\text{and}\qquad \mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}^r]<\infty.\]

Proof. The scalar cascade can be viewed as a dyadic vector cascade with normalized child coefficients \(U_0/2\) and \(U_1/2\), where \(U_0\) and \(U_1\) are independent copies of \(U\). By the finite-\(r\) witnessed hypothesis, \[\mathbb{E}\left[\left(\frac{U_0}{2}\right)^r+\left(\frac{U_1}{2}\right)^r\right] = 2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r] \le 2^{-r(s+\delta)} <1.\] In addition, \[\mathbb{E}\left[\left(\frac{U_0+U_1}{2}\right)^r\right] \le \frac{\mathbb{E}U_0^r+\mathbb{E}U_1^r}{2} <\infty.\] Therefore Lemma 9 implies \[\sup_{\ell\ge0}\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}_\ell^r]<\infty.\] Since \(\widetilde{Y}_\ell\to\widetilde{Y}\) almost surely, Fatou’s lemma yields \[\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}^r]\le\liminf_{\ell\to\infty}\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}_\ell^r]<\infty.\] ◻

Lemma 36. There exists a constant \(C_r<\infty\) such that, for all \(0\le k\le \ell\), \[\label{eq:prelimit-r-mass-budget-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \sum_{J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)^r \right] \le C_r2^{-r(s+\delta)k}.\tag{72}\] Moreover, for all \(k\ge0\), \[\label{eq:limiting-r-mass-budget-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \sum_{J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ} \widetilde{\nu}(J)^r \right] \le C_r2^{-r(s+\delta)k}.\tag{73}\]

Proof. Fix \(J_v\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\) with \(\lvert v \rvert=k\). For \(\ell\ge k\), \[\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J_v) = 2^{-k}Q_v\widetilde{Y}_{\ell-k}^{(v)},\] where \(\widetilde{Y}_{\ell-k}^{(v)}\) is independent of \(Q_v\) and has the same law as \(\widetilde{Y}_{\ell-k}\). Hence \[\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J_v)^r] = 2^{-kr}\mathbb{E}[Q_v^r]\mathbb{E}[(\widetilde{Y}_{\ell-k})^r] \le C_r2^{-kr}(\mathbb{E}[U^r])^k.\] Summing over the \(2^k\) intervals \(J_v\), we obtain \[\mathbb{E}\left[ \sum_{J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)^r \right] \le C_r(2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r])^k \le C_r2^{-r(s+\delta)k}.\] This proves 72 . For the limiting measure, \[\widetilde{\nu}(J_v)=2^{-k}Q_v\widetilde{Y}^{(v)},\] where \(\widetilde{Y}^{(v)}\) is an independent copy of \(\widetilde{Y}\). The same computation, now using \(\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{Y}^r]<\infty\), implies 73 . ◻

Proposition 42. There exist constants \(C<\infty\) and \(c>0\) such that, for all \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:local-mass-good-event-probability-paper} \mathbb{P}(\mathcal{G}_n^c)\le C2^{-cn}.\qquad{(8)}\] Consequently, \(\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{G}_n^c)<\infty\).

Proof. Fix \(k\ge0\) and \(J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\). Since \((\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J))_{\ell\ge k}\) is a nonnegative martingale, Doob’s \(L^r\) maximal inequality implies, for every \(L\ge k\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{k\le \ell\le L}\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)>T_{k,n} \right) \le \left(\frac{r}{r-1}\right)^r T_{k,n}^{-r}\mathbb{E}[\widetilde{\nu}_L(J)^r].\] After summing over \(J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\), applying 72 , and letting \(L\to\infty\), we get \[\mathbb{P}\left( \exists J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ,\;\exists \ell\ge k: \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)>T_{k,n} \right) \le C T_{k,n}^{-r}2^{-r(s+\delta)k}.\] Using \(T_{k,n}=2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak}\) and \(a=s+\delta_1\), the right-hand side becomes \(C2^{-r\varepsilon n}2^{-r(\delta-\delta_1)k}\).

Summing over \(k\ge0\) yields \[\mathbb{P}((\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n)^c)\le C2^{-r\varepsilon n}.\]

For the limiting event, Markov’s inequality together with 73 implies \[\mathbb{P}\left( \exists J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ: \widetilde{\nu}(J)>T_{k,n} \right) \le C2^{-r\varepsilon n}2^{-r(\delta-\delta_1)k}.\] Summing over \(k\ge0\), we obtain \(\mathbb{P}((\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n)^c)\le C2^{-r\varepsilon n}\). Since \[\mathcal{G}_n^c \subset (\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n)^c \cup (\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n)^c,\] we obtain \(\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{G}_n^c)\le C2^{-r\varepsilon n}\), which implies ?? after decreasing \(c>0\), if necessary. Summability is immediate. ◻

Lemma 37. Suppose that \(\mathcal{G}_n\) holds. Then the following estimates hold with a universal constant \(C<\infty\).

  1. For every interval \(B\subset[0,1)\), \[\label{eq:limiting-frostman-good-event-paper} \widetilde{\nu}(B)\le C2^{\varepsilon n}\lvert B\rvert^a.\tag{74}\]

  2. For every \(\ell\ge0\) and every interval \(B\subset[0,1)\), \[\label{eq:prelimit-frostman-good-event-paper} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(B) \le C2^{\varepsilon n}(\lvert B\rvert+2^{-\ell})^a.\tag{75}\]

  3. For every \(\ell\ge0\) and every interval \(B\subset[0,1)\), \[\label{eq:prelimit-square-budget-good-event-paper} \sum_{\substack{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\\ I\cap B\neq\varnothing}} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I)^2 \le C2^{2\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell}(\lvert B\rvert+2^{-\ell})^a.\tag{76}\]

Proof. For (i), choose \(k\ge0\) such that \(2^{-(k+1)}<\lvert B\rvert\le2^{-k}\). Up to the wrap-around convention, the interval \(B\) can be covered by at most two intervals in \(\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\). On \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n\), each such interval has \(\widetilde{\nu}\)-mass at most \(T_{k,n}=2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak}\). Hence \[\widetilde{\nu}(B)\le C2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak}\le C2^{\varepsilon n}\lvert B\rvert^a.\]

For (ii), set \(\rho=\lvert B\rvert+2^{-\ell}\). If \(\rho>1\), the estimate is immediate from the case \(k=0\) and the choice of the constant \(C\). Otherwise, choose \(0\le k\le\ell\) such that \(2^{-(k+1)}<\rho\le2^{-k}\). The union of the level-\(\ell\) intervals meeting \(B\) is contained in an interval of length \(O(\rho)\), and hence in a bounded number of level-\(k\) intervals. On \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\), \[\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(B)\le C2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak}\le C2^{\varepsilon n}\rho^a.\] This proves 75 .

For (iii), on \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\), every level-\(\ell\) interval \(I\) satisfies \(\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I)\le T_{\ell,n}=2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell}\). Hence \[\sum_{\substack{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\\ I\cap B\neq\varnothing}} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I)^2 \le 2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell} \sum_{\substack{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\\ I\cap B\neq\varnothing}} \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I).\] The last sum is bounded by the prelimit mass of an enlarged interval of length \(O(\lvert B\rvert+2^{-\ell})\). Applying (ii) to this enlarged interval implies 76 . ◻

Lemma 38. Suppose that \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n\) holds. Then \[\nu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)=\widetilde{\nu}([0,1))\le 2^{\varepsilon n}.\] Consequently, for all \(\xi,\eta\in\mathbb{R}^2\), \[\label{eq:good-event-fourier-lipschitz-paper} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)-\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\eta)\rvert \le 2\pi 2^{\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi-\eta\rvert.\tag{77}\]

Proof. Taking \(k=0\) and \(J=[0,1)\) in \(\mathcal{G}^{\mathrm{lim}}_n\), we obtain \(\widetilde{\nu}([0,1))\le T_{0,n}=2^{\varepsilon n}\). Since \(\nu_\circ=f_\#\widetilde{\nu}\), it follows that \(\nu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)\le2^{\varepsilon n}\). Also, \[\begin{align} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)-\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\eta)\rvert &\le \int_{\mathbb{S}^1} \left\lvert e^{-2\pi i x\cdot \xi} - e^{-2\pi i x\cdot \eta} \right\rvert\,d\nu_\circ(x)\\ &\le 2\pi\lvert\xi-\eta\rvert\,\nu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1) \le 2\pi 2^{\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi-\eta\rvert, \end{align}\] using \(\lvert e^{-iu}-e^{-iv}\rvert\le \lvert u-v\rvert\) and \(\lvert x \rvert=1\) on \(\mathbb{S}^1\). ◻

Proposition 42 and the Borel–Cantelli lemma immediately imply the following.

Corollary 14. Almost surely, there exists a finite random integer \(N_{\mathcal{G}}\) such that \(\mathcal{G}_n\) holds for all \(n\ge N_{\mathcal{G}}\).

8.3 Stationary tubes and phase bins↩︎

Fix \(\xi\in\mathbb{R}^2\setminus\{0\}\), and write \(\Lambda=\lvert\xi\rvert\). Set \[\phi_\xi(t)=-2\pi\,\xi\cdot f(t), \qquad f(t)=(\cos2\pi t,\sin2\pi t).\] Then \[\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi) = \int_0^1 e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t).\] If \(\xi=\Lambda(\cos\theta,\sin\theta)\), then \[\phi_\xi(t)=-2\pi\Lambda\cos(2\pi t-\theta),\] and \[\phi_\xi'(t)=4\pi^2\Lambda\sin(2\pi t-\theta), \qquad \phi_\xi''(t)=8\pi^3\Lambda\cos(2\pi t-\theta).\] The stationary set \(Z_\xi=\{t\in\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}:\phi_\xi'(t)=0\}\) consists of two points.

We shall also use \[\label{eq:theta-bigger-than-s-over-two-paper} \vartheta = 1-\frac{s}{2a}-\frac{8\varepsilon}{a} > \frac{s}{2}.\tag{78}\] Indeed, at \(\varepsilon=0\), one has \(1-s/(2a)>1/2>s/2\), since \(a>s\) and \(s<1\); then choose \(\varepsilon>0\) sufficiently small.

Lemma 39. There exists an absolute constant \(C\ge1\) such that, for every \(\xi\neq0\), there exist nonnegative \(C^1\) functions \[\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}, \qquad \chi_{\xi,d}\quad(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi),\] on \(\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}\), where \(\mathfrak D_\xi\) is a finite set of dyadic numbers, satisfying the following properties.

  1. Partition of unity: \[\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t)+\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)=1 \qquad(t\in\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}).\]

  2. Number of bands: \[\#\mathfrak D_\xi\le C(1+\log_2(2+\Lambda)).\]

  3. Stationary tube: \[\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}} \subset \{t:\operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi)\le C\Lambda^{-1/2}\}.\]

  4. Localization of derivative bands: for every \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\), \[C^{-1}\Lambda^{-1/2}\le d\le C,\] and \[\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d} \subset \{t:C^{-1}d\le\operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi)\le Cd\}.\]

  5. Derivative size: on \(\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}\), \[C^{-1}\Lambda d\le \lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert\le C\Lambda d.\]

  6. Cutoff derivative: \[\lvert\chi_{\xi,d}'(t)\rvert\le Cd^{-1}.\]

  7. Bounded overlap: \[\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi}\mathbf{1}_{\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}}(t)\le C \qquad(t\in\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}).\]

Proof. We first treat the low-frequency case. If \(\Lambda\le \Lambda_0\), where \(\Lambda_0\) is a sufficiently large absolute constant, we simply take \[\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}\equiv 1, \qquad \mathfrak D_\xi=\varnothing.\] Then all assertions are immediate after enlarging the absolute constant \(C\).

Assume from now on that \(\Lambda>\Lambda_0\). Let \(h_\xi(t)=\sin^2(2\pi t-\theta)\). Since \(Z_\xi\) is the zero set of \(\sin(2\pi t-\theta)\), we have the uniform comparison \[h_\xi(t)^{1/2}\asymp \operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi) \qquad(t\in\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}).\] Choose a nonnegative \(C^\infty\) cutoff \(\psi\) on \([0,\infty)\) such that \[\psi(u)=1\quad(0\le u\le1), \qquad \psi(u)=0\quad(u\ge4),\] and set \[\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t) = \psi\bigl(\Lambda h_\xi(t)\bigr).\] Then \[\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}} \subset \{t:h_\xi(t)\le 4\Lambda^{-1}\} \subset \{t:\operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi)\le C\Lambda^{-1/2}\}.\]

Next choose a smooth dyadic partition of unity on \((0,\infty)\). Let \(\rho:[0,\infty)\to[0,1]\) be nonincreasing and \(C^\infty\), with \[\rho(u)=1\quad(0\le u\le1), \qquad \rho(u)=0\quad(u\ge4),\] and set \(\zeta(u)=\rho(u)-\rho(4u)\). Then \(\zeta\ge0\), \(\operatorname{spt}\zeta\subset[1/4,4]\), and, writing \(d=2^j\), \[\sum_{d\in2^{\mathbb{Z}}}\zeta\left(\frac{u}{d^2}\right) = \sum_{j\in\mathbb{Z}} \left[ \rho\left(\frac{u}{4^j}\right) - \rho\left(\frac{u}{4^{j-1}}\right) \right] =1, \qquad u>0,\] by telescoping. This provides the required \(C^\infty\) dyadic partition of unity.

Let \(\mathfrak D_\xi\) be the finite set of dyadic numbers \(d\) for which \[\zeta\left(\frac{h_\xi(t)}{d^2}\right)\] can be nonzero for some \(t\) with \(1-\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t)\neq0\). For \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\), define \[\chi_{\xi,d}(t) = (1-\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t)) \zeta\left(\frac{h_\xi(t)}{d^2}\right).\] Then, for every \(t\), \[\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t) + \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi}\chi_{\xi,d}(t) = 1.\]

The support condition for the derivative bands follows from the support of \(\zeta\). If \(t\in\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}\), then \(h_\xi(t)\asymp d^2\), and hence \(\operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi)\asymp d\). Thus \[\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d} \subset \{t:C^{-1}d\le \operatorname{dist}(t,Z_\xi)\le Cd\}.\] Moreover, since \(1-\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}\) vanishes inside a stationary tube of radius \(\asymp\Lambda^{-1/2}\), any such \(d\) satisfies \[C^{-1}\Lambda^{-1/2}\le d\le C.\] It follows that the number of possible dyadic scales is bounded by \[\#\mathfrak D_\xi \le C(1+\log_2(2+\Lambda)).\]

We next verify the derivative size. Since \[\lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert = 4\pi^2\Lambda\lvert\sin(2\pi t-\theta)\rvert = 4\pi^2\Lambda h_\xi(t)^{1/2},\] and since \(h_\xi(t)^{1/2}\asymp d\) on \(\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}\), we get \[C^{-1}\Lambda d \le \lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert \le C\Lambda d \qquad(t\in\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}).\] It remains to prove the cutoff derivative bounds. We have \[\lvert h_\xi'(t)\rvert\le C h_\xi(t)^{1/2}.\] On the support of \(\zeta(h_\xi/d^2)\), we obtain \[\left\lvert \frac{d}{dt}\zeta\left(\frac{h_\xi(t)}{d^2}\right) \right\rvert \le C\frac{\lvert h_\xi'(t)\rvert}{d^2} \le Cd^{-1}.\] Also, \[\lvert\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}'(t)\rvert \le C\Lambda \lvert h_\xi'(t)\rvert.\] This derivative is supported where \(h_\xi(t)\asymp\Lambda^{-1}\), and hence where \(h_\xi(t)^{1/2}\asymp\Lambda^{-1/2}\). If this region intersects the support of \(\zeta(h_\xi/d^2)\), then \(d\asymp\Lambda^{-1/2}\), so \[\lvert\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}'(t)\rvert \le C\Lambda h_\xi(t)^{1/2} \le C\Lambda^{1/2} \le Cd^{-1}.\] Combining the two derivative estimates, we obtain \(\lvert\chi_{\xi,d}'(t)\rvert\le Cd^{-1}\).

Finally, the bounded overlap follows from the dyadic construction: for each fixed \(t\), the condition \[\zeta\left(\frac{h_\xi(t)}{d^2}\right)\neq0\] can hold for only \(O(1)\) dyadic values of \(d\). Hence \[\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi}\mathbf{1}_{\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}}(t)\le C.\] This proves all the stated properties. ◻

Lemma 40. Assume \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}}\) holds. If \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), then \[\label{eq:stationary-tube-estimate-paper} \left| \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)} \chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) \right| \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{stat}}n}\tag{79}\] for some \(c_{\mathrm{stat}}>0\).

Proof. The absolute value is at most \(\widetilde{\nu}(\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}})\). By Lemma 39, this support is contained in the union of two intervals, each of length at most \(C\Lambda^{-1/2}\). By 74 , \[\widetilde{\nu}(\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}) \le C2^{\varepsilon n}\Lambda^{-a/2}.\] Since \(\Lambda\ge2^n\), \[2^{\varepsilon n}\Lambda^{-a/2} \le 2^{-sn/2}2^{-(\delta_1/2-\varepsilon)n}.\] The parameter choice ensures \(\delta_1/2-\varepsilon>0\), so 79 holds with \(c_{\mathrm{stat}}=\delta_1/2-\varepsilon\). ◻

We next separate derivative bands into those that are already small by local mass and those where oscillation is needed.

Definition 10. Let \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\). A derivative band \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\) is called mass-only at annular scale \(n\) if \[d^a\le2^{-sn/2}2^{-8\varepsilon n}.\]

It is called oscillatory, or non-mass, if \(d^a>2^{-sn/2}2^{-8\varepsilon n}\).

We denote the corresponding families by \(\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{mass}}\) and \(\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), respectively.

Lemma 41. Assume \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}}\) holds. If \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), then \[\label{eq:mass-only-band-sum-estimate-paper} \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{mass}}} \left| \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) \right| \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-6\varepsilon n}.\tag{80}\]

Proof. For a fixed \(d\), the support of \(\chi_{\xi,d}\) is contained in a bounded number of intervals of length at most \(Cd\). By 74 , \[\widetilde{\nu}(\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}) \le C2^{\varepsilon n}d^a.\] If \(d\) is mass-only, then \(d^a\le2^{-sn/2}2^{-8\varepsilon n}\), hence \[\left| \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) \right| \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-7\varepsilon n}.\] There are \(O(n)\) derivative bands in the annulus, and \(n2^{-7\varepsilon n}\le C2^{-6\varepsilon n}\).

This proves 80 . ◻

Definition 11. Let \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\). The phase-bin scale \(m_{\xi,d}\) is the unique integer satisfying \[2^{m_{\xi,d}-1}<\Lambda d\leq 2^{m_{\xi,d}}.\]

Thus \(2^{-m_{\xi,d}}\asymp(\Lambda d)^{-1}\).

Lemma 42. Let \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\). If \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\) and \(m=m_{\xi,d}\), then there is an absolute constant \(C_0<\infty\) such that \[m\ge \vartheta n-C_0, \qquad\text{where}\quad\vartheta=1-\frac{s}{2a}-\frac{8\varepsilon}{a}.\] Moreover, \(m\le n+C_0\).

Proof. Since \(d\) is non-mass, \[d^a>2^{-sn/2}2^{-8\varepsilon n}, \qquad d>2^{-sn/(2a)}2^{-8\varepsilon n/a}.\] Using \(\Lambda\ge2^n\), we get \(\Lambda d\ge2^{\vartheta n}\). By Definition 11, \(m_{\xi,d}\ge\vartheta n-C_0\). For the upper bound, derivative bands satisfy \(d\le C\), and \(\Lambda\le2^{n+1}\), hence \(\Lambda d\le C2^n\), so \(m_{\xi,d}\le n+C_0\) after increasing \(C_0\). ◻

Let \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\). For \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\) and a child \(J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\) of \(I\), define \[c_J(\xi,d,\ell) = 2^\ell\int_J e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,dt.\]

Lemma 43. There is an absolute constant \(C<\infty\) such that, for every \(\xi\neq0\), \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\), \(\ell\ge0\), and child interval \(J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\), \[\lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert \le C2^{\ell-m_{\xi,d}} \qquad (0\le\ell<m_{\xi,d}),\] and \[\lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert\le C \qquad (\ell\ge m_{\xi,d}).\]

Proof. The second estimate is immediate from \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le2^\ell\lvert J\rvert=1/2\).

Assume \(0\le\ell<m_{\xi,d}\). It suffices to prove \[\left\lvert \int_J e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,dt \right\rvert \le C(\Lambda d)^{-1},\] since multiplying by \(2^\ell\) yields \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C2^\ell(\Lambda d)^{-1}\le C2^{\ell-m_{\xi,d}}\).

Let \(G(t)=\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\). On \(\operatorname{spt}G\), \[\lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert\ge C^{-1}\Lambda d, \qquad \lvert G'(t)\rvert\le Cd^{-1}, \qquad \lvert\phi_\xi''(t)\rvert\le C\Lambda.\] The set \(J\cap\operatorname{spt}G\) has a bounded number of connected components. On each component, integration by parts yields \[\int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}G(t)\,dt = \left[ \frac{e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}G(t)}{i\phi_\xi'(t)} \right]_{\mathrm{endpoints}} - \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)} \left( \frac{G'(t)}{i\phi_\xi'(t)} - \frac{G(t)\phi_\xi''(t)}{i(\phi_\xi'(t))^2} \right)\,dt.\] The boundary term is \(O((\Lambda d)^{-1})\). Also, \[\int_{\operatorname{spt}G}\frac{\lvert G'(t)\rvert}{\lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert}\,dt \le C\int_{\operatorname{spt}G}\frac{d^{-1}}{\Lambda d}\,dt \le C(\Lambda d)^{-1},\] because \(\operatorname{spt}G\) has length \(O(d)\), and \[\int_{\operatorname{spt}G}\frac{\lvert G(t)\rvert\,\lvert\phi_\xi''(t)\rvert}{\lvert\phi_\xi'(t)\rvert^2}\,dt \le C\int_{\operatorname{spt}G}\frac{\Lambda}{(\Lambda d)^2}\,dt \le C(\Lambda d)^{-1}.\] Combining these bounds proves the prefix estimate. ◻

For \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\), define \[F^{(0)}_{\xi,d} = \int_0^1 e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,dt.\]

Lemma 44. If \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\) and \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), then \[\lvert F^{(0)}_{\xi,d}\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{arc}}n}\] for some \(c_{\mathrm{arc}}>0\). Consequently, \[\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \lvert F^{(0)}_{\xi,d}\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{arc}}n}\] after decreasing \(c_{\mathrm{arc}}\) if necessary.

Proof. The integration-by-parts estimate from Lemma 43 yields \[\lvert F^{(0)}_{\xi,d}\rvert\le C(\Lambda d)^{-1}.\] Since \(d\) is non-mass, \(d^{-1}<2^{sn/(2a)}2^{8\varepsilon n/a}\). Using \(\Lambda\ge2^n\), \[(\Lambda d)^{-1} \le 2^{-n}2^{sn/(2a)}2^{8\varepsilon n/a} = 2^{-\vartheta n}= 2^{-sn/2}2^{-(\vartheta-s/2)n}.\] By 78 , \(\vartheta>s/2\). This proves the first estimate with \(c_{\mathrm{arc}}=\vartheta-s/2>0\). The \(O(n)\) derivative bands are absorbed into the exponential decay after decreasing \(c_{\mathrm{arc}}>0\), if necessary. ◻

We now define the exact martingale arrays. Let \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\), let \(J\subset I\) be a dyadic child, and write \(M_I=\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I)\). If \(J\) corresponds to an extension by \(i\in\{0,1\}\), let \(U_J\) be the fresh scalar weight on that edge. Then \[\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}(J)=\frac{1}{2}M_IU_J.\]

Definition 12. Let \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\), and set \(m=m_{\xi,d}\). Define \[F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} = \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\ J\subset I}} c_J(\xi,d,\ell)M_I(U_J-1).\] For \(L>m\), define \[F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L} = \sum_{\ell=m}^{L-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\ J\subset I}} c_J(\xi,d,\ell)M_I(U_J-1).\] Whenever the limit exists, set \(F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d}=\lim_{L\to\infty}F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L}\).

Lemma 45. Let \(d\in\mathfrak D_\xi\). On the weak-convergence event \(\widetilde{\nu}_L\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\widetilde{\nu}\), the post-bin limit \(F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d}\) exists, and \[\label{eq:exact-band-decomposition-paper} \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) = F^{(0)}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d}.\tag{81}\]

Proof. Let \(G_{\xi,d}(t)=e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\). For \(L\ge1\), \[\int G_{\xi,d}\,d\widetilde{\nu}_L = \int G_{\xi,d}(t)\,dt + \sum_{\ell=0}^{L-1} \int G_{\xi,d}\,d(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}-\widetilde{\nu}_\ell).\] The first term is \(F^{(0)}_{\xi,d}\). For a parent \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\) and child \(J\subset I\), the densities of \(\widetilde{\nu}_\ell\) on \(I\) and \(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}\) on \(J\) are \(2^\ell M_I\) and \(2^\ell M_IU_J\), respectively. Hence \[\int_JG_{\xi,d}\,d(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}-\widetilde{\nu}_\ell) = M_I(U_J-1)\,2^\ell\int_JG_{\xi,d}(t)\,dt= M_I(U_J-1)\,c_J(\xi,d,\ell).\] Summing over children and generations, we obtain, for \(L>m_{\xi,d}\), \[\int G_{\xi,d}\,d\widetilde{\nu}_L = F^{(0)}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L}.\] Since \(G_{\xi,d}\) is continuous and \(\widetilde{\nu}_L\xrightarrow{\mathrm{w}}\widetilde{\nu}\), the left side converges to \(\int G_{\xi,d}\,d\widetilde{\nu}\). Thus the post-bin partial sums converge and satisfy 81 . ◻

We now assemble the deterministic reduction.

Proposition 43 (Stationary-tube and phase-bin reduction). Assume \(\mathcal{G}_n\) holds and \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\). On the weak-convergence event for \(\widetilde{\nu}\), \[\label{eq:stationary-phase-bin-reduction-paper} \widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi) = E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n} + \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \left( F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d} \right),\qquad{(9)}\] where \[\lvert E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{safe}}n} \qquad \text{for some}\quad c_{\mathrm{safe}}>0.\] Moreover, for every \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), the coefficients satisfy \[\lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert\le C2^{\ell-m_{\xi,d}} \quad(0\le\ell<m_{\xi,d}), \qquad \lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert\le C \quad(\ell\ge m_{\xi,d}).\]

Proof. By Lemma 39, \[1=\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}+\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi}\chi_{\xi,d}.\] Therefore \[\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi) = \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,\mathrm{stat}}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) + \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_\xi} \int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t).\] The stationary term is bounded by Lemma 40. The sum over mass-only bands is bounded by Lemma 41. We include these terms in \(E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\).

For each non-mass band \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), Lemma 45 provides the decomposition \[\int e^{i\phi_\xi(t)}\chi_{\xi,d}(t)\,d\widetilde{\nu}(t) = F^{(0)}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d}.\] The arclength term \(F^{(0)}_{\xi,d}\) is bounded by Lemma 44; summing over all non-mass bands still contributes a term of size \(C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c n}\) for some \(c>0\). These arclength terms are also included in \(E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\).

Combining the stationary term, the mass-only band terms, and the arclength forcing terms, we obtain ?? with \[\lvert E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2} \left( 2^{-c_{\mathrm{stat}}n} + 2^{-6\varepsilon n} + 2^{-c_{\mathrm{arc}}n} \right).\] After decreasing the exponent and increasing \(C\), this is \[\lvert E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{safe}}n}.\] The coefficient estimates are exactly Lemma 43. ◻

8.4 Predictable capping and martingale concentration↩︎

We now estimate the martingale arrays appearing in Proposition 43. Since \(U\) is not assumed to be bounded, we truncate each child weight at a predictable cap, center the truncated increment, and then apply martingale concentration. The resulting compensator terms are estimated in Subsection 8.5.

Let \(\mathcal{F}_\ell=\sigma\{U_v:1\le \lvert v \rvert\le \ell\}\). For \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\), set \(M_I=\widetilde{\nu}_\ell(I)\). For a child \(J\subset I\), let \(U_J\) denote the fresh weight assigned to the edge \(I\to J\). Then \(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}(J)=M_IU_J/2\).

Definition 13 (Local-mass stopping time). For \(n\ge1\), define \[\tau_n = \inf\left\{ \ell\ge0: \exists\,0\le k\le \ell,\;\exists J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ \text{ such that } \widetilde{\nu}_\ell(J)>T_{k,n} \right\},\] with the convention \(\inf\varnothing=+\infty\).

Lemma 46. The random variable \(\tau_n\) is a stopping time with respect to the filtration \((\mathcal{F}_\ell)_{\ell\ge0}\). Moreover, \[\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}=\{\tau_n=\infty\}.\]

Proof. For fixed \(\ell\), the event \(\{\tau_n\le \ell\}\) is determined by the collection of masses \(\widetilde{\nu}_j(J)\), \(0\le j\le\ell\), \(J\in\mathcal{D}_k^\circ\), \(0\le k\le j\), all of which are \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\)-measurable. Hence \(\tau_n\) is a stopping time. The identity \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}=\{\tau_n=\infty\}\) follows directly from the definitions. ◻

Definition 14 (Predictable cap). Let \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\). Define \[C_{I,n} = \begin{cases} \displaystyle L_n\,\frac{2T_{\ell+1,n}}{M_I}, & M_I>0,\\[8pt] +\infty, & M_I=0. \end{cases}\] For a child \(J\subset I\), set \(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}=U_J\wedge C_{I,n}\), and define \[\overline{U}_{I,n} = \mathbb{E}[U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell].\] This quantity is independent of the choice of the child \(J\subset I\), since the fresh child weights are independent copies of \(U\).

The cap \(C_{I,n}\) is \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\)-measurable, whereas \(U_J\) is independent of \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\).

Definition 15 (Centered capped increment). Let \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}},\) and write \(c_J=c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\). For \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\) and a child \(J\subset I\), define \[X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell) = c_JM_I \left( U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}-\overline{U}_{I,n} \right).\]

Lemma 47. For every child \(J\subset I\), \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\), \[\mathbb{E}\left[ X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell) \mid \mathcal{F}_\ell \right]=0.\] Moreover, \[\label{eq:capped-jump-bound-paper} \lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert \le C\lvert c_J\rvert L_nT_{\ell+1,n}\tag{82}\] almost surely, and \[\label{eq:capped-variance-bound-paper} \mathbb{E}\left[ \lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert^2 \mid \mathcal{F}_\ell \right] \le CL_n\lvert c_J\rvert^2M_IT_{\ell+1,n}.\tag{83}\]

Proof. The centeredness follows immediately from the definition of \(\overline{U}_{I,n}\). If \(M_I=0\), then \(X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}=0\). We may therefore assume that \(M_I>0\). Since \(0\le U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\le C_{I,n}\) and \(C_{I,n}\) is \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\)-measurable, \[0\le\overline{U}_{I,n}\le C_{I,n}, \qquad \lvert U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}-\overline{U}_{I,n}\rvert\le C_{I,n}.\] Therefore \[\lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\rvert \le \lvert c_J\rvert M_IC_{I,n} = 2\lvert c_J\rvert L_nT_{\ell+1,n},\] which proves 82 . For the variance, \[\operatorname{Var}(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell) \le \mathbb{E}[(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}})^2\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell].\] Since \((U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}})^2\le C_{I,n}U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\le C_{I,n}U_J\), \[\mathbb{E}[(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}})^2\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell]\le C_{I,n}.\] Thus \[\mathbb{E}[\lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\rvert^2\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell] \le \lvert c_J\rvert^2M_I^2C_{I,n} = 2L_n\lvert c_J\rvert^2M_IT_{\ell+1,n},\] which establishes 83 . ◻

Lemma 48. On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), for every child \(J\subset I\) with \(M_I>0\), we have \(U_J\le C_{I,n}\). Consequently, on \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), \[\label{eq:raw-capped-compensator-identity-paper} c_JM_I(U_J-1) = X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}+D_{J,n},\tag{84}\] where \[\label{eq:compensator-one-step-paper} D_{J,n} = c_JM_I(\overline{U}_{I,n}-1) = -c_JM_I \mathbb{E}[(U_J-C_{I,n})_+\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell].\tag{85}\]

Proof. On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), \(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}(J)\le T_{\ell+1,n}\). Since \(\widetilde{\nu}_{\ell+1}(J)=M_IU_J/2\),

if \(M_I>0\), then \[U_J\le \frac{2T_{\ell+1,n}}{M_I}\le L_n\frac{2T_{\ell+1,n}}{M_I}=C_{I,n}.\] Thus, on \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), we have \(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}=U_J\), and \[c_JM_I(U_J-1) = c_JM_I(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}-\overline{U}_{I,n}) + c_JM_I(\overline{U}_{I,n}-1).\] This proves 84 . Finally, since \(\mathbb{E}U_J=1\), \[\overline{U}_{I,n} = \mathbb{E}[U_J-(U_J-C_{I,n})_+\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell] = 1-\mathbb{E}[(U_J-C_{I,n})_+\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell].\] ◻

We next estimate the centered capped arrays. For a non-mass band \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), write \[m=m_{\xi,d}, \qquad S_{\xi,d}=\operatorname{spt}\chi_{\xi,d}.\] Recall that \(S_{\xi,d}\) is contained in a bounded number of intervals, each of length at most \(Cd\).

Lemma 49. Assume that the local-mass bounds defining \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\) hold up to the levels under consideration. If \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\) and \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), then \[\label{eq:prefix-variance-budget-paper} \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\ J\subset I}} \lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert^2M_IT_{\ell+1,n} \le C2^{2\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a},\tag{86}\] and \[\label{eq:postbin-variance-budget-paper} \sum_{\ell=m}^{\infty} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\ J\subset I}} \lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert^2M_IT_{\ell+1,n} \le C2^{2\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a}.\tag{87}\]

Proof. Only intervals meeting a fixed \(C2^{-\ell}\)-neighborhood \(S_{\xi,d}^{(\ell)}\) of \(S_{\xi,d}\) can contribute. For \(0\le\ell<m\), Lemma 43 yields \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C2^{\ell-m}\), and 75 implies \[\sum_{\substack{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\\ I\cap S_{\xi,d}^{(\ell)}\neq\varnothing}} M_I \le C2^{\varepsilon n}(d+2^{-\ell})^a.\] Since \(T_{\ell+1,n}\le C2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell}\), the prefix sum is at most \[C2^{2\varepsilon n} \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} 2^{2(\ell-m)}2^{-a\ell}(d+2^{-\ell})^a.\] We claim that the last sum is \(O(\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a})\). We split the sum into the two ranges \(2^{-\ell}\ge d\) and \(2^{-\ell}<d\). In the first range, \[(d+2^{-\ell})^a\le C2^{-a\ell},\] so the summand is bounded by \(C2^{-2m}2^{(2-2a)\ell}\). Since \(a<1\), \[\sum_{2^{-\ell}\ge d} 2^{-2m}2^{(2-2a)\ell} \le C2^{-2m}d^{-(2-2a)}.\] Using \(2^{-m}\asymp(\lvert\xi\rvert d)^{-1}\) and \(d\gtrsim\lvert\xi\rvert^{-1/2}\), this is bounded by \(C\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a}\). In the second range, \[(d+2^{-\ell})^a\le Cd^a,\] so \[C2^{-2m}d^a\sum_{\ell<m}2^{(2-a)\ell} \le Cd^a2^{-am} \asymp C\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a}.\] This proves 86 .

For \(\ell\ge m\), we have \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C\). Since \(2^{-\ell}\le2^{-m}\lesssim(\lvert\xi\rvert d)^{-1}\lesssim d\), we have \(d+2^{-\ell}\le Cd\). Therefore the level-\(\ell\) contribution is bounded by \(C2^{2\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell}d^a\). After summing over \(\ell\ge m\), we obtain \[C2^{2\varepsilon n}d^a2^{-am} \asymp C2^{2\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a},\] which proves 87 . ◻

We shall use Freedman’s inequality in the following normalized form from [46].

Theorem 44 (Classical Freedman inequality). Let \((\mathcal{F}_n)_{n\ge0}\) be an increasing sequence of \(\sigma\)-fields, and let \(X_1,X_2,\ldots\) be real-valued random variables such that \(X_n\) is \(\mathcal{F}_n\)-measurable. Assume that \[\lvert X_n\rvert\le 1, \qquad \mathbb{E}\left(X_n\mid \mathcal{F}_{n-1}\right)=0\] almost surely for every \(n\ge1\). Define \(S_0=0\), \(S_n=X_1+\cdots+X_n,\) and \[V_n=\operatorname{Var}\left(X_n\mid\mathcal{F}_{n-1}\right), \qquad T_n=V_1+\cdots+V_n, \qquad T_0=0.\] Then, for all \(a,b>0\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( S_n>a \;\text{and}\;T_n\le b \;\text{for some } n \right) \le \exp\left( -\frac{a^2}{2(a+b)} \right).\]

Lemma 50 (Rescaled real-valued Freedman inequality). Let \((\mathcal{H}_j)_{j=0}^N\) be a filtration, and let \((M_j,\mathcal{H}_j)_{j=0}^N\) be a real-valued martingale with \(M_0=0\) and martingale differences \(\xi_j=M_j-M_{j-1}\). Let \(R,V\in(0,\infty)\). Assume that \(\lvert \xi_j\rvert\le R\) for every \(j\) and \[\sum_{j=1}^N \mathbb{E}\left(\xi_j^2\mid \mathcal{H}_{j-1}\right) \le V\] almost surely. Then, for every \(u>0\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{0\le j\le N} M_j>u \right) \le \exp\left( -\frac{u^2}{2(V+Ru)} \right).\]

Proof. Set \(X_j=\xi_j/R\). Then \((X_j)\) is a martingale difference sequence with \(\lvert X_j\rvert\le1\), and for \(0\le n\le N\), \[\sum_{j=1}^n X_j=\frac{M_n}{R}, \qquad \sum_{j=1}^n\operatorname{Var}(X_j\mid\mathcal{H}_{j-1}) \le \frac{V}{R^2}.\] If \(\max_{0\le j\le N}M_j>u\), then for some \(1\le n\le N\), \[\sum_{j=1}^nX_j>\frac{u}{R}, \qquad \sum_{j=1}^n\operatorname{Var}(X_j\mid\mathcal{H}_{j-1})\le\frac{V}{R^2}.\] Applying Theorem 44 with \(a=u/R\) and \(b=V/R^2\), we get \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{0\le j\le N}M_j>u \right) \le \exp\left( -\frac{(u/R)^2}{2(u/R+V/R^2)} \right) = \exp\left( -\frac{u^2}{2(V+Ru)} \right).\] ◻

Lemma 51 (Complex Freedman inequality). Let \((S_j,\mathcal{H}_j)_{j=0}^{N}\) be a complex-valued martingale with \(S_0=0\) and differences \(\Delta_j=S_j-S_{j-1}\), \(1\le j\le N.\) Let \(R,V\in(0,\infty)\). Assume that \(\lvert\Delta_j\rvert\le R\) almost surely for every \(j\), and \[\sum_{j=1}^{N} \mathbb{E}\left(\lvert\Delta_j\rvert^2\mid\mathcal{H}_{j-1}\right) \le V\] almost surely. Then, for every \(t>0\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{0\le j\le N}\lvert S_j\rvert>t \right) \le 4\exp\left( -\frac{t^2}{8(V+Rt)} \right).\]

Proof. Write \(S_j=X_j+iY_j\), where \(X_j=\operatorname{Re}S_j\) and \(Y_j=\operatorname{Im}S_j.\) Then \(X_j\) and \(Y_j\) are real-valued martingales with differences \(\operatorname{Re}\Delta_j\) and \(\operatorname{Im}\Delta_j,\) respectively. Moreover, \(\lvert\operatorname{Re}\Delta_j\rvert,\;\lvert\operatorname{Im}\Delta_j\rvert \le \lvert\Delta_j\rvert\le R,\) and \[\sum_{j=1}^N \mathbb{E}\bigl((\operatorname{Re}\Delta_j)^2\mid\mathcal{H}_{j-1}\bigr) \le V, \qquad \sum_{j=1}^N \mathbb{E}\bigl((\operatorname{Im}\Delta_j)^2\mid\mathcal{H}_{j-1}\bigr) \le V.\] The same bounds also hold for \(-X_j\) and \(-Y_j\). Therefore, applying Lemma 50 to \(X_j,-X_j,Y_j,-Y_j\) with \(u=t/2\), and then using the union bound, \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{0\le j\le N}\lvert S_j\rvert>t \right) \le 4\exp\left( -\frac{(t/2)^2}{2(V+Rt/2)} \right) \le 4\exp\left( -\frac{t^2}{8(V+Rt)} \right).\] This proves the lemma. ◻

Definition 16 (Centered capped arrays). For \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), set \(m=m_{\xi,d}\). Define the stopped centered capped prefix array by \[\widehat F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n} = \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell\}} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell).\] For \(L>m\), define the stopped centered capped post-bin partial sum by \[\widehat F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L} = \sum_{\ell=m}^{L-1} \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell\}} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell).\] The corresponding unstopped arrays \(F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\) and \(F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\) are obtained by removing the factors \(\mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell\}}\).

Lemma 52. Fix \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), and set \(m=m_{\xi,d}\). Let \[\Gamma_{\mathrm{pre}}(d) = \left\{ (\ell,I,J): 0\le \ell<m,\; I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ,\; J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ,\; J\subset I \right\},\] and choose a deterministic ordering \(\Gamma_{\mathrm{pre}}(d)=\{\gamma_1,\ldots,\gamma_N\}\), where \(\gamma_r=(\ell_r,I_r,J_r)\). With respect to the filtration \((\mathcal{H}_r^{\mathrm{pre}})\) generated by revealing the variables \(U_{J_r}\) in this order, \[S_r^{\mathrm{pre}} := \sum_{q=1}^r \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell_q\}} X_{J_q,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell_q), \qquad 0\le r\le N,\] is a complex-valued martingale and \(S_N^{\mathrm{pre}}=\widehat F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\).

Moreover, for every \(L>m\), an analogous deterministic ordering of \[\Gamma_{\mathrm{post}}(d,L) = \left\{ (\ell,I,J): m\le \ell<L,\; I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ,\; J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ,\; J\subset I \right\}\] produces a complex-valued martingale whose terminal value is \(\widehat F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\).

Proof. We prove the pre-bin assertion; the post-bin assertion follows in the same way. Set \[\Delta_r^{\mathrm{pre}} := \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell_r\}} X_{J_r,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell_r).\] It is enough to prove \(\mathbb{E}(\Delta_r^{\mathrm{pre}}\mid\mathcal{H}_{r-1}^{\mathrm{pre}})=0\). By definition, \[\Delta_r^{\mathrm{pre}} = \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell_r\}} c_{J_r}(\xi,d,\ell_r)M_{I_r} \left( U_{J_r}\wedge C_{I_r,n} - \overline{U}_{I_r,n} \right).\] At the stage when \(U_{J_r}\) is revealed, the factors \[\mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell_r\}}, \quad c_{J_r}(\xi,d,\ell_r), \quad M_{I_r}, \quad C_{I_r,n}, \quad \overline{U}_{I_r,n}\] are \(\mathcal{H}_{r-1}^{\mathrm{pre}}\)-measurable. Since \(U_{J_r}\) is independent of the refined past and \(C_{I_r,n}\) is already measurable with respect to that past, \[\mathbb{E}\left( U_{J_r}\wedge C_{I_r,n} \mid \mathcal{H}_{r-1}^{\mathrm{pre}} \right) = \overline{U}_{I_r,n}.\] Thus \(\mathbb{E}(\Delta_r^{\mathrm{pre}}\mid\mathcal{H}_{r-1}^{\mathrm{pre}})=0\), and \(S_r^{\mathrm{pre}}\) is a complex-valued martingale. Its terminal value is \[S_N^{\mathrm{pre}} = \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell\}} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\ J\subset I}} X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell) = \widehat F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}.\] The same conditional-expectation computation applied to the post-bin ordering proves the second assertion. ◻

To apply Lemma 51, we use the refined filtration constructed in Lemma 52. Each martingale difference has the form \[\Delta = \mathbf{1}_{\{\tau_n>\ell\}} X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell).\] For fixed \(n,\xi,d\), we introduce a jump budget \(R_{\xi,d,n}\) for \(\lvert\Delta\rvert\) and a quadratic-variation budget \(V_{\xi,d,n}\) for the corresponding predictable quadratic variation. By Lemma 47, the predictable quadratic variation is controlled by \[CL_n \sum \lvert c_J(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert^2M_IT_{\ell+1,n}.\]

Lemma 53. There exist constants \(\eta_R,\eta_V>0\) such that, for every \(n\), every \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), and every \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), the budgets can be chosen so that \[\label{eq:jump-budget-paper} R_{\xi,d,n} \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-\eta_R n},\tag{88}\] and \[\label{eq:quadratic-variation-budget-paper} V_{\xi,d,n} \le C2^{-sn}2^{-\eta_V n}.\tag{89}\]

Proof. By 82 , \[\lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\rvert\le C\lvert c_J\rvert L_nT_{\ell+1,n}.\] If \(0\le\ell<m\), then \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C2^{\ell-m}\), and since \(a<1\), \[\lvert c_J\rvert T_{\ell+1,n} \le C2^{\ell-m}2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-a\ell} \le C2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-am}.\] If \(\ell\ge m\), then the bound \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C\) yields the same estimate. Therefore \[\lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert \le CL_n2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-am}.\] Using \(L_n=2^{\kappa n}\), \(2^{-m}\asymp(\lvert\xi\rvert d)^{-1}\), \(d^{-a}<2^{sn/2}2^{8\varepsilon n}\), \(\lvert\xi\rvert\ge2^n\), and \(a=s+\delta_1\), we get \[\lvert X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}(\xi,d,\ell)\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-9\varepsilon)n}.\] By the parameter choice, \(\delta_1-\kappa-9\varepsilon>0\), which proves 88 .

For the quadratic variation, Lemmas 47 and 49 give, uniformly for the prefix and all finite post-bin cutoffs, \[V_{\xi,d,n} \le CL_n2^{2\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi\rvert^{-a} \le C2^{-sn}2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-2\varepsilon)n}.\] Since \(\delta_1-\kappa-2\varepsilon>0\) by the parameter choice, this proves 89 . ◻

Proposition 45. There exist constants \(C<\infty\), \(c>0\), and \(\eta>0\) such that, for every \(n\ge1\), every \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), and every \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), \[\label{eq:capped-prefix-estimate-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \left| \widehat F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n} \right| > 2^{-sn/2}2^{-3\varepsilon n} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n}),\qquad{(10)}\] and \[\label{eq:capped-postbin-estimate-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \sup_{L>m_{\xi,d}} \left| \widehat F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L} \right| > 2^{-sn/2}2^{-3\varepsilon n} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n}).\qquad{(11)}\] Consequently, on \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), the corresponding unstopped centered capped arrays satisfy the same estimates.

Proof. We prove the prefix estimate; the post-bin estimate is obtained in the same way. Set \[t_n=2^{-sn/2}2^{-3\varepsilon n}.\] By Lemmas 52 and 53, Lemma 51 applies with \[R\le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-9\varepsilon)n}, \qquad V\le C2^{-sn}2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-2\varepsilon)n}.\] Since \(t_n^2=2^{-sn}2^{-6\varepsilon n}\), \[V \le Ct_n^2\,2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-8\varepsilon)n}, \qquad Rt_n \le Ct_n^2\,2^{-(\delta_1-\kappa-12\varepsilon)n}.\] By the parameter choice, the exponents are positive. Hence, for some \(\eta>0\), \[V+Rt_n \le Ct_n^2\,2^{-\eta n}, \qquad \frac{t_n^2}{V+Rt_n}\ge c2^{\eta n}.\] Lemma 51 then yields ?? . Applying the same argument to the stopped post-bin martingales implies ?? . Finally, on \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), Lemma 46 implies \(\tau_n=\infty\), and hence the stopped and unstopped centered capped arrays agree. ◻

Corollary 15. There exist constants \(C<\infty\), \(c>0\), and \(\eta>0\) such that, for every \(n\ge1\), every \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), and every \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( \mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}} \cap \left\{ \lvert F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \sup_{L>m_{\xi,d}} \lvert F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\rvert > 2^{-sn/2}2^{-2\varepsilon n} \right\} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n}).\]

Proof. On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), the stopped and unstopped arrays agree. Proposition 45 bounds both the prefix and post-bin bad events by \(C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})\). The union bound, together with \(2\cdot2^{-3\varepsilon n}\le2^{-2\varepsilon n}\) for all sufficiently large \(n\), implies the claim after adjusting \(C\). ◻

The preceding corollary controls only the centered capped martingale contribution. On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), Lemma 48 implies the identities \[F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} = F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n} + D^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}, \qquad F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L} = F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L} + D^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}.\] The compensators are sums of \[D_{J,n} = -c_JM_I \mathbb{E}\left[ (U_J-C_{I,n})_+ \mid \mathcal{F}_\ell \right],\] which are estimated in the next subsection.

8.5 The \(r\)-tail compensator↩︎

We estimate the predictable drift arising from capping. Recall from 85 that the one-step compensator is \[D_{J,n} = -c_JM_I \mathbb{E}[(U_J-C_{I,n})_+\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell],\] where \(J\subset I\), \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\), and \[C_{I,n}=L_n\frac{2T_{\ell+1,n}}{M_I}\] when \(M_I>0\).

Lemma 54. For every child \(J\subset I\), \(I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ\), \[\label{eq:pointwise-r-tail-compensator-paper} \lvert D_{J,n}\rvert \le C\lvert c_J\rvert L_n^{1-r}T_{\ell+1,n}^{1-r}M_I^r\,\mathbb{E}[U^r],\tag{90}\] where \(C<\infty\) depends only on \(r\).

Proof. If \(M_I=0\), then \(D_{J,n}=0\). It remains to consider the case \(M_I>0\). For every \(K>0\), \[(U-K)_+\le U\mathbf{1}_{\{U>K\}}\le K^{1-r}U^r.\] Since \(C_{I,n}\) is \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\)-measurable and \(U_J\) is independent of \(\mathcal{F}_\ell\), \[\mathbb{E}[(U_J-C_{I,n})_+\mid\mathcal{F}_\ell] \le C_{I,n}^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r].\] Hence \[\lvert D_{J,n}\rvert \le \lvert c_J\rvert M_IC_{I,n}^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r].\] Substituting \(C_{I,n}=2L_nT_{\ell+1,n}/M_I\), we obtain \[M_IC_{I,n}^{1-r} = 2^{1-r}L_n^{1-r}T_{\ell+1,n}^{1-r}M_I^r,\] which proves 90 . ◻

For \(\ell\ge0\), set \[R_{\ell,n} = L_n^{1-r}T_{\ell+1,n}^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[U^r] \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ}M_I^r.\]

Lemma 55. There exists \(C<\infty\) such that, for every \(\ell\ge0\) and \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:level-compensator-envelope-expectation-paper} \mathbb{E}[R_{\ell,n}] \le C2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} 2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\ell}.\tag{91}\]

Proof. We use \[L_n^{1-r}=2^{-\kappa(r-1)n}, \qquad T_{\ell+1,n}^{1-r} \le C2^{-\varepsilon(r-1)n}2^{a(r-1)\ell},\] together with 72 : \[\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ}M_I^r\right] \le C2^{-r(s+\delta)\ell}.\] It follows that \[\mathbb{E}[R_{\ell,n}] \le C2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} 2^{(r-1)a\ell} 2^{-r(s+\delta)\ell}.\] Since \(a=s+\delta_1\) and \(r(s+\delta)-(r-1)(s+\delta_1)=\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\), this is 91 . ◻

Let \[m_n^-=\max\{0, \lfloor\vartheta n-C_0\rfloor\}, \qquad m_n^+=\lceil n+C_0\rceil,\] where \(C_0\) is the constant in Lemma 42. Then every non-mass band in \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\) satisfies \(m_{\xi,d}\in[m_n^-,m_n^+]\).

Definition 17. Fix \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\), and write \(m=m_{\xi,d}\). Define \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n} = \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} \lvert D_{J,n}\rvert,\] and \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L} = \sum_{\ell=m}^{L-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} \lvert D_{J,n}\rvert.\] Set \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} = \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}, \qquad \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} = \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}.\] When the limit exists, set \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n}=\lim_{L\to\infty}\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L}\).

Lemma 56. There exists a nonnegative random variable \(E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\), not depending on \(\xi\), such that \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}}\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} \le E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n,\] and, for some \(c>0\), \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n] \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-cn}.\]

Proof. For a non-mass band \(d\), write \(m=m_{\xi,d}\). By Lemmas 43 and 54, \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n} \le C\sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1}2^{\ell-m}R_{\ell,n}.\] For fixed \(\xi\), only boundedly many dyadic bands \(d\) have the same value of \(m_{\xi,d}\). Hence \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} \le C\sum_{m=m_n^-}^{m_n^+} \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1}2^{\ell-m}R_{\ell,n}.\] Let the right-hand side be \(E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n\). Taking expectations and using Lemma 55, \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n] \le C2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} \sum_{m=m_n^-}^{m_n^+} \sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1}2^{\ell-m}2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\ell}.\] For fixed \(m\), \[\sum_{\ell=0}^{m-1}2^{\ell-m}2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\ell} \le C(1+m)2^{-\gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}m}, \qquad \gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}=\min\{\beta_{\mathrm{comp}},1\}.\] Thus \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n] \le C2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} \sum_{m=m_n^-}^{m_n^+}(1+m)2^{-\gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}m}.\] Since there are \(O(n)\) terms and \(m_n^-\ge\vartheta n-C_0-1\), \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n] \le Cn^2 2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} 2^{-\gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta n}.\] By Lemma 34, \(\gamma_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>s/2\), so the last expression is bounded by \(C2^{-sn/2}2^{-cn}\) after absorbing the polynomial factor. ◻

Lemma 57. There exists a nonnegative random variable \(E^{\mathrm{post}}_n\), not depending on \(\xi\), such that, for every finite truncation \(L\), \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} \le E^{\mathrm{post}}_n,\] and, for some \(c>0\), \[\label{eq:postbin-compensator-envelope-expectation-paper} \mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{post}}_n] \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-cn}.\tag{92}\]

Proof. For \(\ell\ge m_{\xi,d}\), we have \(\lvert c_J\rvert\le C\). Hence Lemma 54 implies \[\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} \le C\sum_{m=m_n^-}^{m_n^+}\sum_{\ell=m}^{\infty}R_{\ell,n}.\] Let the right-hand side be \(E^{\mathrm{post}}_n\). Taking expectations and using Lemma 55, \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{post}}_n] \le C2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} \sum_{m=m_n^-}^{m_n^+}\sum_{\ell=m}^{\infty}2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\ell}.\] Since \(\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}>0\), \[\sum_{\ell=m}^{\infty}2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\ell} \le C2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}m}.\] Thus \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{post}}_n] \le Cn2^{-(\varepsilon+\kappa)(r-1)n} 2^{-\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}m_n^-}.\] By Lemma 34, \(\beta_{\mathrm{comp}}\vartheta>s/2\), and since \(m_n^-\ge\vartheta n-C_0-1\), 92 follows after reducing \(c>0\). ◻

Proposition 46 (\(r\)-tail compensator estimate). There exist constants \(C<\infty\) and \(c>0\) such that, for every \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:r-tail-compensator-probability-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \left( \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} + \sup_{L\ge1}\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} \right) > 2n^{-2}2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C2^{-cn}.\qquad{(12)}\] Consequently, the probabilities in ?? are summable in \(n\).

Proof. By Lemmas 56 and 57, \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \left( \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} + \sup_{L\ge1}\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} \right) \le E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n+E^{\mathrm{post}}_n,\] and \[\mathbb{E}[E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n+E^{\mathrm{post}}_n] \le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-cn}.\] Markov’s inequality therefore yields \[\mathbb{P}\left( E^{\mathrm{pre}}_n+E^{\mathrm{post}}_n > 2n^{-2}2^{-sn/2} \right) \le Cn^2 2^{-cn} \le C2^{-cn}\] after reducing \(c\). Summability follows. ◻

Lemma 58. Assume \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\) holds. For \(d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}},\) define \[D^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n} = \sum_{\ell=0}^{m_{\xi,d}-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} D_{J,n},\] and \[D^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L} = \sum_{\ell=m_{\xi,d}}^{L-1} \sum_{I\in\mathcal{D}_\ell^\circ} \sum_{\substack{J\in\mathcal{D}_{\ell+1}^\circ\\J\subset I}} D_{J,n}.\] Then \[F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} = F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n} + D^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n},\] and, for every \(L>m_{\xi,d}\), \[F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L} = F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L} + D^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}.\] Moreover, \[\lvert D^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert \le \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}, \qquad \lvert D^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\rvert \le \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}.\] If the absolute post-bin compensator is finite, then the signed post-bin compensator converges as \(L\to\infty,\) and the same identity holds for the limiting post-bin arrays.

Proof. On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), Lemma 48 yields the identity \[c_JM_I(U_J-1)=X_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}+D_{J,n}.\] Summing over \(0\le\ell<m_{\xi,d}\) proves the prefix identity, while summing over \(m_{\xi,d}\le\ell<L\) proves the finite post-bin identity. The absolute-value bounds are immediate from the definitions of \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}\) and \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}\). If the absolute post-bin compensator is finite, the signed compensator converges absolutely, so passing to the limit as \(L\to\infty\) proves the limiting identity. ◻

8.6 Annular assembly↩︎

We now combine the local-mass good event, the deterministic reduction, the capped martingale estimate, and the compensator estimate.

Lemma 59. For every \(n\ge1\), there exists a finite set \(\mathcal{N}_n\subset\{\xi\in\mathbb{R}^2:2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\}\) such that for every \(\xi\) with \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), there exists \(\eta\in\mathcal{N}_n\) satisfying \[\label{eq:annular-frequency-grid-mesh-paper} \lvert\xi-\eta\rvert\le \frac{1}{8\pi}2^{-(s/2+\varepsilon)n}.\tag{93}\] Moreover, \[\label{eq:annular-frequency-grid-cardinality-paper} \#\mathcal{N}_n\le C2^{(2+s+2\varepsilon)n}.\tag{94}\]

Proof. Let \(\rho_n=(8\pi)^{-1}2^{-(s/2+\varepsilon)n}\). Take a square lattice with mesh comparable to \(\rho_n\), and retain the points needed to cover the annulus. Since the annulus is contained in a square of side length \(O(2^n)\), \[\#\mathcal{N}_n \le C\left(\frac{2^n}{\rho_n}\right)^2 \le C2^{(2+s+2\varepsilon)n}.\] ◻

Lemma 60. Assume that \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}}\) holds. If \[\max_{\eta\in\mathcal{N}_n}\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\eta)\rvert \le A2^{-sn/2},\] then \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}}\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert \le (A+1)2^{-sn/2}.\]

Proof. For \(2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}\), choose \(\eta\in\mathcal{N}_n\) satisfying 93 . By 77 , \[\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)-\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\eta)\rvert \le 2\pi2^{\varepsilon n}\lvert\xi-\eta\rvert \le \frac{1}{4}\,2^{-sn/2}.\] Thus \(\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert\le (A+1)2^{-sn/2}\). ◻

Definition 18. Define the capped-martingale exceptional event \(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}}\) to be the event that there exist \[\xi\in\mathcal{N}_n \qquad\text{and}\qquad d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}\] such that \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\) holds and \[\lvert F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \sup_{L>m_{\xi,d}} \lvert F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\rvert > 2^{-sn/2}2^{-2\varepsilon n}.\] Define the compensator exceptional event \(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}}\) by \[\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}} = \left\{ \sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \left( \mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n} + \sup_{L\ge1}\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L} \right) > 2n^{-2}2^{-sn/2} \right\}.\]

Lemma 61. There exist constants \(C,c,\eta>0\) such that \[\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}}) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n}).\]

Proof. For fixed \(\xi\) and \(d\), Corollary 15 yields the bound \(C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})\). For each \(\xi\), the number of derivative bands is \(O(n)\), and by 94 , \[\#\mathcal{N}_n\le C2^{(2+s+2\varepsilon)n}.\] The union bound therefore yields \[\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}}) \le Cn2^{(2+s+2\varepsilon)n}\exp(-c2^{\eta n}).\] The stretched-exponential factor dominates the ordinary exponential prefactor, and the claim follows after decreasing \(c\) and \(\eta\), if necessary. ◻

Lemma 62. There exist constants \(C,c,\eta>0\) such that, for every \(n\ge1\), \[\label{eq:grid-annular-estimate-paper} \mathbb{P}\left( \max_{\xi\in\mathcal{N}_n} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert > C2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})+C2^{-cn}.\tag{95}\]

Proof. By Proposition 42, Lemma 61, and Proposition 46, \[\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{G}_n^c)\le C2^{-cn}, \qquad \mathbb{P}(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}})\le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n}), \qquad \mathbb{P}(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}})\le C2^{-cn}.\] It remains to prove that, on \[\mathcal{G}_n\cap(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}})^c\cap(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}})^c,\] one has \(\max_{\xi\in\mathcal{N}_n}\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert\le C2^{-sn/2}.\)

Fix \(\xi\in\mathcal{N}_n\). By Proposition 43, \[\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi) = E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n} + \sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \left( F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d} + F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d} \right),\] with \(\lvert E^{\mathrm{safe}}_{\xi,n}\rvert\le C2^{-sn/2}2^{-c_{\mathrm{safe}}n}.\) On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}}\), Lemma 58 decomposes each raw array into a centered capped part and a compensator. Since \((\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}})^c\) holds, for every non-mass band \(d\), \[\lvert F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \sup_{L>m_{\xi,d}}\lvert F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\rvert \le 2^{-sn/2}2^{-2\varepsilon n}.\] The raw post-bin limit exists by Lemma 45; on \((\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}})^c,\) the post-bin compensator converges absolutely, and hence the limiting centered capped post-bin term exists. Therefore, \[\lvert F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \lvert F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert \le 2^{-sn/2}2^{-2\varepsilon n}.\] Since there are \(O(n)\) derivative bands, \[\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \left( \lvert F^{\mathrm{pre,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \lvert F^{\mathrm{post,cap}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert \right) \le Cn2^{-2\varepsilon n}2^{-sn/2} \le C2^{-sn/2}.\] On \((\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}})^c,\) \[\sum_{d\in\mathfrak D_{\xi,n}^{\mathrm{osc}}} \left( \lvert D^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert + \lvert D^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n}\rvert \right) \le 2n^{-2}2^{-sn/2}.\] Combining the safe term, the centered capped terms, and the compensators, we obtain \[\lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}.\] Taking the union of the exceptional probabilities proves 95 . ◻

Proof of Theorem 40. By Lemma 62, \[\mathbb{P}\left( \max_{\xi\in\mathcal{N}_n} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert > C2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})+C2^{-cn}.\] By Proposition 42, \[\mathbb{P}\bigl((\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}})^c\bigr) \le C2^{-cn}.\] On \(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}}\), Lemma 60 upgrades the grid estimate to the full annulus. Therefore, after increasing \(C\), \[\mathbb{P}\left( \sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert > C2^{-sn/2} \right) \le C\exp(-c2^{\eta n})+C2^{-cn}.\] This is 69 . The right-hand side is summable in \(n\). Hence, by the Borel–Cantelli lemma, almost surely, for all sufficiently large \(n\), \[\sup_{2^n\le\lvert\xi\rvert\le2^{n+1}} \lvert\widehat{\nu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert \le C2^{-sn/2}.\] This completes the proof. ◻

9 Endpoint lower bound and circle theorem↩︎

This section completes the proof of the circle endpoint theorem. Corollary 13 yields \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\le A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) \qquad \text{almost surely on }\mathcal{S}_\circ.\] The reverse inequality follows from Theorem 40: every strict subendpoint exponent \(s<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) is witnessed by a finite moment of some order \(r>1\), and hence yields the corresponding Fourier decay.

Throughout this section, \(W\) is assumed to be in the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime: \[W\ge0, \qquad \mathbb{E}W=1, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2^+W]<\infty, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2W]<1.\] Let \(\mu_\circ\) be the circle cascade generated by \(W\), and set \[\mathcal{S}_\circ=\{\mu_{\circ}(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}.\]

Theorem 47 (Endpoint Fourier dimension formula on the circle). Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Then, almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\), \[\label{eq:endpoint-circle-equality-paper} \dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W).\tag{96}\]

Proof. We prove the lower bound. If \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)=0\), there is nothing to prove. Assume \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)>0\), and fix \(0<\sigma<A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\). By the definition of \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\), there exists \(r>1\) such that \[\mathbb{E}[W^r]<\infty, \qquad \frac{r-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^r]}{r}>\sigma.\] Choose \(\delta>0\) such that \[\sigma+\delta < \frac{r-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^r]}{r}.\] Equivalently, \[1-r+\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^r]<-r(\sigma+\delta),\] and therefore \[2^{1-r}\mathbb{E}[W^r]\le 2^{-r(\sigma+\delta)}.\]

Apply Theorem 40 with \(U=W\) and \(s=\sigma\). The interval cascade generated by \(U\), pushed forward by \(f(t)=(\cos 2\pi t,\sin 2\pi t)\), is precisely \(\mu_\circ\). Hence Theorem 40 provides a finite random constant \(C_\sigma(\omega)<\infty\) such that \(\lvert\widehat{\mu_\circ}(\xi)\rvert \le C_\sigma(\omega)\lvert\xi\rvert^{-\sigma/2}\) for all sufficiently large \(\lvert\xi\rvert\), almost surely. This is exactly the Fourier decay required for the exponent \(\sigma\); no endpoint estimate at \(\sigma=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) is needed. Consequently, \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\ge \sigma\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\).

Applying the preceding argument to every rational \(\sigma\in\mathbb{Q}\cap(0,A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W))\) and intersecting the corresponding probability-one events, we obtain \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)\ge A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\). The countability of the chosen exponents is the only measurability point in the passage to the endpoint. The opposite inequality is Corollary 13. Hence Theorem 40 completes the proof. ◻

Corollary 16. Assume the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. Then the following holds.

  1. If there exists \(q>1\) such that \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]<2^{q-1}\), then \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)>0\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\).

  2. If \(\mathbb{E}[W^q]=\infty\) for every \(q>1\), then \(\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)=0\) almost surely on \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\).

Proof. For (i), the assumption ensures that \(q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]>0\) for some \(q>1\), hence \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)>0\). For (ii), every \(q>1\) term in the definition of \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) is interpreted as \(0\), so \(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)=0\). Both conclusions follow from Theorem 47. ◻

Example 2 (A Bernoulli zero-weight cascade). Let \[W= \begin{cases} 0, & \text{with probability }1-p,\\ p^{-1}, & \text{with probability }p, \end{cases} \qquad \frac{1}{2}<p\le1.\] Then \[\mathbb{E}W=1, \qquad \mathbb{E}[W\log_2 W]=\log_2(p^{-1})<1,\] so \(W\) is in the minimal Kahane–Peyrière regime. For every \(q>1\), \[\mathbb{E}[W^q]=p^{1-q}, \qquad q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q] = (q-1)(1+\log_2 p).\] Since \(p>1/2\), \[A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W) = \sup_{q>1} \frac{(q-1)(1+\log_2 p)}{q} = 1+\log_2 p.\] By Theorem 3, \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu_\circ)=1+\log_2 p \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{\mu_\circ(\mathbb{S}^1)>0\}.\]

For comparison, for the scalar interval cascade generated by the same law, \[D^+(W) = \sup_{1<q<2} 2\,\frac{(q-1)(1+\log_2 p)}{q} = 1+\log_2 p,\] where the last equality follows by letting \(q\uparrow2\). Thus, by the scalar interval theorem, \[\dim_{\mathrm F}(\mu)=\dim_{\mathrm E}(\mu)=\dim_2(\mu)=1+\log_2 p \qquad \text{almost surely on }\{M>0\}.\] In this special example, \[D^+(W)=A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)=1+\log_2 p.\] The coincidence is caused by the linear moment profile and should not be expected in general.

Notation Index↩︎

Notation Meaning Place defined/remarks
Notation Meaning Place defined/remarks
\(\prec, \preceq\) Prefix relation. Section 2.1.
\(\alpha_{\min}(\nu)\) Minimum lower local dimension. Section 7.2.
\(\beta_X(q)\) \(-(1/q)\log_2\rho(q)\). Equation 52 .
\(\kappa(q)\) \(2^{1-q}\mathbb{E}[W^q]\). Equation 1 .
\(\rho(q)\) Vector \(q\)-moment profile. Definition 2.
\(\tau(q)\) \(q-1-\log_2\mathbb{E}[W^q]\). Section 7.2.
\(\mu_n,\mu,\mu^{(u)}\) Level-\(n\) interval cascade measure, weak limit, and descendant limiting measure below \(u\).

Equation 21 ;

Theorem 6;

Section 2.3.

\(\mu_{\circ,n},\mu_\circ,\mu_\circ^{(v)}\) Level-\(n\) circle cascade measure, weak limit, and descendant circle cascade below \(v\).

Equation 63 ;

Proposition 31;

Section 7.1.

\(\widetilde{\nu}_\ell,\widetilde{\nu},\nu_\circ\) Level-\(\ell\) parameter cascade measure on \([0,1)\), its weak limit, and the circle pushforward. Section 8.
\(\Sigma_n\) \(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}C_u^2\). Definition 7.
\(\Sigma_n(\nu)\) \(\sum_{\lvert u \rvert=n}\nu(I_u)^2\). Section 2.2.
\(\Gamma_n(\alpha)\) Dense grid in \([1,2]\) with mesh at most \(2^{-\alpha n}\). Definition 8.
\(A_{\mathrm{loc}}(W)\) Endpoint local exponent. Definition 4.
\(C_u\) Limiting tree-cylinder mass associated with \(u\). Remark 7.
\(C_{I,n}\), \(U_{J,n}^{\mathrm{cap}}\), \(\overline{U}_{I,n}\) Predictable cap, capped child weight, and capped mean. Definition 14.
\(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d,n}\), \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,n,L}\), \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,n}\), \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n,L}\), \(\mathfrak C^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,n}\) One-band and summed prefix/post-bin compensators. Definition 17.
\(\mathcal{D}_n,\mathcal{D}_{\circ,n}\) Level-\(n\) dyadic interval/arc partitions. Section 2.1.
\(D_E(X)\) Energy parameter of the interval vector law. Definition 2.
\(\mathfrak D_\xi\), \(\chi_{\xi,d}\) Derivative-band scales and corresponding cutoffs. Lemma 39.
\(\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{cap}},\mathcal{E}_n^{\mathrm{comp}}\) Capped-martingale and compensator exceptional events. Definition 18.
\(\mathcal{F}_n^X\) Natural filtration of the interval vector cascade. Section 2.3.
\(\mathcal{F}_n^W\), \(\mathcal{S}_\circ\) Natural filtration of the circle cascade and non-extinction event \(\{Y>0\}\). Section 7.1.
\(F^{\mathrm{pre}}_{\xi,d}\), \(F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d,L}\), \(F^{\mathrm{post}}_{\xi,d}\) Prefix array, truncated post-bin array, and limiting post-bin array. Definition 12.
\(\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{pre}},\mathcal{G}_n^{\mathrm{lim}},\mathcal{G}_n\) Prelimit, limiting, and full local-mass good events. Definition 9.
\(I_X\) \(\{q\in(1,2):\rho(q)<1\}\). Lemma 4.
\(I_u,J_u,\mathcal{I}_u\) Dyadic interval/arc associated with \(u\). Section 2.1.
\(L_u\) Path weight along \(u\). Equation 20 .
\(L_n\) \(2^{\kappa n}\), cap-growth factor. Equation 71 .
\(m_s(q)\) \(2^{qs/2}\rho(q)\). Equation 28 .
\(m_{\xi,d}\) Phase-bin scale determined by \(2^{m_{\xi,d}-1}<\lvert\xi\rvert d\le2^{m_{\xi,d}}\). Definition 11.
\(M_n,M,M^{(u)}\) Total mass martingale, terminal total mass, and terminal descendant mass below \(u\).

Equation 22 ;

Lemma 2;

Section 2.3.

\(T_{k,n}\) \(2^{\varepsilon n}2^{-ak}\), local-mass threshold. Equation 70 .
\(\mathcal{T}\) \(\bigcup_{n\ge0}\{0,1\}^n\), rooted binary tree. Section 2.1.
\(\partial\mathcal{T}\), \([u]_\partial\), \(\pi\) Boundary of the binary tree, boundary cylinder, and coding map to \([0,1]\). Section 4.1.
\(Y_n,Y,Y^{(v)}\) Circle total mass martingale, terminal total mass, and terminal descendant mass below \(v\). Section 7.1.
\(Z_n^{(s)}\) \(2^{sn}\Sigma_n\). Equation 31 .

Acknowledgments↩︎

G. C. was partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC), grant no. 12371126. X. F. was partially supported by the National Science and Technology Council, Taiwan, grant no. 114-2115-M-A49-003-MY3.

The authors used an artificial-intelligence tool for language editing and LaTeXformatting; all mathematical content was written, checked, and approved by the authors.

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